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Trump will win US election with 270-280 seats: Data analyst
Sky News ^ | 22/10/2020

Posted on 10/26/2020 6:05:39 AM PDT by 11th_VA

Data Analyst Professor Bela Stantic says based on rigorous data analysis of millions of social media posts, he believes US President Donald Trump will win the US election, despite national polls suggesting Joe Biden will become president.

"On September 18, I collected over four million tweets with 20 million likes and I did analysis and based on that analysis I concluded Trump is ahead and he will win with 270-280 seats. "Trump has 161 seats which are very firm and 19 which is sure, which brings him to 180. He, according to my analysis - which was on September 20 - he was just ahead in Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, which gives him 68 seats. "He was likely to win Georgia, which took him to 264 and Pennsylvania, Arizona and Minnesota were a coin toss, so basically, on probability, it's likely he will win one of these three seats and that will take him to 270-280 seats."

Mr Stantic said he would do a deeper analysis the week before the US election, having only performed a brief draft analysis, especially since President Trump became infected with COVID-19. "I did collect tweets from Florida a couple of days ago and saw he [Trump] was ahead than he was in September," he said. "Usually, patterns hold across other seats and states so that means he probably even stronger than he was in September; I didn't see the situation with coronavirus influencing the outcome."

Mr Stantic revealed he had correctly predicted every single seat during the 2019 Federal Election that saw Scott Morrison become Prime Minister. "I know nothing about politics... I basically analyse publicly available social media data and make my predictions," he said.

(Excerpt) Read more at skynews.com.au ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Iowa; US: Minnesota; US: North Carolina; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2020election; arizona; avalonnevertrumper; belastantic; election2020; florida; georgia; iowa; landslide; minnesota; northcarolina; ohio; pennsylvania; scottmorrison; socialmediaposts; trumplandslide
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To: 11th_VA

Seats? Do they mean EVs?


21 posted on 10/26/2020 6:33:34 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (BLM Stands For "Bidens Loot Millions"!)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

I’m with you 340+ EV


22 posted on 10/26/2020 6:33:35 AM PDT by frogjerk
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To: nikos1121

I love your enthusiasm but don’t see that. But I do see Trump with 320+/- 10 EC votes


23 posted on 10/26/2020 6:34:32 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: lasereye
Wasn’t this posted last week?

I never saw it

24 posted on 10/26/2020 6:34:57 AM PDT by 11th_VA (I believe Hunter BidenÂ’s emails ...)
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To: 11th_VA

I’ve got him at 296 - winning Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Maybe more.


25 posted on 10/26/2020 6:35:06 AM PDT by Lmo56 (If ya wanna run with the big dawgs - ya gotta learn to piss in the tall grass ...)
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To: 11th_VA

Was previously posted. Our electoral college doesn’t do “seats”.


26 posted on 10/26/2020 6:35:46 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (How did a bunch of data thieves decide they were the arbiters of truth?)
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To: Avalon Memories
Electoral votes are not seats, so I see no reason to credit the analysis of someone who doesn’t even get that basic fact right

The guy is an Aussie - he doesn’t know politics - but based his analysis of social media

27 posted on 10/26/2020 6:36:47 AM PDT by 11th_VA (I believe Hunter BidenÂ’s emails ...)
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To: FiddlePig

I don’t think there is a single state he will lose this year he won in 16...

I expect him to win them all plus most if not all states he lost by less than 5, and don’t be surprised if he take a few he lost by more than 5

If I had to pick a state, even though I don’t expect it to flip, would be PA, just because of the chaos that the mail in balloting is going to create.


28 posted on 10/26/2020 6:37:01 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: 11th_VA
despite national polls suggesting Joe Biden will become president...

Yeah, those same polls that predicted that Hillary would win - up until the numbers started coming in on the day of the election.

29 posted on 10/26/2020 6:37:06 AM PDT by Bon of Babble (In-A-Gadda-Da-Vida, Baby!)
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To: HamiltonJay

Dems have a month to cheat in some states. Plus post-election.


30 posted on 10/26/2020 6:38:51 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either)
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To: HamiltonJay

We have to count on Judge Amy to blow the whistle or PA is gonna get stolen.


31 posted on 10/26/2020 6:43:58 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: Lmo56

AZ is iffy. The Maricopa Country Recorder has control of the ballots in Maricopa County, where a majority of voters are. However Maricopa County goes, so goes the state.

The guy was elected in 2016, sponsored by OurRevolution. His ballot harvesting (illegal in AZ), along with the ballot harvesting in Pima County (two Dem strongholds), will illegally give AZ to Biden, while electing even more House seats to the Dems.


32 posted on 10/26/2020 6:45:21 AM PDT by originalbuckeye ('In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act'- George Orwell.)
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To: Tanniker Smith

Unfortunately I see this ending up in SCOTUS like 2000. Voter fraud, hanging chades, plus rioting— “we will keep burning cities until you give us what we want”. Trump will appear to win, but the ridiculous challenges will complicate it. It was the RAT plan all along. Ginsburgs death screwed it all up.


33 posted on 10/26/2020 6:48:48 AM PDT by Lockbar (Vlad the Impailer had all the answers.)
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To: 11th_VA

Imma go with 330-336.


34 posted on 10/26/2020 6:52:57 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: 11th_VA

Seats?

Must be a brit. They are smarter than all of us to the point we can’t recognize their dazzling brilliance.


35 posted on 10/26/2020 7:02:58 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (We are governed by the consent of the governed and we are fools for allowing it.)
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To: FiddlePig

Probably Pennsylvania. The democrat courts in Philly have decided to add days to count votes, eliminate a requirement for signatures to match or for postmarks to matter, and to embargo poll watchers from the ballot counting. The fix IS in there.


36 posted on 10/26/2020 7:15:55 AM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (When your business model depends on slave labor, you're always going to need more slaves)
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To: Lockbar

And we’ve already had one 4-4 tie let a ridiculous ruling stand.


37 posted on 10/26/2020 7:44:04 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either)
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To: 11th_VA

Very good but please please please no overconfidence.


38 posted on 10/26/2020 8:05:27 AM PDT by Salman (Democrats. The *other* religion of peace..)
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To: originalbuckeye
AZ is iffy.

Possibly, but that is not what I am hearing and seeing. Maricopa County Board of Supervisors has stepped up election oversight. Support for Trump is huge!

39 posted on 10/26/2020 8:08:18 AM PDT by Tommy Revolts
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To: 11th_VA

Which translates to: A LANDSLIDE WIN.


40 posted on 10/26/2020 8:13:23 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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