Posted on 10/07/2020 10:15:09 AM PDT by sojc
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct07
Survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted September 30, October 1 and 4-6, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points.
Talking about what Trump plans to do and compare it with Joe Biden would do is the best way to win.
There has been a debate and hospital stay during those two weeks.
For what it’s worth:
Election 2016: White House Watch Trends (Rasmusen)
Oct 6 & 9-10, 2016
Donald Trump 39%
Hillary Clinton 44%
Gary Johnson 7%
Jill Stein 2%
Trailing Biden by five in a Rasmussen poll, at this stage of the campaign, would cause me concern.
-12 has me terrified.,
See my post #251.
I live near MCB Camp Lejeune in Onslow County and had to drive to Morehead City in Carteret County yesterday. Although I did see a couple of Biden signs, I was surprised at how many Trump signs I saw, several of which were HUGE! Thanks to the disgusting behavior of Cal Cunningham, the Dem candidate for US Senate, Thom Tillis is now leading that race.
I am SICK of the Biden ads in which he lies through his teeth, but I am also seeing some Trump ads as well. It will be interesting to see the effect of the Vice-Presidental debate tonight! Pence is an accomplished debater and I have no doubt that Kamala Harris will turn many people off. Listening to her is like fingernails on a chalkboard!
That this poll says Trump only has 76% support from “likely” GOP voters is laughably corrupt. It’s MUCH higher than that. I find it interesting that the moment Trump starts to declassify a bunch of documents incriminating the entirety of the Obama administration that the promotion of Biden running away with election day sets up the narrative that Trump ‘declassified” to try to “stop his ship of defeat from sinking” or some such thing.
In any event, I believe exactly none of this polling data. The ONLY poll that will matter is the one on election day. And by then the entire crime spree of Obama’s administration will be there for all the world to see.
Hopefully the hospital stay has been full battle room to figure out the next 3 weeks. For the record, they said the same thing about ‘white women’ last election and it did not win Hillary the election. If there is a White Republic Women who voted for Trump and now voting for Biden group out there let me know.
Rasmussen head-to-head polls (which this one is) are much different than Rasmussan appoval polls (which is the one that gave Trump a 51% rating). And the difference between them has never made any sense to me.
Would not be surprised if Rasmussen people are caving to threats or black mail.
You are pathetic! I guess you forget the same bull sh*t polls from the 2016 election that had Hillary winning in a “landslide!”
How does it feel to be the Fake New’s bit*h?
Excellent point
TheConservativeBanker wrote: Compared to Zogby poll showing them in a “dead heat” nationally. I think we are in the part of the election cycle where polls are trying to paint a picture rather than take one.
Folks, I believe these polls are a concerted effort by the left to discourage us . We will get hit with one thing after another between now and Election Day. Soros is throwing his money out there and he has a lot of takers. Keep the faith.
IBD/TIPP Poll: Biden, Trump Nearly Even Among Likely Voters
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3891534/posts
Most people don’t realize that all these pollsters do their polls differently. Rasmussen uses an automated telephone method. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. These are self selected individuals who are polled repeatedly from their panel which is why Rasmussen polls are usually relatively stable.
It’s important to understand how hard it is these days to poll Republicans. According to Robert Cahaly (Trafalgar) it is 5 times more difficult than democrats. They are much less likely to answer their phones and they are much more likely to avoid disclosing that they are going to vote for Trump. Even independents and democrats are less likely to admit they plan to vote for Trump. Try not to take these panic polls seriously.
Poll results have dramatically dropped recently because:
“First it was the hysteria about the nomination; then two days later it was the hysteria about how awful Trump was at the debate; then two days after that it was he has covid and he is old, fat and may die. And if he doesn’t die well then it was he is insensitive to the 200,000 people who have.
The media has been in a complete melt down for over a week. It is affecting most of the polls; but it is temporary.
Most polls are poorly done; many are poorly done on purpose. They are a campaign tool, not a public service. Good pollsters say they never poll right after a crisis because the temporary results mislead. They try to wait for calm to poll if they are actually trying to get valid results.
Here is something I posted a little while ago explaining why the New York Times polls are absolute garbage. And many of the other media polls are garbage too for various deliberate reasons.
According to the People’s Pundit pollster NY Times/Siena polls by Nate Cohen are factoring in a HUGE 30% (41 million) increase in voters (which has absolutely no chance of happening) in their polls. “That’s ludicrous; that has never happened.”
“In all of these polls what you see is that Trump is actually leading in a normal electorate, but these new voters are breaking so heavily for Joe Biden with the massive new voters predicted it turns Texas from Trump plus 8 to plus 2; it turns Georgia from Trump plus 8 to even; it turns Arizona from Biden plus 2 to Biden plus 8; and it turns Florida from a Trump lead to Biden plus 5.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6E9GyaHzsUI
Wait, you actually believe -12???? Wow, they are gas-lighting you and it is working....
I believe that new Blexit and Walkaway voters are being underestimated nationwide. They may not have been “likely voters” last time around, but they will turn out in surprising numbers.
Which country has “vanquished COVID months ago”?
Most of Europe has more cases per capita again. The UK, France, Holland, and Spain all do, for example. Belgium would but it’s not reporting.
Here is the UK poll that has Trump ahead:
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1343305/US-election-poll-donald-trump-coronavirus-covid-joe-biden-exclusive-polling
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