Posted on 10/13/2020 12:18:24 PM PDT by nbenyo
Slightly more than half of voters still say they are more likely to vote against President Trump, a finding that hasn’t changed in a year of regular surveying.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters are more likely to vote for Trump in the 2020 presidential election. Fifty-two percent (52%) are more likely not to.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
“...No oversampling of one party over the other...”
Question for you:
How do you (or your secret pollster) define “oversampling”?
If I take a poll of 10 people consisting of 6 Democrats and 4 Republicans, by how much have I “oversampled” Democrats?
He is a scientist and he profiles his samples based upon voter registration records based on GOP, Dem and Independent voter rolls using the latest and greatest info. States keep a record of that you know. It’s called the scientific method.
Take a moment and think how dumb the average voter is. Now take another moment and realize 1/2 the voting population is dumber.
Polling has historically been so inaccurate that (regardless of the reasons for the inaccuracies) they really have no place in serious journalism. If Cosmopolitan magazine wants to poll its readers on their favorite sex toys, that’s one thing. But the presentation pre-election polls as news is downright unethical as currently practiced.
Pollster Translation: “Are you more likely to vote for Trump, or do you want Antifa to throw a brick through your window?”
You are 100% right because most of these pollsters in the public eye are paid to produce a result. They are just as controlled as the media are by evil, corrupt people.
The poll done that 56% of people feel they are much better off than they were 4 years ago is the poll you need to REALLY pay attention to, BECAUSE people would NOT be intimidated to answer that question honestly!! That IS the honest poll of Trump support!!!
More made up Garbage from the MSM.
Most people don’t realize that polls that came out last week were heavily influenced by “response bias”
Response bias is when voters and their party do not want to participate in polls and surveys because there is bad news for their guy. He wasn’t getting accurate people to tell you the truth.
Poll results have dramatically dropped recently because:
First it was the hysteria about the nomination; then two days later it was the hysteria about how awful Trump was at the debate; then two days after that it was he has covid and he is old, fat and may die. And if he doesn’t die well then it was he is insensitive to the 200,000 people who have.
The media had been in a complete melt down for over a week. It was affecting most of the polls; but it is temporary.
Polls have already bottomed out. Two new Pennsylvania polls out today with B+2.4 which means essentially tied. And that doesn’t even take into consideration the large percentage of “shy” Trump voters who do not get picked up in any polls.
Like '16, he was never not "surging." Trump was always ahead.
Like '16 the polls that want to cover their asses will start tightening up before election day, the others will continue to fall on their swords for the cause.
It comes down to WALL.
“Two new Pennsylvania polls out today with B+2.4 which means essentially tied. And that doesn’t even take into consideration the large percentage of “shy” Trump voters who do not get picked up in any polls.”
The last of the political push polls. Internals have Trump up outside the MOE. In Democrat heavy Lackawanna County which Hildy won 51-47 in 2016 Trump is now leading 52-44 which has been verified by another Freeper last week to me who lived there by observations of a 5 to 1 sign advantage for the POTUS on a recent visit.
Both of these PA polls were done by excellent pollsters, Trafalgar and Peoples Pundit.
Baris stayed out in the field for 7 days trying to get correct respresentative samples broken down into sub-groups (for increased accuracy.) Despite that he could not get as much as he wanted in the conservative “T” region because it is incredibly hard to poll nowadays.
Response rates are down to 1-2% (which is why Gallup pulled out of “horse race” polling.) And it is 5 times harder to get republicans to participate in polls in general. And there is a “large percentage of “shy” Trump voters who will not participate, but they do vote...:-)
The 3 good pollsters (Trafalgar, Democracy Initiative and Peoples Pundit) all say that the Trump shy voters are even bigger now than they were in 2016.
Baris breaks down the whole PA poll here (takes 2 hrs.)
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit
As the election day gets closer, the undecideds will tend to break for the “devil you know”.
Poll Trolls Out in Force again trying to seed discord and misinformation among freepers to follow the deviant wishes they and others follow
ESAD!
They are very good but what I got is from an internal indy who is even better. But they all indicate movement/trending where we want to see it go.
I would say 4!
I don’t see how it’s good news, either. The problem is that there are a number of voters who agree with Trump’s actual policies on just about every issue but are voting against Trump anyway because they don’t like him.
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You might be spot on but keep in mind that those are the same folks (approve of Trump’s job performance but cant stand him personally- I know a lot of people like this)....that are least likely to vote. They’re not as partisan as the crazy lefties and would rather not vote at all much or less bother to vote against Trump.
Wow. Thank you.
I’ve voted.
Quite true. The people like that I know (the vast majority of whom are, surprise, suburban mothers age 35-40) all had pretty much the same reaction to the first debate: they hated both Trump and Biden. The good news is, after the VP debate, some of them said: “Out of all 4, only Pence is qualified to be President.”
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