Most people don’t realize that polls that came out last week were heavily influenced by “response bias”
Response bias is when voters and their party do not want to participate in polls and surveys because there is bad news for their guy. He wasn’t getting accurate people to tell you the truth.
Poll results have dramatically dropped recently because:
First it was the hysteria about the nomination; then two days later it was the hysteria about how awful Trump was at the debate; then two days after that it was he has covid and he is old, fat and may die. And if he doesn’t die well then it was he is insensitive to the 200,000 people who have.
The media had been in a complete melt down for over a week. It was affecting most of the polls; but it is temporary.
Polls have already bottomed out. Two new Pennsylvania polls out today with B+2.4 which means essentially tied. And that doesn’t even take into consideration the large percentage of “shy” Trump voters who do not get picked up in any polls.
“Two new Pennsylvania polls out today with B+2.4 which means essentially tied. And that doesn’t even take into consideration the large percentage of “shy” Trump voters who do not get picked up in any polls.”
The last of the political push polls. Internals have Trump up outside the MOE. In Democrat heavy Lackawanna County which Hildy won 51-47 in 2016 Trump is now leading 52-44 which has been verified by another Freeper last week to me who lived there by observations of a 5 to 1 sign advantage for the POTUS on a recent visit.
“Polls that came out last week were heavily influenced by response bias”
Absolutely, after the first debate and the COVID cases, many Trump supporters went into political withdrawal for a week or so. But their support for Trump and determination to vote remained strong as ever. Now with Trump’s recovery and Pence’s strong debate, they are re-engaging.