Posted on 11/02/2020 11:27:15 AM PST by usafa92
Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc. today releases its newest Pennsylvania statewide poll in the Presidential race showing the race between Democrat Joe Biden and Republican Donald Trump is a statistical tie with less than 24 hours before voters’ officially head to the polls to vote in person. In the telephone poll, conducted November 1-2 with 499 likely voters, Donald Trump holds a razor-thin, 49.2% to 48.4% lead over challenger Joe Biden. One percent (1) say they intend to vote for Libertarian Jo Jorgensen, while one percent are still weighing their options. The margin of error for the poll of 499 interviews is +/-4.3%, putting Trump’s .08 percent lead well within the poll’s margin of error.
The lead for Trump in the current survey suggests that support for Biden has been slowly eroding in comparison to surging support for Trump when measured against three separate polls conducted earlier this year - shrinking from a 6-point Biden lead in April (48:42), to a 5-point Biden lead in June (46:41), to a 2-point Biden lead in September (44:42).
This suggests Trump’s strategy to campaign feverishly in a state that traditionally sees more than a majority of its ballots cast on Election Day could be paying dividends with late breaking undecided voters. On the key issues, “job creation and the economy” continue to be cited as the top issue on voters’ minds, at 40%, where Trump leads 77:19. And in a state with an unemployment rate still higher than the national average, voters’ anxieties about jobs could prove decisive to a Trump victory.
Moreover, Gov. Wolf’s approval rating on the COVID pandemic is down to 46% (42% disapprove), his lowest approval rating yet. Trump leads Biden by an 85:15 margin among voters who disapprove of the job Wolf is doing managing the corona virus.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Where was he in 2016 at this point with these 3?
Putting the exact polling #s aside, it is the fact that EVERY poll is moving in Trump’s direction, even the polls that have him down 8. This momentum has 24 more hours to grow. Trump will over-perform expectations. It always happens in races where on candidate has momentum going into Election Day. There are tons of voters up for grabs during the last 72 hours of this race. There are the truly undecideds between Trump and Biden, and, more importantly those who are undecided as to whether they will vote. Trump is pulling all of these folks his way.
Big Mo is here and arrived in Pennsylvania with POTUS and his whirlwind tour.
Too much fraud in PA to win this state.
Won’t be that close... Trump takes PA by 2-3% on the low end.
I think you are right. It’s why AG Josh Shapiro is starting the psyop a day ahead of time.
I just wrote a longer version of this on another thread.
Look at the stats the Trump Campaign is collecting at these rallies.
25%-35% of the people there have not voted in the last two elections. That means the polls will not use them as likely voters.
Let that sink in. To be in the poll you have to have voted at least once in the last two elections. These people didn’t, but are now voting for Trump. Does that equal Trump by +25? No, it doesn’t but it means even if the polls are well balanced, fair they are severely under counting Trump voters.
Stop, heard that crap in 16 too...
So tired of people, most of who’s entire experience with PA is they drove the turnpike once, if that, speaking out like they have a clue about PA.
Trump will take PA by 2-3% on the low end.
That's .8 percent, not .08 percent.
Just. Wow.
Not big enough to overcome the fraud machine in Philly. Pray that the “T” comes out in nearly unprecedented numbers.
I know where PA is on a map!
(beams with pride)
During 2016, all you heard here was “Trump is wasting his time in Pennsylvania”.
LOL, I was in PA years ago, and drove the Northeast extension of the turnpike from Wilkes-Barre down to Philadelphia. I admit that such an experience gives me no insight into Pennsylvania politics.......
I agree. They are going to hold back Philadelphia for days, maybe weeks until they know how many votes they need to manufacture. Even if there are only X eligible voters in Philly, you can bet that if needed they will produce X plus votes for Biden. Everyone will know its fraud, but these guys don’t give a crap if you know.
From your keyboard to the great spreadsheet above the sky.
This is not nearly enough lead for pdjt to win since the Pennsylvania attorney general is ready to stuff the ballot boxes with DNC votes. The democratic machine’s election theft scheme MUST MUST be stopped NOW ( the election is already upon us)
Try and stay negative.
“Look at the stats the Trump Campaign is collecting at these rallies.
25%-35% of the people there have not voted in the last two elections. That means the polls will not use them as likely voters.”
How do they come up with these stats? When you sign up for tickets they only ask for full name, email, mobile #, zip code and state. No one has ever asked me any questions at the 2 rallies I have attended this year. Awesome if they are even close to accurate.
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