Posted on 09/30/2020 8:36:34 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Our @trafalgar_group #2020Election #MIchigan #Presidential #poll conducted for @restorationpac Sep 26-28 shows small Biden lead:
48.7% @JoeBiden, 47.1% @realDonaldTrump, 1.5% @Jorgensen4POTUS, 1.1% all others, 1.6% Und.
What is the trend on this poll?
Trump was up 0.7% in last poll. Biden gained 2.3%
Well, that isn’t good.
Trump needs to win by at least 2% to overcome massive “mail-in” ballot fraud.
yeah it’s the end of the world.
go worry for a month
Trump did it.
Pdjt needs a ten point lead to overcome the fake and illegal counts from the southeastern corner of the state. Or the fake and illegals have to be prevented. Perhaps criminal prosecutions of the organizers and finders now, before the counting, would accomplish this ? Or?
I think it was Rush who said that 34% of Trump voters did not tell anyone of their support for Trump in 2016.
In my 50 years of following politics, Republicans who are close or tied win.
Republicans turn out in greater percentages than factored in the polls.
For 50 years.
Evidence: Nixon 1968, Reagan 1980, H W Bush 1988, GW Bush 2000, Trump 2016
All were tied or behind and won.
Trump was heavily behind in 2016, but it’s clear the polls are more biased than ever. Objective polls had him close.
In my 50 years of following politics, Republicans who are close or tied win.
Republicans turn out in greater percentages than factored in the polls.
For 50 years.
Evidence: Nixon 1968, Reagan 1980, H W Bush 1988, GW Bush 2000, Trump 2016
All were tied or behind and won.
Trump was heavily behind in 2016, but it’s clear the polls are more biased than ever. Objective polls had him close.
In 16 the Mi Governor, SOS and AG were all Republicans. That is the only reason Trump kept his slim lead. Through harvesting we lost all three in 18. I hate to say it but close probably means we lose Mi.
People need to understand that the results are within the margin of statistical error. The race is, and was, essentially a dead heat.
In this environment NOBODY admits to supporting President Trump.
The polls are junk.
There's the answer right there.
The fake and illegal and deceased and multiple votes are issues absolutely necessary to prevent if the election isn’t to be stolen. I just hope hope hope this can be achieved in light of the $$$$$$ deployed to steal the election, obama commie judges and etc.
Trump support is 47% in both polls. Biden picked up 3% percentage from others and undecided.
Total change for Biden within margin of error (3%) so its possible there was no actual change in Biden support
“In this environment NOBODY admits to supporting President Trump.”
This is true but trafalgar is probably least rat friendly of the bunch. We might win Mi but it is probably a long shot since Mi has gone the Dem 90% of the time for decades.
“Close means Trump wins.”
I hope so. There’s one demographic group that I’m curious about after last night’s debate - suburban women, particularly the soccer moms.
Anecdotally, I’m using my wife and sister in law as examples. Both are Republicans but they are a bit squishy when it comes to social issues. Both were bothered by Trump’s performance last night. They said he was pushy and aggressive and didn’t need to be. There was no real talking to them so I didn’t.
In a close race like this, I can’t but help wonder if Trump lost any traction with suburban women like my wife and sister in law.
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