Skip to comments.Trump will win US election with 270-280 seats: Data analyst
Posted on 10/26/2020 6:05:39 AM PDT by 11th_VA
Data Analyst Professor Bela Stantic says based on rigorous data analysis of millions of social media posts, he believes US President Donald Trump will win the US election, despite national polls suggesting Joe Biden will become president.
"On September 18, I collected over four million tweets with 20 million likes and I did analysis and based on that analysis I concluded Trump is ahead and he will win with 270-280 seats. "Trump has 161 seats which are very firm and 19 which is sure, which brings him to 180. He, according to my analysis - which was on September 20 - he was just ahead in Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, which gives him 68 seats. "He was likely to win Georgia, which took him to 264 and Pennsylvania, Arizona and Minnesota were a coin toss, so basically, on probability, it's likely he will win one of these three seats and that will take him to 270-280 seats."
Mr Stantic said he would do a deeper analysis the week before the US election, having only performed a brief draft analysis, especially since President Trump became infected with COVID-19. "I did collect tweets from Florida a couple of days ago and saw he [Trump] was ahead than he was in September," he said. "Usually, patterns hold across other seats and states so that means he probably even stronger than he was in September; I didn't see the situation with coronavirus influencing the outcome."
Mr Stantic revealed he had correctly predicted every single seat during the 2019 Federal Election that saw Scott Morrison become Prime Minister. "I know nothing about politics... I basically analyse publicly available social media data and make my predictions," he said.
(Excerpt) Read more at skynews.com.au ...
wont be that close.
Trump will win popular vote, and 45 states.
What states he won will he lose this time?
Seats? They are confusing us with a parliamentary government!
Mak that 356.
Either Trump by a squeaker or a bloodbath for the GOP. It shouldn’t be close, but 4 years of media negativism has made many to want a change.
WTF are these seats referred to in the article? Perhaps this person should become more informed about the subject before hazarding an analysis. There are electoral votes, not seats in a Parliament being contested in the election.
Brits. They arent really sure how this works.
It is too close by this guys count. If it is that close, the Left will pull out all the cheats and we will have a Biden win.
I hear you. It makes the credibility of the entire analysis very suspect if they cant even get the terms correct.
Like when journalists say that 17 soldiers were killed in the USS Cole Bombing or 18 marines were killed in the battle of Mogadishu etc...
the lack of basic research invalidates all of their research.
It *should* be President Trump in the largest landslide seen in the last 50 years or more but... Leftist MSM propaganda and rampant leftist voter fraud will make it far too close. Far closer than it deserves to be.
Plus expect to see Leftists again doxing and threatening electors to change their vote or abstain.
Wasn’t this posted last week?
El Trumpo will win Canada, Mexico and Armenia too...
Electoral votes are not seats, so I see no reason to credit the analysis of someone who doesn’t even get that basic fact right.
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