Posted on 10/17/2022 6:25:33 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Republicans hold a 4-point advantage over Democrats with the midterm elections less than a month away, according to a New York Times-Siena College poll published Monday.
About 49 percent of likely voters said they would back the GOP nominee, while 45 percent said they would support a Democratic candidate.
The figures are rounded; when the unrounded figures are used, the GOP holds closer to a 3-point edge at 48.51 percent to 45.47 percent.
This is a shift since September, when the Times poll found Democrats holding a slim 1-point edge over Republicans among likely voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Yup.
They can’t even rig the poll to make it look good.
We need to be 10 points ahead to counter the fake vote manufacturing, but I’m convinced the Red Tsunami IS coming!
This is going to be FUN! :)
Just 22 more days!! It’s going to be epic...
A six-point swing since last month.
The House is hard for the democrats to steal enough seats. But the Senate is easy because they just cheat in big urban areas—just like in 2020.
Call me crazy for saying this but I think this will be bigger than 1994 - I predict 80 seats in Congress.
Their last poll was a RV poll instead of a LV poll.
Only the moronic Fox Poll and Politico are still using RV screens. Absolutely zero excuse for that 3 weeks out from an election.
Moreover, even last month, the NY Times/Siena poll had the GOP up DOUBLE DIGITS in the swing districts, which is all that matters.
Not possible. Breaking a 240 ceiling would require winning Biden +20 seats.
Don’t set the expectations artificially high.
Why is that? The RVs will have mail in ballots cast for them via proxy
Very true and the numbers are much higher.
Okay Crazy. ;)
We're starting from a much higher base than we had in 1993. In 1993, we had only 176 seats in the House, gained 54, and ended up with 230. But now, we already have 212, so gaining 80 would put us at 292. That's never going to happen.
But if we gained even half that - 40 - that would put as at 252 - which would be the most we've had since the 1920's. I think that's probably unrealistic, but gaining 20-25 would still give us solid majority.
No they won’t and I’m willing to bet on it, are you?
Indeed. I’m thinking breaking the 240 ceiling is doable. You start to run out of room very quickly in the 240s. Any thing over 250 is near impossible.
This is going to be a bloodbath for Dems if even liberal pollsters acknowledge a sizable R lead.
The significant part of this is that it is national. It includes that huge blue majority in California and New York. I don’t expect huge pickups in those states, but I do expect a lot of D+6, maybe a little higher, districts to turn red around the country. There are few worries for current red districts.
This is October! Don’t put it past these devils to
Have a ‘surprise’ in store for us...still!
I wouldn’t be surprised.
If it's not 80 seats, it's the voters who are crazy. Seldom do we see such a horrible mess under Dems. I mean, I can't even name a single good thing.
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