Posted on 04/13/2020 7:14:52 PM PDT by Kazan
The fatal and highly contagious novel coronavirus has spread faster but is less deadly than official data imply, the Economist magazine reported over the weekend, citing a new study.
On Saturday, the Economist reported that the fact that the illness caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) has spread across the United States could be “good news.”
“If millions of people were infected weeks ago without dying, the virus must be less deadly than official data suggest,” the magazine determined, using graphs to suggest the faster the disease spreads and hits its peak, the fewer people will die.
The Economist article cited a new study by Justin Silverman and Alex Washburne that used data on influenza-like illness (ili) to show that the coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) is now widespread in America.
Silverman and Washburne found that the coronavirus mortality rate could be as low as 0.1 percent, “similar to that of flu.”
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Lower than expected because of travel bans and “UNPROVEN” medicine that POTUS mentioned.
Although I’m sure it is less than feared or even calculated, there is no doubt that it’s a killer. NYC was not a usual flu outbreak.
Jury still out. Right now, US CFR is about 4.6%. Worldwide, about 6.2%.
Any week now it’s gonna peak and your going to have to bring out your dead!
Hmmm...
A killer of whom? Old people and people that were already sick? I hate to sound cold but was that worth 8 trillion dollars and twenty million jobs?
There’s 8 million people in New York City. How many have died?
1% would be 80000. We destroyed an economy for a percentage of 1%
Fear Brothers will come up with all kinds of nonsense and say how the quarantine saved the country and it was worth spending 6.4 gazillion dollars
Want to Defeat Coronavirus? Address Diabetes and Hypertension.
Only way to find out is widespread antibody testing.
There is absolutely NO scientific basis for such an assertion. Diseases spread according to exponential functions; for Covid-19 to have spread so fast to so many people is inconsistent with the mathematics and biology of disease transmission. Likewise, there is no scientific basis for any claim that the death rate is lower than the actual death rate that is derived from the actual case numbers.
You mean Flubros 1 Serf Bro’s 0.
That's an awful big unsupported if.
Yet more “creative math”...using various “# of people infected or previously infected & recovered” numbers that vary wildly from 0.5% of the population to 15% of the population one can make a case for “3-4x worse than the regular flu” all the way down to “COVID is less dangerous than regular flu”. Until we get better case #’s from serology/antibody tests then it is all just guesswork.
I’m married to one.
No price too high.
Yep. Been saying essentially the same thing for the past 3 weeks on FR only to get flamed and attacked by the fatalists, Nervous Nancies and pearl clutchers.
It’s just the flu.
The CDC and the HHS jumped the shark.
They used models to panic the nation.
The People have mitigated and will continue but the ways of mitigation have to be adjusted.The vulnerable need to be protected. Everybody else? Lets roll.
Time to open up the country.
Release the HCQ kraken!
So much winning.
Fear sister.
Minor correction.
playing devils advocate, its also possible that many deaths came early in Dec, Nov. january...and were not tested for covid....but that would also mean that covid was much more pervasive in our country..
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