Biden Comfortably Ahead in NM (ABQ Journal Poll)

The Albuquerque Journal ^ | October 31, 2020 | Dan Boyd

[CedarDave]

SANTA FE – Joe Biden appears well-positioned to win New Mexico – and its five electoral votes – in this week’s election, a new Journal Poll found.

“Trump hasn’t been able to break into the Democratic support in New Mexico,” said Brian Sanderoff, the president of Albuquerque-based Research & Polling Inc., which conducted the poll. “The voters have made up their minds in this race.”

The Democratic presidential nominee had a sizable lead over President Donald Trump among New Mexico voters, though the race has tightened since a previous poll conducted before Labor Day.

In the most recent poll, 54% of likely general election voters said they planned to or had already voted for Biden, while 42% said they support Trump.

The split between the two candidates had been at 54%-39% in the previous Journal Poll, which was conducted in late August and early September.

Just as in the previous Journal Poll, Biden’s commanding advantage was due largely to strong support among female voters, Hispanics and self-described moderates and liberals.

Among women, 58% of those surveyed said they would vote for Biden, compared with 39% who said they would back Trump.

Male voters were much more closely divided, with 48% saying they preferred Biden and 45% saying Trump was their candidate of choice.

While New Mexico was long regarded as a swing state, a Republican has not won the state’s five electoral votes since George W. Bush did so in 2004.

[CedarDave]

There was a different thread a couple of days ago, but it's unlikely that the ABQ Journal poll has it so wrong:

More shocking numbers from ... New Mexico. Yes New Mexico is in Play

[fhayek]

Don’t need it....

[Coop]

Well, it makes sense if Biden is up 17 in Wisconsin he should be up at least 15 in NM, probably more.

[CedarDave]

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[dp0622]

To hell with them but thanks women for going 20% more for Biden there.

[Mr. Rabbit]

Too many welfare recipients, lazy government employees, and wasted-away vegan AIDS-looking dried out granola hippie CA and NY transplants out here any more.

[cgbg]

This poll is another howler.

New Mexico will be _very_ close, and the President has at least a 50-50 chance to take it.

We will know soon enough.

[apostoli]

“...wait until you see the whites of their eyes...”

Standing ready to bust a move to the polls Tuesday aft along with the other ‘shy’ Trumpers! Red Wave here in Albuquerque!

[Coop]

I don't know about 50/50, but Trump's definitely got a chance to flip NM, especially after Biden promised to destroy the oil/fracking industry. Trump lost NM by about 8 1/2 points four years ago, with Gary Johnson pulling 9 1/2 points and Evan McMullin taking another 0.7 points.

If Trump does flip NM, remember the name Mark Ronchetti. A TV weather personality running for the open U.S. Senate seat.

[IVAXMAN]

The split between the two candidates had been at 54%-39% in the previous Journal Poll, which was conducted in late August and early September.

---

AUGUST and early September !!

A LOT has changed since then LOL ! Not even close to accurate.

[cgbg]

welfare recipients, lazy government employees, and wasted-away vegan AIDS-looking dried out granola hippie CA and NY transplants

Yup--_they_ responded to the poll.

How many auto mechanics responded?
Carpenters?
Electricians?
Warehouse workers

_That_ is why you cannot trust polls.

[ontap]

Most of these polls are S#!T!!!!

[Steve Van Doorn]

nope this New Mexico is in play. not likely a win but it will be close

[CedarDave]

Two more election articles from this morning’s ABQ Journal:

https://www.abqjournal.com/1513177/lujan-leads-ronchetti-in-race-for-us-senate.html
52%-44% Dem Lujan over Pub Ronchetti

https://www.abqjournal.com/1512949/extremely-close-race-for-2nd-congressional-district-ex-pollster-notes-race-between-torres-small-and-herrell-comes-down-to-turnout.html
Pub Herrell up 2 points over Dem Torres Small.
(Herrell will win - Oil patch workers in NM-2 know it’s their jobs if Biden’s elected. Torres-Small is a RadDem environmentalist in a moderates clothing. She was a staffer for retiring RadDem Tom Udall; that tells you all you have to know.)

(Sorry NM readers, cut and past and posting HTML from a small mobile device is horrible. You will have to click on the ABQ Journal link for more details.)

[PGalt]

Hunter Biden - Tony Bobulinski - Christopher Wray - Bill Barr connections

https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5jYXB0aXZhdGUuZm0vdGhvbWFzLXBhaW5l/episode/YjQxM2NlMmEtMWEwMS0xMWViLWIxZWMtMDdmYTExYzU1YzY5

WTF? Hello Americans.

Thanks to Thomas Paine podcast...Episode #47.

[FarmersareHeroes]

Are we to conclude that New Mexico wants open borders? Isn’t their state one of first places the flood of people will land.

[pilgrim]

Voted and PRAYING!!

[ronnie raygun]

comfortably a head, funny

[Coop]

52%-44% Dem Lujan over Pub Ronchetti

Undoubtedly from the same manure poll saying Trump trails Biden by 15. So Ronchetti is running about 7 points ahead of Trump. If that's an accurate assessment, then he just needs Trump to keep it close to steal this open Senate seat for the GOP.

[VideoDoctor]

Biden Comfortably Ahead in NM (ABQ Journal Poll)

That will be the headline until Wednesday NOV 4th, at which time the story will be "TRUMP PULLS LAST MINUTE UPSET IN NM"