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Hurricane Ian
NHC/NOAA ^ | 23 September 2022 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.


Mash image to enlarge

Public Advisories

NHC Discussion

Buoy Data

Tropical Tidbits


Hebert's Boxes


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricaneian; ian; nautinurse; officialianthread; tropical; tropicalstorm; uhoh; weather
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To: jersey117

Not sure what the elevation is. We are in SE cape inland from beach area.


your likely are going to be under feet of water with waves on top of that

The ocean will gradually rise until the eye gets half way inland north...then the surge will come around the backside rising rapidly

might want to get an axe in case you have to chop a hole to get to your roof

Lee County landfalling storm surge

https://fortmyers.floridaweekly.com/articles/storm-surge-flooding-threat/


1,401 posted on 09/28/2022 8:53:04 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: commish

Thanks, FRiend! ltns


1,402 posted on 09/28/2022 8:53:12 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: janetjanet998

All of our neighbors stayed. Mostly retirees. We have a navy seal, an army nurse snd a firehouse 3 blocks away


1,403 posted on 09/28/2022 8:53:34 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: onemiddleamerican

This. As I said in an earlier post, there is no value there (w/ the state run insurance if you live near the ocean). I stopped paying a decade before paying off my mortgage and no one ever came after me btw.

That said, this is my last insurance related post and hope it’s the same for others. The topic is certainly worthy of a separate thread at a different time, but it shouldn’t detract from breaking news on an historic FL storm (as well as all NN’s hard work in maintaining the thread).

Many people depend on this thread for up to the minute information, not insurance arguments and storm strength squabbles. We should all think about that before posting.


1,404 posted on 09/28/2022 8:55:05 AM PDT by FLNittany (Autotune is jealous of Karen Carpenter)
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To: FamiliarFace
I had a very elderly Great Uncle in Desoto county that we raced over and move out of the real storm path . Always track the real path and not talking heads .
1,405 posted on 09/28/2022 8:55:39 AM PDT by ncalburt ( Gop DC Globalists are the evil )
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To: fatima
flying debris on radar,gust measured 210.
1,406 posted on 09/28/2022 8:55:47 AM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Theoria

So, the answer is no.


1,407 posted on 09/28/2022 8:55:54 AM PDT by Oystir
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To: caww

Thanks.


1,408 posted on 09/28/2022 8:56:20 AM PDT by Rusty0604 (" When you can't make them see the light, make them feel the heat." -Ronald Reagan)
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To: jeffers
Goofy local newsie talking about an active tornado warning...Now, I don't want you to look outside right now, but if you did, you would see the heaviest rain you've ever seen.
1,409 posted on 09/28/2022 8:56:27 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: dynachrome

I’m amazed. Waves now overtopping the pier


1,410 posted on 09/28/2022 8:56:57 AM PDT by Mom MD ( )
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To: ncalburt

*** Always track the real path and not talking heads.***

Good advice.


1,411 posted on 09/28/2022 8:57:24 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: alancarp

The flooding will be bad.


1,412 posted on 09/28/2022 8:58:29 AM PDT by Rusty0604 (" When you can't make them see the light, make them feel the heat." -Ronald Reagan)
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To: CatHerd

Yes. already set the record for storm surge in Naples. My family a couple miles inland says the wind is definitely blowing but surprisingly they still have power


1,413 posted on 09/28/2022 8:58:37 AM PDT by Mom MD ( )
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To: AbolishCSEU
This makes me have awesome respect for the early sea faring people who had to sail the high seas and had no way of predicting storms like this one.

They used to call those storms a tempest.

I can't imagine sailing into one of those in a pre 20th Century ship. There were a lot of shipwrecks.

1,414 posted on 09/28/2022 9:00:58 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (4,116,490 active users on Truth Social)
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To: Theoria

“Not enough. No legitimate insurance company would have that little as a buffer, “

Plenty enough for the number of policies. And many policies are farmed out to other providers.


1,415 posted on 09/28/2022 9:00:59 AM PDT by TexasGator (!!!)
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To: Oystir

Native, I already said that up thread.


1,416 posted on 09/28/2022 9:01:47 AM PDT by Theoria
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To: TexasGator

I am with USAA and thankfully, not in the path of the hurricane, or at least directly.

However, given USAA”s total obsession with advertising on the NFL and their exposure to this storm in the Tampa area I am sure they will jack rates on me again. They are no longer the deal they were 40 years ago when I first became a member, but as long as the board members get their bonuses for new members they are happy.

Most importantly though, prayers for all those in the path of this storm including family members in Central Florida. It looks ugly and the slow speed is very concerning.


1,417 posted on 09/28/2022 9:02:03 AM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: CatHerd

The mountains block a lot off of us. I’m near Cleveland TN. If it comes up from the South, we get blow-off from it. They are predicting less than an inch of rain for us from the hurricane. He has off and on mild dementia and when he sees stuff on TV, sometimes he doesn’t know where he is or where it is. He kept saying that our metal buildings won’t stand 155mph winds. I finally got through to him that those winds were for Florida, not Tennessee.


1,418 posted on 09/28/2022 9:02:05 AM PDT by Tennessee Conservative (@Shegens on Truth Social 🐝)
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To: FLNittany
"That said, this is my last insurance related post and hope it’s the same for others. The topic is certainly worthy of a separate thread at a different time, but it shouldn’t detract from breaking news on an historic FL storm (as well as all NN’s hard work in maintaining the thread)."

Thank you for the good manners.

1,419 posted on 09/28/2022 9:02:49 AM PDT by blam
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To: Tennessee Conservative

I was supposed to be in Savannah GA today through Friday for a work conference. I’m retiring in November so it was a moot point.


1,420 posted on 09/28/2022 9:04:11 AM PDT by AbolishCSEU (Amount of "child" support paid is inversely proportionate to mother's actual parenting of children)
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