Posted on 11/19/2020 7:42:44 PM PST by DoughtyOne
PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...
COVID-19 Update # 246
As of 11/18/2020 23:15 PDST United States CDC - Provisional Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Information
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00
If you don't fully understand the COVID-19 Dashboard, please click on it
and you will see more of an explanation.
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Here you can find...
Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscellaneous Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranking, Provisional Numbers, & Territories
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Linked Spreadsheet: Counties, States, Provisional, Territories, & Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources
Section: 01
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information3
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
Fatalities and New Cases in the United States
Fatalities rose by 404 cases from the previous day, to come in at 2,007
yesterday. That was 37.94% higher than the same day the previous week.
New Cases rose by 20,721 cases from the day before, to come in at 178,152
yesterday. That was 27.24% higher than the same day the week before.
Fatalaties and New Cases on the Global Scene
Fatalities rose by 1,218 cases from the previous day, to come in at 11,915
yesterday. That was 13.45% higher than the same day the previous week.
New Cases rose by 76,377 cases from the day before, to come in at 649,994
yesterday. This was 0.65% higher than the same day the week before.
Global Milestone
On the Global Scene we saw the 39 millionth Recovery.
Section: 02
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America
Here we go...
New Case Declarations rosey by 20,721 cases yesterday.
Please take note of the Resolved Percentage level on the right.
It is headed down these days. It dropped 5.0% in the last month.
The number is significant enough now to take note of it daily.
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here are more of our numbers...
Active Cases rose by 96,945 cases yesterday.
Serious/Critical cases rose again.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie
The growth of our slice of the pie has been decreasing recently.
Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globally Declared and Active Cases.
The struggle continues, as we now move back up again.
Active Cases in the United States / Chart
Unlike some of the other charts here, we should see a good rise and
fall at some point with this one.
Note that this presents the single, seven, and fourteen day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new Declared Cases. These are remaing Active Cases.
Not seeing any signs of New Case declaration numbers softening.
Active Cases will be going up further.
Testing and New Case Figures
Requested by stocksthatgoup
Some folks have shown an interest in seeing the COVID-19 Test figures compared
to the New Cases being declared. The following Data addresses that. The size
of it just doesn't seem reasoned to me.
Why/how could the posive portion of the popoulace vary as much as 2.0% from day
to day? I could a lot easier see a 2.0% trend over three or four days. One day?
Nah.
Testing dropped off a bit more yesterday.
The Positive Percentages each rose yesterday.
That 14-day rising line is hard to take. Look at that thing.
The U. S. Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/17
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers. I may be wrong
not to do so, but I don't plan to put much weight in those figures for a
few days until they normalize.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/17, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to watch.
The New Case Declarations line is moving on up.
The Active Case line is rising precipitously.
United States Movers and Shakers...
I will present the U S States with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities rankings.
Here we go...
California and Texas took the top spots yesterday.
California has been bouncing around from 6k to now 14k. The numbers just
don't look reasoned to me. One day up. The next day way down. The next
day way up. Infections don't work that way. They trend. There's no
trend here other than bouncing around. Of course there is the perception
that cases are rising, but it almost looks contrived.
Section: 03
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China
Here is the first set of Data for the Global Outside China
Territories
New Case declarations rose by 76,373 cases yesterday.
The Resolved Percentage was back on it's trek lower yesterday.
Please take a look back up the column to see it's changes recently.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here we go...
Active Cases rose by 206,215 cases yesterday. They had risent 116k the
day before.
Check out the Serious/Critical cases there. They went up considerably.
How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?
Let's see...
The middle number rose yesterday, it being a higher reporting
day of the week, but it was lower than it otherwise would have been
because the United States' numbers were so high.
Our blue column rose up. You can see the progression over the last
three weeks.
The blue line there... well... &%#! X*!#?
Are we seeing an indication of moderation there? Hope so...
For the last couple of days, it has looked like the upward path
has moderated, to be not rising quite as much.
The Active Cases outside China Globally / Chart
As in the United States' version of this, we should see a good rise and fall at
some point these two.
Note that these present the one day and then 7 and 14 day averaging versions.
Global Active Cases are growing considerably. In the last 45 days they have
added as much as were accumulated the prior 7.5 months. Not good...
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Jim Noble mentioned he'd like to see the US numbers added here. I added them
in on 06/21/2020. I did not add them to the chart because it would have
dwarfed the European nations chart lines. (they would have been reduced to
about 15% of their normal size)
Let's Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
Ug!
The best way to read these line charges, is to take each individual
nation and compare what it's doing now in relation to what it was
doing.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Against COVID-19?
Sweden is doing its own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
Sweden had flattened out a bit after that correction a while back, but it
is drifting up at an excellerated pace now. Norway seems to be making
a move also.
The best way to read these line changes, is to take each individual
nation and compare what it's doing now in relation to what it was
doing.
The Netherlands... yikes.
Global Movers and Shakers...
I will present the top fifty nations with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities.
Here we go...
The United States took both categories again yesterday.
Look at the spreads between the United States figures and the figures
of the next nation down. COVID-19 is very active in the United States
at the moment.
I know what some of you think, but the cooler weather is here, and we
are seeing a lot of cases and an elevated Fatality rate.
Global osChina Stats / w 10 Day Agveraging / Fr: 03/05
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/05, but the data
displayed here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
The Active Case chart line is turning up. Sorry to see it.
In the United States chart like this one, the Recoveries, and Resolved
Case lines have not shown near the strength as is revealed here with these
upward bound lines.
That chart is provided here, in a small version, but you can see it full size
if you right click view.
Section: 04
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China's numbers are 0.002% of today's total global numbers.
(this was larger than normal change here, and there may have been
something I didn't pick on - keep that in mind as you review this)
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
The Resolved percentage have been declining recenty. Yesterday it
turned back down after one day of rising.
Folks should view up the column to see what the trend here has been
recently.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Critical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Active Cases rose by 206,205 cases yesterday, after a 116k rise the day
before.
The Serious/Critical cases were on the rise.
Section: 05
the Mortality Report
>
Here is the data for four entities...
Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.
We hear all sorts of stories about how these figures are wildly off. The CDC
has studied them and seems to think they may actually be on the low side of
things. I am providing the CDC Provential Numbers down below. Not sure if
anyone has a rock solid number. I doubt it is possible. This is what is
reported out by WoM and JHU. Check out the CDC numbers too.
Charts like this one only show growth. That's why I recently took the advice
of a FReeper and added in a new chart for the U. S. and Global outside China
regions.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
Fatalities rose across the board in accordance with the higher reporting
days of the week. Our numbers ARE NOT looking good.
Since the beginning of COVID-19's activity in the U. S., higher New Cases were
soon followed by elevated Fatalities. If we have gone to school on the data
of this disease, we know who should avoid exposure the most. So if the
demographic that has little to fear from the disease is out there getting
infected, it may not be a bad thing at all. If the Fatalities remain low,
vastly higher cases may simply increase the rapidity of the saturation of the
people in public who have already fought it off. And that may facilitate the
end of the disease. I'm sure others know this, but I did want to explain why
my thinking has fluctuated over time regarding these dynamics.
Here, let's look at data for the United States broken out by itself.
Our Fatalities rose on Wednesday, as is expected on that day weekly.
Looking at the last week on the right, we see the numbers starting out
very high there.
Section: 06
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one
case. I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this
time.
You can see the numbers there. We've been taking a real beathing here
recently.
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
This data was developed so we could see how many nations pose a real
breakout threat, possibly dashing our hopes of lower cases globally.
These are only declared cases, but it does help us to see how many large
infectious communities there are globally.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certain days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticeably larger because of it.
And we now know Thursdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!
IMO Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
We are seeing a weakening of the numbers to keep moving up at the pace
they have recently. That being said, we don't see numbers drop once they
have lost the strength to move up. We just see the numbers remain at
that level until they gain enough new strength to grow from there.
These are essentially base camps to the summit, whatever that summit is.
Section: 07
The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.
For months Puerto Rico was showing up with the Counties. That stopped in early July
if memory serves me well.
Section: 08
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
If this area interests you, please use this LINK to the source, and review
the lengthy description and explanation of it's development process.
There are two reports. The presentation above comes from the second one,
and the detailed segmented information below it, may interest you.
These can now also be found under the states on the Alphabetical list. The
states and these entity's numbers should be combined to match that of the
U. S. figures each day.
Section: 09
The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Nations?
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There was 215 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 215 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category had the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with the 31 top nations on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.
I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the District of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.
Here we go... for your review.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Around 06/23, China started putting out it's testing numbers. I thought
they were suspect. The number they put out was 90,410,000. Ours and most
everyone else's numbers are specific. For instance on 06/28, our number of
of tests at the ned of the day was 32,592,368. That specificity separates it
from the number China put out. It was rounded to the 10 thousandth place. In
addition, China did not update that number until 09/02/20. On that date they
raised the number to 160,000,000. As of October 3rd, 2020, they haven't updeded
it again. So I do not inlude China in the Nation's Comparison Sort regarding
Testing, and any place that reports out global testing numbers for a top level
comparison.
Please note that global testing on the Dashboard was only deducting China's
90,410,000 figure from 09/02 through 10/02/2020. I should have been
deducting the 160,000,000 figure, and all global figures during that period
were 69,590,000 tests too high.
We remained in 18th place regarding Tests per million.
Section: 10
Here is what it is all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Section: 11
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK United States Center for Disease Control - Provisional Numbers
Listed in the order of current utilization...
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Section: 12
Other Features:
LINK US Counties200, States & DC51, Territories & Other Entities11, Nations219,
and the CDC Provisional Counts53
Five Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...
Section: 13
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own judgement.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC National Center for Health Services
Provisional deaths as determined by review of vital documents. Much lower...
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden
LINK Coronavirus Spread Quickly Around the World in Late 2019, Study Shows
the University College London Genetics Institute
LINK COVID-19 Deaths Broken Out by Thirds, 05/07/20 Map of US Counties
Very revealing display of Concentrated Death Zones - thanks hoosiermama
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK Nasal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, borough, age, sex
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Rt COVID-19
Calculates and displays the Rt Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.
LINK World Health Organization
Pennylvania Nursing Home (LTC) death stats November 19.
Data from PA Department of Health, swept as of midnight November 18-19
LTC deaths = 6169 (increase of 12)
Total deaths = 9581 (increase of 116)
Cumulative LTC deaths as percentage of total = 64.4 %
The cumulative total convenient dips lower as news begins to break that PA Secretary of Health Levine (I will avoid first names and pronouns) may be under consideration for a high level post in a potential Biden administration. That consideration may also explain the rash of masking orders issued this week: Wear them in your own house if someone enters who is not from your household and expect to keep wearing them—even with a vaccine—throughout 2021.
You need to pull your head out, and realize that this
information is being used by the Left. Should we simply
refuse to look at it, or should we keep an eye on it?
These numbers are out there. JHU and WoM, have them and
people go there to see them.
Here we present them and talk about them. That’s what we
do with countless articles across the forum.
I have a problem with them myself, and I point out my
issues with them daily.
If you folks would spend half as much time looking at
the actually data, and quite firing off without knowing
what you’re talking about, you would realize that.
What is wrong with reporting numbers?
Why talk about an almost benign virus that can’t even kill a baby?
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3907794/posts?page=6#6
At the bottom of the Update, there are a number of links
to possible treatments that may be helpful.
Consider the folks giving you a hard time.
They are the nasty dead-Enders. They won’t count for much soon.
We have to come up with a plan B. And then onwards.
I hope you know, that I cherish and respect you, so much, for many years now.
But how about you just send out a link to this info, for those that are interested, instead of all these tables and charts every day?
Your wonderful and insightful posts, on all other subjects, are missed. Most just don’t see covid as that critical right now. I know several that are 70+ who had no issue at all.
Highest Regards.
So I do need to take you by the hand and explain it to you
huh. These numbers are being used to support the call for
lockdowns.
I present them so that FReepers can view them and understand
what the Left is using to support their efforts.
Why do I post this? Because governors across the nation, and
mayors too, are using them to support shutdowns.
I’d think you’d be interested, but no you’d rather have
the information banned.
Do you think the information just disappears if we don’t
look at it?
Do you think the 20-50 people who look at this information
per day are going to flip the nation?
If you don’t like looking at it, if it scares you this bad,
if you’re so upset by it, just don’t enter the thread.
Pretend none of this exists.
The rest of us will continue to look at what the Left is
using to control our nation.
Sure, if we just ignore it, maybe everyone will just forget about the 300,000 dead bodies.
I’m sure Governor Cuomo would love that. Then nobody would ask questions about why so many died as a result of his policies, and nobody would call for grand jury indictments. Yes, by all means, let’s bury our heads in the sand and sing happy songs.
0.65% Infection Fatality Rate with an R0 of 2.5 equates to a max of 1.3 million dead Americans. We went to war when a group of radical zealots murdered 3,000. But 1.3 million die - many of them because of the botched responses from Cuomo, Newsom, and others, and you rant and rave because somebody posts the numbers.
Are you Governor Cuomo?
I’ve posted a couple times before, but here’s a reminder on this particularly hostile thread day that MANY of us appreciate your efforts to keep this information available for those of us interested in it!
You’re doing the right thing. The people trying to bury this information only help governors like Cuomo and Newsom who SHOULD be under indictment right now for tens of thousands of cases of negligent homicide due to their failures. The higher the numbers climb, the louder our calls should be to indict those criminals. Burying our heads in the sand does nothing but help them escape justice.
Thank you for the nice note. I started this effort 247 days
ago. I expected to do it for several months. It has now
been over eight months.
It’s not easy providing the information. I spend 3-4 hours
per day on this project. I debate with myself whether I
should go on. I have come very close to stopping, but
each time I consider it, it occurs to me that it would
leave a void of information.
I have been very tempted to stop for five months now. I
log updates to 232 nations every day. I do it twice a day
so there won’t be any surprises as I download data. Each
time a new nation is added, it take 45 minutes of extra
time for me to incorporate that nation in.
I use WorldoMeters as my primary source these days, but
there are four nations tracked by Johns Hopkins University
that aren’t tracked by WoM.
This is a thankless job. I get more insults than thanks for
doing it. That’s okay. I didn’t do it for praise.
I do it because I want the information to be accessible for
review and discussion.
If anyone doesn’t want to look at it, that’s fine with me.
If anyone wants to look at it, that’s fine with me.
This is information that is worthy of review.
If you don’t wish to, I respect that. For those that do,
it’s here.
Thank you.
I agree with most of those headlines and expressions of
thoughts about COVID-19.
I know that many folks see this thread as a means of scaring
people. It isn’t.
It’s a means of providing information about what is out
there in the way of Cases and Fatalities.
There are discussions all over the forum with folks talking
about how cases are faked or mis-identified. There are
articles on misdiagnosed causes of Fatalities.
None of them provide a comprehensive version of the
cases or Fatalities. They just talk about the problems
without providing anything of substance to replace the
numbers I present.
I provide these numbers. They are on the record. Whether
we buy into the idea they are factual or not, they are
what is out there.
Here I provide them, what changes are taking place, and
what I see as gamesmanship. With this report I just
published, there are strange numbers for California, as
the leading state with New Cases.
They attribute 14k new cases to California. For the last
week or so, the California numbers have been bouncing
around significantly. They just don’t look normal, and
I stated that.
Several times over the last few days we’ve had states
declare over 10k New Cases, then go right back down to
anywhere from 2k to 6k on alternate days.
I want that looked at and discussed.
We know this. The posts are very impressive, from a technical standpoint.
I debate with myself whether I should go on.
And you have earned that right, to decide what you would like to post. I am just suggesting to you, that most Freepers would prefer you invest your valuable time in posting your insights on all the other important threads that occur each day, rather than this recurrent, potentially boring, one.
We truly love and miss you on the other threads, and to think it is another thing lost to the CCP virus, is depressing.
Your FReind...GE
Thank Golden Eagle. I appreciate it.
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