Farming Insider Warns The Coming Food Shortages Are Going To Be Far Worse Than We’re Being Told

Republic Brief ^ | 01/31/2022 | Jeff Miller

[SeekAndFind]

In many grocery stores across the country, there are shortages of certain items, and food supplies have become scarce globally.

Many farmers will find it impossible to plant corn this year due to dramatically increased fertilizer costs, according to a new report. Below is an excerpt from an email from an insider in the industry.

“Things for 2022 are interesting (and scary). Input costs for things like fertilizer, liquid nitrogen and seeds are like triple and quadruple the old prices. It will not be profitable to plant this year. Let me repeat, the economics will NOT work.

Our plan, is to drop about 700 acres of corn off and convert to soybeans (they use less fertilizer, and we also have chicken manure from that operation). Guess what? We are not the only ones with those plans. Already there is a shortage of soybean seeds, so we will see how that will work out.

The way I see it, there will be a major grain shortage later in the year, especially with corn. I mean, we are small with that. What about these people in the midwest who have like 10,000 acres of corn? This will not be good.”

A subsequent email elaborated on his remarks…

“As for the farming, I see it getting bad. Things like fertilizer and liquid nitrogen have tripled and quadrupled in price.

Yes commodity prices are up, but that certainly won’t cover the new increased input costs. We are in NC, so while certainly not like the midwest, we still grow grain. The midwest of course will have these same higher input costs as well.

Corn for example, typically takes about 600 pounds of fertilizer per acre, plus 50 gallons of liquid nitrogen. Times that by many acres and thats a lot of money. Soybeans take much less.

The plan for us, and most others around here, is to drastically cut corn acres and switch to soybeans. Problem is, there is apparently a soybean seed shortage because others have this plan as well. We were lucky enough to pre buy enough to do it. However, most people, especially younger farmers, or farmers where that is all they do, probably don’t have the money to front like that.

The way I see it, a corn shortage will come. I guess there could possibly be a glut of soybeans, but remember that could depend on the seed being available. I guess there are other alternatives, maybe milo, oats, or barley.

Of course the corn market is much larger. Think animal feed and ethanol. I mean for animals, soybeans are used too, but its a mix. What happens to the animal producers who depend on reasonably priced corn? I just don’t see how it can end well. I mean, even if we end up with plenty of soybeans, even a glut, then you have a busted market for that. I don’t know.

There just isn’t much history to base any of this on. I just see it hurting both grain farmers, and animal farmers, and also translating to more shortages and price increases for consumers who buy the end products.”

Among the foundational components of our food supply is corn.

Corn can be found in just about everything one way or another if you go to the grocery store and read the ingredients.

It’s not just here in the United States that fertilizer prices are skyrocketing.

The high price of fertilizer in South America will greatly affect coffee production…

The Wall Street Journal reported:

“Christina Ribeiro do Valle, who comes from a long line of coffee growers in Brazil, is this year paying three times what she paid last year for the fertilizer she needs. Coupled with a recent drought that hit her crop hard, it means Ms. do Valle, 75, will produce a fraction of her Ribeiro do Valle brand of coffee, some of which is exported.

There is also a shortage of fertilizer. “This year, you pay, then put your name on a waiting list, and the supplier delivers it when he has it,” she said.”

Coffee drinkers will soon have to pay higher prices for their favorite beverage in the morning.

The high cost of fertilizer in Africa could result in “30 million metric tons less food produced”…

“Fertilizer demand in sub-Saharan Africa could fall 30% in 2022, according to the International Fertilizer Development Center, a global nonprofit organization. That would translate to 30 million metric tons less food produced, which the center says is equivalent to the food needs of 100 million people.

“Lower fertilizer use will inevitably weigh on food production and quality, affecting food availability, rural incomes and the livelihoods of the poor,” said Josef Schmidhuber, deputy director of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization’s trade and markets division.”

National shortages have been reported across the country, and The Wall Street Journal published an article recently titled “U.S. Food Supply Is Under Pressure, From Plants To Store Shelves.”

Residents of Washington, D.C., are being told “just buy what you need and leave some for others.”

“If you’re hitting the grocery store to prepare for winter weather, please just buy what you need and leave some for others! You may have noticed empty shelves in some stores due to national supply chain issues, but there is no need to buy more than you normally would.”

If you're hitting the grocery store to prepare for winter weather, please just buy what you need and leave some for others!

You may have noticed empty shelves in some stores due to national supply chain issues, but there is no need to buy more than you normally would. pic.twitter.com/RcCNNa4Zj4

— DC Homeland Security & Emergency Management (@DC_HSEMA)


January 15, 2022

[Tilted Irish Kilt]

gundog :" Like during the Depression, songbirds are gonna be on the menu."

True that !
A food shortage makes for desperate people,
especially in the cities where the population is compressed and is more dependent on a broken supply chain, and,
where there is no room for a home garden.
This results in scavenging for self and family survival and a desperate population,
and then the rules of society and civilization may no longer apply.

[Man from Oz]

My grandfather (born 1915) often spoke of the family eating Robins during the depression... I wonder if the meat texture is similar to quail? Hmmm.

MFO

[gundog]

I used to hang out with a guy that did the mountain man thing, and the annual rendezvous that they organized. They were pretty hard-core. The only serious anachronism that they allowed was Coleman canoes. He used to brag about the woodpecker stew that he made.

[gundog]

Robins are migratory. I’d expect dark breast meat. White meat comes from seldom used muscles, like the breasts of gallinaceous ( chicken-like) birds. Texture is probably pretty consistent in birds. Taste is probably largely dependent on their diet.

[tired&retired]

Dairy farms that are not producing their own feed will go bankrupt in the tight margin between milk prices and increasing feed costs.

[tired&retired]

Big fertilizer plant burnt today in Winston Salem NC

[tired&retired]

My Father was born in 1910, my mother 1918. I grew up a poor hillbilly, fishing, trapping, hunting.. That’s how we survived.

Wood stove to cook year round, carry buckets of water from the springhouse, and using an outhouse.

Been there done that.

[tired&retired]

Turn an old refrigerator into a smoker and you can make anything taste good. Muskrat, groundhog, raccoon, even garbage fish like carp.

[tired&retired]

6,000 urged to evacuate as North Carolina fertilizer plant fire threatens an ammonium nitrate explosion

https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/01/us/winston-salem-fertilizer-plant-fire/index.html

[metmom]

Even if you had a home garden, some lazy SOB will steal from it after you have done the hard work.

[SVTCobra03]

Remember what happened to the Kulacs.

[Ruy Dias de Bivar]

Hoover Hogs =Armadillos.

[gundog]

Carp from clean water isn’t bad. I smoked some because I was bow-fishing them.

[Lazamataz]

Big fertilizer plant burnt today in Winston Salem NC

See, stuff like that makes me wonder if the Deep State is involved.

[Hot Tabasco]

When I went to my grocery store yesterday, it was better stocked than it had been in weeks

Good for you, when I shopped for spaghetti stuff a couple days ago, I paid $7.00 for just over a pound of ground hamburger. Steaks of all kinds were way, way too expensive for my budget....

[Tolerance Sucks Rocks]

Another Matt Bracken prediction coming true, I’m afraid.

And remember, call conspiracy theories for what they are: spoilers.

[DuncanWaring]

I paid $7.00 for just over a pound of ground hamburger.

---

Find an Aldi.

They’ve got grass-fed 85/15 hamburger for around $5 per pound.

[nuconvert]

I bought ground chuck $5.49/Lb and that’s the regular price

[Ellendra]

I could totally imagine some of the current drug-smuggling networks switching over to smuggling food and other supplies.

[Ellendra]

"One can also join Diana’s weekly gardening thread and learn some basics about gardening and growing your own food. It may be more essential than you realize."

It is also a skill that takes lots of practice to hone, and lots of trial-and-error to find the right combination of varieties and methods that best suits you. What works for one person might not work for another.

I've been gardening since I was 4, and had my own vegetable gardens since I was 12. I'm a professional plant-breeder, and yet I'm still learning.