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Pennsylvania 2020: Inside The Democratic Strongholds That No Longer Recognize Their Party
The Federalist ^ | 10/30/2020 | David Marcus and Christopher Bedford

Posted on 10/30/2020 7:13:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA — Settled in northeast Pennsylvania, Luzerne County is closer to New York City than it is to Philadelphia, although by all signs the regional loyalty split was between the Eagles and the Steelers.

It was once coal country, an industry that brought 440,000 people, mainly European immigrants, to the Wyoming Valley by its peak in the 1940s, waning as energy technology progressed — and dying when the Knoxville Mine Disaster took its shameful place as the last the valley could bear. By the 1980s and ‘90s, labor-cost competition had driven the remaining industries bankrupt, plunging Luzerne into prolonged recession.

In 2016, the county joined a long list of Rust Belt Democratic strongholds that voted for Donald Trump, who won by a hefty 19 points. The president’s reelection campaign will be watching it closely this Tuesday, and despite rows of Covid-smothered downtown businesses, election activity bustles along the Susquehanna River.

The Wilkes-Barre Democratic Party headquarters is a professional operation. Located on the main circle of the county’s city, a security guard site outside the door, a volunteer takes our temperatures when we walk in (the only time this happens in all of Pennsylvania), and Chairwoman Kathy Bozinski sits behind her desk while young volunteers and staffers laugh, give us restaurant recommendations and stack signs after a day at the nearby polling center.

Late Monday afternoon meant one more day to vote early in Pennsylvania. “There were more Trump voters out today,” one of the sign-wavers comments to another, quickly following with an assurance there are still more Biden voters overall.

A polished PR flack and former television anchor, Bozinski shares more in common with a national communicator than the average unguarded county leader of the Rust Belt — it’s the first time we’ve heard “Latinx” used in the wild — and there isn’t an ounce of worry in her assessment of where the county is headed on Tuesday.

Her rise was swift in the party, and a snapshot of a changing Pennsylvanian electorate. Unsurprised by Trump’s 2016 victory — “it was easy to see here in Pennsylvania” — friends convinced her to run for county committee, winning a write-in campaign. Her experience propelled her to vice chairwoman within months, and just one year later, Thanksgiving week 2019, State Sen. John Yudichak left the party he had run locally for decades, announcing he would caucus with the GOP. Resignations and oustings abounded as longtime friends picked sides, but the dust seems to have settled — and a new Luzerne County Democratic Party is back at work, if changed.

Although Bozinski tells us hometown sympathies don’t extend “across the ‘Mason-Dixon'” to the neighboring county former Vice President Joe Biden was born in, Luzerne Democrats came out for their de facto nominee in the primary.

“We had 64 percent Democratic voter turnout by mail,” she beams, even though the battle for the nomination had been decided by June’s vote. “You don’t even sometimes get 64 percent turnout from your parties in a general election, let alone a done-deal primary.”

Dislike of the president “is the big factor. … A lot of people and a lot of the volunteers that we have coming in to work for us full-time lost their jobs due to Covid, so they’re concerned about the economy and they were also concerned about leadership during Covid. But no matter what story they tell you at the end, all roads come back to lack of leadership on the part of the president, the current administration — it’s a common thread through all of them.”

Later that night, across the square from Democrat HQ, the void and vacuum of this election is on display as a small group of union volunteers project a bright, 50-foot Biden-Harris logo on the side of the United Steel Workers building. The bars are closed early due to Covid restrictions, and we were the only other ones there to enjoy it besides a trickle of passing cars. Like the tiny Biden rallies for tens of people trapped in white circles, it was as if doing something — anything — was better was nothing.

United Steel Workers union members shine a Biden-Harris light on the side of their downtown offices in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. Christopher Bedford.

Next door at Frank’s News, a little convenience and beer store on the ground level of the steel union’s offices, Valerie Price works the register. Her grandfather was a city councilman, who along with his wife voted Democrat all his life. The whole family was blue, for that matter, but something her grandmother had told her had stuck with Price, 37: “Before she passed, she told me she was intending to vote for Donald Trump.”

At the time Price didn’t ask why, and her grandmother passed before she had the chance, but it’s haunted her ever since, and with just a week left before Election Day she’s still undecided. “Who is my party?” she asks as we pick up cigarettes and a six-pack at the end of the night.

Professional Republicans, however, seem to be playing catch-up after years of blue victories. While the three young Republican National Committee staff at HQ across the river are friendly and quick to help, the chairman went silent after a few messages trying to set up a call or meeting. At the polling station Tuesday morning, local podcaster and Republican volunteer Corey Camasso is dismissive of the committee’s “couple of kids” across the river, but assured us the enthusiasm of everyone helping out makes up for it.

Just days before we arrived, Trump supporters swamped a Biden rally at a county high school, stealing the show outside and earning honks of approval from passing motorists. And on the polling corner, we can barely hear Camasso over the accented “four more years!” chants from the Japanese church group that traveled to the Keystone State to demonstrate for a president they love for standing up to China.

Across town, Whiskey Business looks as closed as most of the town when we pull up mid-afternoon on a Monday, although the side door looks ajar. Past a hand-written sign banning sweatpants, a welcomed cloud of cigarette smoke fills the air and pool tables wait for the post-lunch crowd. Jimmy at the nearby high-top is happy to talk country music or his football team (although not yours), but politics are off the table and he’s not about to share what he does for a living (“If you don’t write anything bad about this place, you won’t have to find out”).

Amy is tending bar, and no matter their generation the men she’s serving drinks are both protective and quick with the compliments. She doesn’t want to talk politics either, although a red T-shirt on the wall loudly declares “Wolf Sucks,” a reference to the governor every single person we meet in Pennsylvania seems to hate.

Christopher Bedford plans a shot at Whiskey Business in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. while Jimmy and Don look on. David Marcus.

Jimmy puts some cash in the jukebox, buys a round of shots, and tells us to get the wings (they’re amazing). “You guys play pool?” he asks as he hands us a pair of cigarillos. Don, a patron well into his 80s, partners with him to beat us soundly back to back.

Wilkes-Barre doesn’t have the demographics progressives would like to see in a place that can swing a presidential election — it’s overwhelmingly white and Catholic — but that might not be a curse. In many ways these are these voters who make up the old traditional Democratic base, and many across the country have shifted to more progressive positions. The big question for Biden is how many?

Here, there’s a similar but less festive feeling than the New Hampshire primary, with its high hopes and local traditions. Luzerne’s voters — both those who love and those who hate politics — are aware of their importance in the national election, but it doesn’t feel like an honor. In the last week of October 2020, a lot is resting on the shoulders of small, forgotten America.

Bethlehem Steel mill in Bethlehem, Pa. Patrick Rohe/Flickr.

A scenic 75 minutes south, Northampton County joins Luzerne in holding a key to the president’s reelection in Pennsylvania. Situated on the Delaware River, across from New Jersey and under the crown of Bethlehem Steel, the county is built on industry, and until the 98-year-old cement company shut down in ’82, was the world’s leading producer. Just over 20 years later, Bethlehem Steel followed suit, although today community events are held on its grounds and curious visitors can still tour its soaring stacks and spires.

Just like in Luzerne, Ronald Reagan won here twice, but while George W. Bush came within a point in 2004, Democrats have dominated every contest of the past three decades. It’s a naturally Democratic county — the GOP trails in registrations — but no candidate of either party has won a double-digit victory since 1984. Part of that changed in 2016, when 32 years after the last Republican victory Trump carried Northampton by a single point.

Republican Committee Chairwoman Gloria Lee Snover has been spending her evenings training poll watchers. Excitement and enthusiasm are much higher than in 2016, she says, and the county GOP has a larger and more diverse group of volunteers, but she warns the Biden campaign is far better organized than Hillary Clinton’s in 2016.

Just as we heard in Wisconsin and Michigan, she warns there’s an important part of the 2016 coalition that’s missing: “Suburban white women. They have lost their minds over Covid.”

She’s just as quick to add that those votes can be made up among rural voters, however: She signed up 2,000 new voters just at a demolition derby — including some who wanted to register for “the Trump Party.” Just as elsewhere in the Rust Belt, getting these voters to the polls will be the most important target for the president’s reelection.

Bethlehem, the largest city in the county, was founded by the Moravian Church — a German Christian sect whose Protestant founder was burned at the stake more than 100 years before Martin Luther was born. For years, we’re told, they called the shots around here (including no shots on Sundays), although the strictness of the culture has softened, and today the city pumps soft jazz through speakers it’s installed in the sidewalks.

McCarthy's Red Stag Pub in downtown Bethlehem, Pa. Christopher Bedford.

It is a beautiful place, downtown colonial architecture and brick sidewalks lit by handsome lamp posts and anchored by the 200-year-old Central Moravian Church. At McCarthy’s Red Stag Pub around the corner, Ivan Alicea is still serving dinner when we wrap up our interviews — our final days on the 2020 trail winding down. Ivan, 39, is the assistant manager, working with the team to get the pub through the murky business of surviving in the uncertainty of Gov. Tom Wolf’s Pennsylvania.

He’s a Democrat and always has been, but remembers the party of Bob Casey, a two-term Democratic governor elected in ’86, who stood for unions and against abortion — and was barred from speaking at Bill Clinton’s 1992 convention because of his intent to force a party debate on the issue.

“I’m a working-class, Catholic, pro-life Democrat,” Alicea tells us, “and I don’t know how to vote.”

With a soul patch and a piercing in the top of his left ear, working in a typically blue industry in a deep-blue city, his politics don’t fit into the stereotype, but we heard this all over eastern Pennsylvania. From coal country to steel town, religion is taken seriously, but so is party affiliation. While in some parts of the country parents and children vote differently without a second thought, in Luzerne and Northampton counties, generations of pro-life, pro-labor Democrats feel untethered from once-familiar parties, torn between traditions and beliefs.

“My wife told me, ‘It sounds like you’re going to the other side,'” he says. “But I don’t know what my side is anymore.”

The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania is poised to be either the Rustbelt keystone that secures a second term for Trump, or the capstone on a one-term presidency. While much of the attention is focused on the riotous streets of Philadelphia and the machine that runs its elections, it’s a decision that might well be made in the places where the sky truly gets dark, the mines lay empty, and the ruins of industry stand cold.

David Marcus is a correspondent at The Federalist, and Chris Bedford is a senior editor at The Federalist.

TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2020; 2020election; democrats; election2020; landslide; paping; pennsylvania; trumplandslide
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1 posted on 10/30/2020 7:13:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind


2 posted on 10/30/2020 7:23:00 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: SeekAndFind
“I’m a working-class, Catholic, pro-life Democrat,” Alicea tells us, “and I don’t know how to vote.”

A serious problem in this state. We have lots of voters who were intrinsically programmed from birth that Democrats are the party of the working man and Republicans are the party of the robber barons. It's taken decades of job offshoring and millions of abortions at the hands of Democrats to even get them to start rethinking the orthodoxy this much.

3 posted on 10/30/2020 7:25:56 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: SeekAndFind
"...a red T-shirt on the wall loudly declares “Wolf Sucks,” a reference to the governor every single person we meet in Pennsylvania seems to hate."

I think POTUS is going to benefit from a LOT of the hatred citizens in locked-down states have for their D governors.

4 posted on 10/30/2020 7:27:55 AM PDT by Heartland Mom (You can vote your way into socialism, but you have to shoot your way out of it.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Lots of observations

Few if any findings

————a hand-written sign banning sweatpants,-——

Hmmm..... Sweats are my permanent clothing from early October to at least midApril. Ditto for many of my retired old men acquaintances. The message is “don’t come in and mingle with the resident trash”

5 posted on 10/30/2020 7:30:12 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) t Zip-a-dee-doo-dah, zip-a-dee-ay My, o. h, my, what a wonderful day)
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To: SeekAndFind

If they want their coal industry shut down and fracking stopped, they should vote for Biden.

That will help the Rust Belt’s economy’s further decline.

Don’t worry: Biden says there will be “plenty of jobs” in the alternative energy industry.

6 posted on 10/30/2020 7:31:10 AM PDT by Bon of Babble (In-A-Gadda-Da-Vida, Baby!)
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To: SeekAndFind

“4 More Years!” = Drink!

7 posted on 10/30/2020 7:32:05 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (The Pedo doesn't fall very far from the Grifter.)
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To: cowboyusa

I have been reading images of microfilm of the NY Times FReeper Homer J. Simpson posts, from this week in History from 1860.

The parallels of this year’s election to the election then are profound.

Sadly, the characters are the same.

The republicans of 1860 representing tradition, and prosperity, and our constitution, vs. the 1860 democrat party - deeply divided internally and being headed by a small number of zealots bent on forcing their minority world view on their own fractured party, and the country as a whole.

The rogue Democrats of 1860 enlisted the governments of France and England to add foriegn weight to their scheme.

Today’s democrats are aided by George Soros and the multinational communication industrial apparatus to present their electoral minority world view as mainstream.

The minority view, democrat party leaders of 1860 failed to garner popular support through the established electoral process in that years primaries so they took control of the thier party by force with the aid of outside allies. Just as Biden and his minions wrestled the democrat nomination not through votes but political backroom dealing and manipulation.

To cut my opine short, the parallel that most concerns me is the 1860 democrat leader’s vowed to break the country apart with violence if she failed to elect their demands just as today’s democrats with the help of the media and foriegn influence are doing.

I pray the more reasonable democrats win back their party..

8 posted on 10/30/2020 7:43:13 AM PDT by John 3_19-21 (There's two ways to enslave a people; work them without pay or pay them without work.)
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To: John 3_19-21; WildHighlander57

Just proves that the standard Democrat playbook is over 160 years old.
With no changes.

9 posted on 10/30/2020 8:16:41 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (Scatology is serendipitous.)
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To: SeekAndFind

PA is gone for Biden. He’s toast.


10 posted on 10/30/2020 8:20:17 AM PDT by Lurker (Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
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To: Heartland Mom

I’m hoping so!

And I do think Biden blew both feet off with his idiotic statements about fracking. Both in saying it and then trying to deny it, he destroyed his credibility and no one trusts what he says on the issue now.

11 posted on 10/30/2020 8:21:26 AM PDT by bigbob (Trust Trump. Trust the Plan)
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To: SeekAndFind

As Luzerne County goes, so goes

In other words, Trump wins the state.

12 posted on 10/30/2020 8:25:33 AM PDT by princeofdarkness
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To: SeekAndFind

The Federalist has been doing some great work this cycle. It’s refreshing compared to the usual drivel from the National Socialist media.

13 posted on 10/30/2020 8:28:42 AM PDT by No_Mas_Obama
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To: SeekAndFind
Again, as so often with all the writers at The Federalist, the framing is wrong. Trump can actually win without PA. Biden cannot.

So the conclusion reads entirely too much like fearporn intended to sell the rest of the article -- which is a nice travelogue, nicer than the MSM treats Pennsyltucky, but still mundane.

14 posted on 10/30/2020 10:28:00 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (I've got your Third Rail of Politics right here.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I grew up in that Democrat bubble too. In Hudson County, NJ. Democrat is in the DNA in Hudson County. I left the party 25 years ago and never looked back. My four younger siblings are still on the plantation because they think they’re supposed to be.

My one younger sisters and I haven’t spoken for three years now.

15 posted on 10/30/2020 10:31:51 AM PDT by jmacusa (If we're all equal how is diversity our strength?)
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; PaulZe; brityank; Physicist; ...

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

16 posted on 10/30/2020 11:02:42 AM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: lightman
Thanks for the ping, lightman - my two-greats grandfather, Patrick J. Rafferty, was a constable in Old Forge in adjoining Lackawanna County who was killed in the line of duty in 1899.

17 posted on 10/30/2020 11:10:10 AM PDT by ConorMacNessa (FMF Corpsman - Lima 3/5 RVN 1969 - St. Michael the Archangel defend us in Battle!)
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To: jmacusa

She actually refuses to speak to you over politics??? That’s terrible!

18 posted on 10/30/2020 11:41:12 AM PDT by midnightcat
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To: bigbob

Tell me Joe, were you lyin’ then or are you lyin’ now? You can Never Trust A Liar.

19 posted on 10/30/2020 11:56:55 AM PDT by ichabod1 (He's a vindictive SOB but he's *our* vindictive SOB)
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To: ConorMacNessa

May his Memory be Eternal!

20 posted on 10/30/2020 12:39:13 PM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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