Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Not sure what the elevation is. We are in SE cape inland from beach area.
your likely are going to be under feet of water with waves on top of that
The ocean will gradually rise until the eye gets half way inland north...then the surge will come around the backside rising rapidly
might want to get an axe in case you have to chop a hole to get to your roof
Lee County landfalling storm surge
https://fortmyers.floridaweekly.com/articles/storm-surge-flooding-threat/
Thanks, FRiend! ltns
All of our neighbors stayed. Mostly retirees. We have a navy seal, an army nurse snd a firehouse 3 blocks away
This. As I said in an earlier post, there is no value there (w/ the state run insurance if you live near the ocean). I stopped paying a decade before paying off my mortgage and no one ever came after me btw.
That said, this is my last insurance related post and hope it’s the same for others. The topic is certainly worthy of a separate thread at a different time, but it shouldn’t detract from breaking news on an historic FL storm (as well as all NN’s hard work in maintaining the thread).
Many people depend on this thread for up to the minute information, not insurance arguments and storm strength squabbles. We should all think about that before posting.
So, the answer is no.
Thanks.
I’m amazed. Waves now overtopping the pier
*** Always track the real path and not talking heads.***
Good advice.
The flooding will be bad.
Yes. already set the record for storm surge in Naples. My family a couple miles inland says the wind is definitely blowing but surprisingly they still have power
They used to call those storms a tempest.
I can't imagine sailing into one of those in a pre 20th Century ship. There were a lot of shipwrecks.
“Not enough. No legitimate insurance company would have that little as a buffer, “
Plenty enough for the number of policies. And many policies are farmed out to other providers.
Native, I already said that up thread.
I am with USAA and thankfully, not in the path of the hurricane, or at least directly.
However, given USAA”s total obsession with advertising on the NFL and their exposure to this storm in the Tampa area I am sure they will jack rates on me again. They are no longer the deal they were 40 years ago when I first became a member, but as long as the board members get their bonuses for new members they are happy.
Most importantly though, prayers for all those in the path of this storm including family members in Central Florida. It looks ugly and the slow speed is very concerning.
The mountains block a lot off of us. I’m near Cleveland TN. If it comes up from the South, we get blow-off from it. They are predicting less than an inch of rain for us from the hurricane. He has off and on mild dementia and when he sees stuff on TV, sometimes he doesn’t know where he is or where it is. He kept saying that our metal buildings won’t stand 155mph winds. I finally got through to him that those winds were for Florida, not Tennessee.
Thank you for the good manners.
I was supposed to be in Savannah GA today through Friday for a work conference. I’m retiring in November so it was a moot point.
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