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Poll: Joe Biden, Donald Trump Statistically Tied in Pennsylvania
Breitbart ^ | 10/13/2020 | Hannah Bleau

Posted on 10/13/2020 12:30:44 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Joe Biden (D) and President Donald Trump are statistically tied in Pennsylvania, a Trafalgar Group survey released Tuesday revealed.

While the former vice president leads Trump 47.4 percent to 45.1 percent, Biden’s 2.3 percent lead is well within the survey’s +/- 2.97 percent margin of error, indicating a statistical tie in the state.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2020election; biden; paping; pennsylvania; poll; polls; trump; trump2020; trumppoll
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Trump signs...But here in suburban Pittsburgh you only see a few

How about American flags? Many patriots are displaying them as surrogates for Trump signs.

21 posted on 10/13/2020 12:57:11 PM PDT by Salvey
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Which means Trump is leading..you have people TERRIFIED to say they are voting for Trump because they dont want their house firebombed. Why would ANYONE in PA vote for Biden who wants to take away their jobs..Biden has said repeatedly he is against fracking


22 posted on 10/13/2020 12:58:32 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Pffffttt!!!

Not even close...

Hilarious to see Scranton go Trump....


23 posted on 10/13/2020 12:58:58 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Watch Lakawanna County go Red...


24 posted on 10/13/2020 12:59:59 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: Salvey

That’s what I’m doing, here in CA. American flag=Trump support.

Pretty sad actually that it’s come to this! My liberal friends are communitarians and world focused rather than US focused.


25 posted on 10/13/2020 1:00:40 PM PDT by olivia3boys
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To: Hojczyk
If the Clintonistas couldn’t steal the election in 2016, there’s no chance uninspired Biden operatives can pull it off this time. The governor has pissed people off in both parties. Trump wins going away. 11/03/20 🇺🇸👍
26 posted on 10/13/2020 1:02:38 PM PDT by Walrus (I do not consent)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

“I suspect because people don’t want to be harassed by members of our local Leftist Kook community.”

Bet on it!


27 posted on 10/13/2020 1:03:42 PM PDT by billyboy15
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To: ChicagoConservative27

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/27/upshot/pennsylvania-poll.html

Hillary by 7 Oct 2016


28 posted on 10/13/2020 1:04:52 PM PDT by stinkerpot65 (Global warming is a Marxist lie.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Mean trumps up about 5.

Eve of election polls had Hillary up from 2-7 points most in the 4ish range and one outlier, trafalgar had Trump up 2. That was the only poll that had him in the lead the week before the election.

If you go back to most polls that were out 3/4 weeks before the election Hillary was up 6-8.

Biden isn’t taking PA. It’s a joke He won PA by .61% in 16. I expect him to win by 3-5% this time.

I am telling you I have never seen anything like what I am seeing for Trump this year ever. Even 16 when I was sure he was winning here, I didn’t see what I am seeing on the ground here.

The only consistent open vocal support advocating Biden I come across are the never Trumpers... even the life long democrat activist have no enthusiasm for Biden or the old mattress.

I am doing the same casual polling I did on 16, and it’s not even a contest.

I tell a joke, but it’s 100% true..

When you leave the urban areas, and do an informal political sign poll, you find Biden is running a distant third, behind Trump and “Corn For Sale”.

I have never seen anything like this, yes the rural parts of the state are more conservative, so seeing more GOP signs there than D signs is typical, but I have never seen anything like this. It’s not 2-1 Trump or 3-1 Trump, or evening 10-1 Trump... it’s around 20-1 Trump... and it’s not the raw number disadvantage is the sheer number of Trump signs period...far far far more homes and businesses have signs than I can ever recall seeing.

The percentage of homes with signs is far far higher than any election I can recall.

I talk and BS with anyone and try to just gauge where they are.. folks I have no idea what their backgrounds are, or political affiliations.. and the story I keep hearing over and over particularly from folks who interact with large swaths of the public is that in the middle class (lower and middle) areas no one over the age of 30 supports Biden

And I believe it.. to call Biden a stillborn would not be an understatement.

Now he won’t get 100% crushed and the games they are playing with the mail in voting will be used to try to sow confusion and prolong the crazy to attempt to prevent an election night call for Trump but Biden won’t take a single state Trump won in 16 and I expect Trump will take most if not all states he lost by less than 5 last time and may pick off one or two he lost by 5-10 last time as well


29 posted on 10/13/2020 1:07:46 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Hojczyk
“Add in the quiet Trump support and Trump wins...needs to win by 100,000 votes or they will steal it..”

More than that, you’d be hard-pressed to find a Trump supporter that come hell or high water won’t cast their vote.

I sincerely doubt that same standard applies to Biden “supporters.”

30 posted on 10/13/2020 1:07:56 PM PDT by daler
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To: Walrus

There was a graphic on Twitter a week or so ago that Donald Jr tweeted. Basically it showed the predicted vs actual trend for PA over the years and it showed Trump winning by +100K in PA.


31 posted on 10/13/2020 1:08:18 PM PDT by wareagle7295
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To: billyboy15

This was out in Lancaster but it illustrates why a lot of Trump supporters may be playing it close to the vest.

https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3893414/posts

If you are close to Pittsburgh or Philly where an ANTIFA type might come out and toss a molotov cocktail at your house, even more so.


32 posted on 10/13/2020 1:12:20 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: Vendome

I expect that and Monroe to follow suit


33 posted on 10/13/2020 1:14:04 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: wareagle7295

The irony that Trump will be holding a rally in a few hours at an airport named for John Murtha, one of the sleaziest, most corrupt Dems to ever inhabit the body politic, is not lost on me.


34 posted on 10/13/2020 1:18:46 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Trafalgar tries to add in that fearful Trump vote.


35 posted on 10/13/2020 1:19:18 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Because what PA people want is an end to fracking, mining, more BLM, more woke, more taxes. right.


36 posted on 10/13/2020 1:20:35 PM PDT by TiGuy22
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To: ChicagoConservative27

No way. Biden is up by 34 points. I heard it on fake news.


37 posted on 10/13/2020 1:24:34 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: ChicagoConservative27

smart projections having Trump winning by about 130k-200k votes in PA

voter reg trends have been favoring R’s the last 4 years
many of the bellweather counties are trending R
the youth vote is nonexistent

add to it fracking, ACB with the Catholic vote...

its coming together nicely (Trump in PA today!)


38 posted on 10/13/2020 1:36:09 PM PDT by sheehan (DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Good, Trump will not win PA by huge margins, it only takes 1% and this looks indicative of that.


39 posted on 10/13/2020 1:38:33 PM PDT by 1Old Pro (FILL THE SEAT)
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To: HamiltonJay
Great post. I like your optimism and mostly agree. Trump crushed Hitlery, and she was a MUCH better candidate than than the Walking Dead guy. The polls mirror '16, except they're actually more favorable for Trump.

There are concerns however, like the "COVID-factor," the astronomically high level of Trump-hate, and the obvious ongoing attempt to steal/slime the election.

It's going to be wild, but I too think (or hope) provenance is with us.

40 posted on 10/13/2020 1:41:41 PM PDT by AAABEST (NY/DC/LA media/political/military industrial complex DELENDA EST)
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