Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
I was living in New Port Richey at the time...Lost thirteen trees and took a week to get knee-deep slime and muck off my drive and house.
Obviously I was wrong…..
Brevard County is distributing sandbags Saturday in Merritt Island….
…additional locations will be announced Saturday and Sunday
Thanks so much for this thread. I live in a townhouse in Largo, but just left today for a road trip to South Carolina to visit son and family. We were due to drive back on Wednesday, but guess that might be delayed. I have a new roof and new hurricane windows all around. But I have two huge pine trees behind my unit, have begged the HOA to take them down. (We have our share of Karens on the board,
sigh.) Either of those trees will definitely do major damage in they fall in my direction
Thanks for these posts. Now on the Texas coast and retired. Don’t need another Harvey.
Have seen the doomsday scenario before. Noted that you are located in Wisconsin.
Aw, that’s fine. We’re good, really. I had power back in the office in 18 hours and at home by 30 hours. We were much luckier than the rest. Otherwise, no damage to speak of.
Good luck with this one going your way. I’ll follow you and I might have to head up there to help.
Just filled up the truck and 5 Jerry cans at 3.31 a gal. No lines. But it’s getting crowded
I’m a weather geek of sorts. So I do track these things. I also have a few friends in FL.
My source which has Noaa connects tell me the same thing its all about Sunday. When you look at all the spaghettis this thing ocudl be all over the place no certain track yet,I can see where there would be a lot easier path by Sunday.
The 86 you see on your water temp chart at the bottom of fla. is right near me.
Agree. Over the years, I have rather appreciated being in the forecast track four-five days out. This is because the undeveloped storm will most likely end up elsewhere in five days. Still, it does get one’s attention.
My experience w/ pines in hurricanes in FL is that they are smart trees and rarely come down. They can shed nearly every branch, but usually stay upright.
For sure NN. This could be another interesting track and watch on the intensity side as well. It’s gonna go from 35mph to 135mph in bascially a few days! That’s a quick build up by any standards.
My Great Grandmother who lived in RI, had a big tall pine tree in her yard when I was growing up. I once asked her in the 1970’s how come the tree was crooked on the bottom but further up the trunk is straight? She answered the Hurricane of 1938. Hurricane Bob took it out in 1981, I believe.
Hurricane Charley went from 110 mph to 145 mph in three hours.
You can tell McLure is kinda jazzed though. If Kacmarik gets rattled, that’s when you need to pay attention.
Stay safe all of you there is Sarasota.
The pines break in Cat2+ wind speeds. The pine forests in the Panhandle I-10 medians just west of Tallahassee are still wiped clean from Michael.
Weather bttt
Yep same in the keys. Was down in KW today and heading back to MM 38 every gas station had lines. Not sunshine key. Pulled right up and topped off. 3rd
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