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Hurricane Ian
NHC/NOAA ^ | 23 September 2022 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.


Mash image to enlarge

Public Advisories

NHC Discussion

Buoy Data

Tropical Tidbits


Hebert's Boxes


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricaneian; ian; nautinurse; officialianthread; tropical; tropicalstorm; uhoh; weather
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To: NautiNurse

I was living in New Port Richey at the time...Lost thirteen trees and took a week to get knee-deep slime and muck off my drive and house.


161 posted on 09/23/2022 3:31:02 PM PDT by devane617 (RUN FOR LOCAL ELECTED OFFICE! COUNCIL,SCHOOL BOARD, ETC.)
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To: Guenevere

Obviously I was wrong…..

Brevard County is distributing sandbags Saturday in Merritt Island….
…additional locations will be announced Saturday and Sunday


162 posted on 09/23/2022 3:38:59 PM PDT by Guenevere (“If the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do?”)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks so much for this thread. I live in a townhouse in Largo, but just left today for a road trip to South Carolina to visit son and family. We were due to drive back on Wednesday, but guess that might be delayed. I have a new roof and new hurricane windows all around. But I have two huge pine trees behind my unit, have begged the HOA to take them down. (We have our share of Karens on the board,
sigh.) Either of those trees will definitely do major damage in they fall in my direction


163 posted on 09/23/2022 3:39:51 PM PDT by RightField
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for these posts. Now on the Texas coast and retired. Don’t need another Harvey.


164 posted on 09/23/2022 3:44:11 PM PDT by nomorelurker
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To: Thunder90

Have seen the doomsday scenario before. Noted that you are located in Wisconsin.


165 posted on 09/23/2022 3:48:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: NautiNurse

Aw, that’s fine. We’re good, really. I had power back in the office in 18 hours and at home by 30 hours. We were much luckier than the rest. Otherwise, no damage to speak of.

Good luck with this one going your way. I’ll follow you and I might have to head up there to help.


166 posted on 09/23/2022 3:50:40 PM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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To: Joe Brower

Just filled up the truck and 5 Jerry cans at 3.31 a gal. No lines. But it’s getting crowded


167 posted on 09/23/2022 3:53:41 PM PDT by rarestia (“A nation which can prefer disgrace to danger is prepared for a master, and deserves one.” -Hamilton)
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To: NautiNurse

I’m a weather geek of sorts. So I do track these things. I also have a few friends in FL.


168 posted on 09/23/2022 4:07:59 PM PDT by Thunder90 (All posts soley represent my own opinion.)
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To: NautiNurse

My source which has Noaa connects tell me the same thing its all about Sunday. When you look at all the spaghettis this thing ocudl be all over the place no certain track yet,I can see where there would be a lot easier path by Sunday.
The 86 you see on your water temp chart at the bottom of fla. is right near me.


169 posted on 09/23/2022 4:09:33 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE!! ITS ALL A CONSPIRACY: UNTIL ITS NOT)
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To: rodguy911

Agree. Over the years, I have rather appreciated being in the forecast track four-five days out. This is because the undeveloped storm will most likely end up elsewhere in five days. Still, it does get one’s attention.


170 posted on 09/23/2022 4:30:32 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: RightField

My experience w/ pines in hurricanes in FL is that they are smart trees and rarely come down. They can shed nearly every branch, but usually stay upright.


171 posted on 09/23/2022 4:58:55 PM PDT by FLNittany (Autotune is jealous of Karen Carpenter)
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To: NautiNurse

For sure NN. This could be another interesting track and watch on the intensity side as well. It’s gonna go from 35mph to 135mph in bascially a few days! That’s a quick build up by any standards.


172 posted on 09/23/2022 4:59:07 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE!! ITS ALL A CONSPIRACY: UNTIL ITS NOT)
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To: FLNittany

My Great Grandmother who lived in RI, had a big tall pine tree in her yard when I was growing up. I once asked her in the 1970’s how come the tree was crooked on the bottom but further up the trunk is straight? She answered the Hurricane of 1938. Hurricane Bob took it out in 1981, I believe.


173 posted on 09/23/2022 5:03:51 PM PDT by jpp113
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To: rodguy911
We've seen GOM storms spin up quickly from a scattered mess into a monster many times. Katrina regained hurricane status one hour after crossing the Everglades, later strengthening from Category 3 to Cat 5 in nine hours.

Hurricane Charley went from 110 mph to 145 mph in three hours.

174 posted on 09/23/2022 5:07:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: rarestia

You can tell McLure is kinda jazzed though. If Kacmarik gets rattled, that’s when you need to pay attention.


175 posted on 09/23/2022 5:15:26 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: Joe Brower

Stay safe all of you there is Sarasota.


176 posted on 09/23/2022 5:39:41 PM PDT by entropy12 (Trump & MAGA are the only road to kep USA viable.)
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To: FLNittany

The pines break in Cat2+ wind speeds. The pine forests in the Panhandle I-10 medians just west of Tallahassee are still wiped clean from Michael.


177 posted on 09/23/2022 5:41:39 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: Thunder90
Mike's Weather Page is the best resource I have found and his live "Daily Brew" on youtube, twitter and instagram is excellent. He thinks the European model on this one is very likely to be correct. In any case, his site is the best resource for every site with information of storms.
178 posted on 09/23/2022 5:46:49 PM PDT by Poser (Cogito ergo Spam - I think, therefore I ham)
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To: Poser

Weather bttt


179 posted on 09/23/2022 5:57:12 PM PDT by Guenevere (“If the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do?”)
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To: rarestia

Yep same in the keys. Was down in KW today and heading back to MM 38 every gas station had lines. Not sunshine key. Pulled right up and topped off. 3rd


180 posted on 09/23/2022 6:18:01 PM PDT by VastRWCon (Fake News")
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