Posted on 09/23/2022 11:13:23 AM PDT by Red Badger
As the midterms approach, three swing-state Democratic Senators are in danger of losing their respective races, according to new polling from Data for Progress.
In Arizona, Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is barely holding onto a 1% lead over Republican candidate Blake Masters, with 48% of respondents saying they would vote for him in the midterms; Masters polled just behind Kelly at 47%, according to Data for Progress. (RELATED: Republicans Are Turning A Massive Swing State Solidly Red)
In Georgia, Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock is tied 46% to 46% with Republican candidate and former football star Herschel Walker, the poll showed. In Nevada, Republican Adam Laxalt leads opponent Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, with 47% of respondents saying they would vote for Laxalt compared to 46% for Cortez Masto, according to the poll.
NEW BATTLEGROUND POLLS: Today, we released new polls in 3 critical battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada. Thread below:
AZ: Sen. Kelly narrowly leads Masters 48% - 47%
GA: Sen. Warnock and Walker tied 46% - 46%
NV: Laxalt narrowly leads Sen. Cortez Masto 47% - 46% 2:11 PM · Sep 22, 2022
Republicans hold a stronger advantage in gubernatorial races in two of the states; in Arizona, Republican Kari Lake polled higher than Democrat Katie Hobbs, leading 51% to 47%, the poll showed.
Republican Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp polled 7% above Democratic candidate Stacey Abrams, leading 51% to 44%. The Nevada gubernatorial race is currently tied, with Republican Joe Lombardo and Democrat Steve Sisolak each receiving 45% of likely voters.
The Data for Progress poll in Georgia was conducted with 1,006 likely voters, the Arizona poll was conducted with 768 likely voters and the Nevada poll was conducted with 874 likely voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 3%.
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RCP:
only one poll used to matter...
then someone stole the election...
it remains to be seen if this election will be free and fair.
The Nevada senate race might just hand Senate control to us, because I believe Walker will eventually win. There is no way that many Republicans vote for the Republican governor and then cross over and vote for the Democrat for Senate. Those voters will eventually come home and when they do we will have the Senate.
AZ, NV, and GA
And all of them are within the margin of fraud.
What’s going on in PA with Frankenstein vs Oz ?
It won't but the Dems will still lose in November, just like they lost in November in Virginia last year, despite Dems being the incumbents and despite Dems being ahead in the polls for most of last year.
polls for some unknown reason keep showing that thug ahead. Oz just doesn’t connect for whatever reason apparently.
My only hope is someone has dirt on Fetterman, that they are just waiting to release.
They said Reagan and Carter were too close to call. When they are in trouble, they release polls showing their beloved lunatics even or a point ahead.
Kelly is running commercials of rednecks sitting around pool halls talking about how they hate Blake Masters. Then he comes on in a veterans’cap.
Those rednecks would have to be real loons to vote for that gun grabbing POS who doubled the IRS and is an automatic vote for Schumer and Biden.
In Arizona, I think Lake will easily win the governorship. And I also think she has big enough coattails to drag other Arizona Republican candidates over the line, including Masters for Senate.
As I recall, the polls the weekend before the 1980 did show a movement to President Reagan. His margin of victory was much greater than even those final polls.
You make a good point, which is that, any Democrat elected, will vote for Schumer as Senate majority leader, or Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, should Democrats retain control. This should be a bigger campaign issue, in my opinion, that any Democrat you elect will vote for the Democrat agenda 99% of the time.
and then the water main breaks will happen at 3am and the rest will be history
Pat Caddell, Carter’s private pollster, told him on the plane on Election Eve that he would lose to Reagan by about ten points, which he did. Until the debate that last week, the national polls put Carter ahead.
Polls frequently move closer for the Conservatives in races.
The polling firms make it sound impossible for the candidate
to be elected until they can no longer keep up the big lie. Then
they try to save face acting as if the momentum shifted at the
last minute.
Nope.
“Oz just doesn’t connect for whatever reason apparently.”
I think a lot of people here could see the problems with Oz as a candidate long before the primary.
The good news is we don’t need PA this time.
“it remains to be seen if this election will be free and fair.”
It won’t be, but that is not what we should be focusing on now.
Yes, the Dems cheat but there are only so many cemetery voters. A 1 or 2 point margin they can steal. That is why we need to turnout and make sure our side wins by five.
You make a good point, which is that, any Democrat elected, will vote for Schumer as Senate majority leader, or Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, should Democrats retain control. This should be a bigger campaign issue, in my opinion, that any Democrat you elect will vote for the Democrat agenda 99% of the time.
I feel the same about any R elected who votes to retain McConnell as Senate Majority Leader and to a slightly lesser extent for McCarthy as Speaker! I’ll be very disappointed if the Rs don’t take both houses, and slightly less disgusted if they retain these 2 in Leadership positions.
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