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COVID-19 Update - 04/06/2020
My own workup | DoughtyOne

Posted on 04/06/2020 2:12:01 AM PDT by DoughtyOne

Please FReep Mail me regarding the ping list
for these reports. Thanks.


COVID-19 Update

As of 04/05/2020 23:17 PDST (taken at 23:59)


Good morning everyone.

Thank you for dropping in to check out this Update.


Links to other resources: Near the bottom of this post.


Commentary3: Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)

Waking Up Daily to the Same Pandemic

There is a certain Groundhog Day (the movie) feel to the situation we are
in as this pandemic has it's way in our nation. We experience the bad
news one day, go to sleep, and then wake up seemingly starting it all over
again, day after day. Another day, another record number of new cases.
More people passing away. The President, Pence, and their crew going in
front of the cameras to explain the actions they are taking, and if they
seem to be working or not.

It's a little difficult to come up with something a little different and
uplifting each morning. I'm not letting it get me down. I remain positive
and know that this too shall pass.

At times like this you see the best and worst of people. Our leaders out
their true characters in public. President Trump, Vice-President Pence, and
all the people on their task force, and in the private sector around the
nation are doing everying in thier power to mitigate the threat to our people
and our infrastructure. Then there are those who hate Trump and his team.

I don't always agree fully with what is being done, but I do think Trump, his
his team, and many other people are doint their very best right now.

President and His Advisors Are Frank With the Public

President Trump, Vice President Pence, and some of their advisors spent time
talking about the upcomeing days, and the losses we stand to face. The numbers
of fatalities stand to get larger each day from here on out. It's going to
be tough to watch as the numbers grow. I think these people are doing their
best to prepare folks for the worst, hoping most of the worst can be avoided.

President Trump, Pence, and the men serving under them, are quality people. We
may not agree with some of the things some of them do, but I am confident each
of them is doing the best they can right now.

As citizens of the United States, the things that we can do is try to be helpful
and thoughtful to those around us. We can catch ourselves going negative and
try to be supporting of the Trump team. We should try to find ways to convey our
appreciation for Trump, Pence, their team, first responders, and even our
fellow man.

I don't think you could call me a big supporter of Governor Gavin Newsom here in
California, far from it generally. These days though, I do think he has a tough
job right now. He has been gracious to Trump, who has been gracious to him. I
think it's time to pull together at the moment, and express our support for our
leaders. Of course there are limits. They must be team players. I'm not
suggesting folks should reward treachery.

This Press Corp Is So Incapable of Displaying Class

I don't spend much time watching the press in action these days. Tuning in to
the COVID-19 briefings, it turns my stomach to watch these infantile child-like
people try to play gotcha games at a time like this. Most questions are
negative, focused on making Trump admit he has made a mistake, when he hasn't.

Members of this nation's press, can you pleaes put your petty child-like
behavior aside for a few weeks, until this thing is headed in a better
direction? The nation's people need strong leadership and positve people
in front of them right now. Think you can put your own selfishness aside
for a while? Well?


The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America


Yesterday's Growth Rate Ebbed a Bit

Declared Cases in the United States

             EOD    DAY'S  INCR'SD
DATE       CASES    GRWTH   GROWTH
-
03/20     19,624    5,374      539
03/21     26,747    7,123    1,749
03/22     35,206    8,459    1,336
03/23     46,442   11,236    2,777
03/24     54,893    8,789   -2,427
03/25     60,197   13,966    5,177        
03/26     85,991   16,794    2,828
03/27    104,839   18,848    2,054
03/28    124,665   19,826      978
03/29    143,025   18,360   -1,466
03/30    164,620   21,595    3,235
03/31    189,624   25,004    3,409
04/01    216,721   27,097    2,093
04/02    245,559   28,838    1,741
04/03    278,458   32,899    4,061
04/04    312,237   33,779      899
04/05    337,638   25,401   -8,378
You'll note the growth figure dropped by 8,378 cases yesterday,
compared to the day before. That probably has to do with
yesterday being Sunday, and the reporting wasn't optimal. We'll
see how it goes tomorrow.


Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, & Serious/Critical Cases
in the United States

                                               ACTIVE     SERIOUS
DATE       FATAL       RECOV      RESOLV        CASES    CRITICAL
-
03/20        252         152         404       19,220
03/21        329         176         505       26,242
03/22        396         178         574       34,632
03/23        428         178         606       45,836
03/24        581         354         935       54,296
03/25        753         619       1,372       67,825
03/26      1,301       1,868       3,169       82,822
03/27      1,704       2,622       4,326      100,513
03/28      2,229       3,231       5,460      119,205
03/29      2,488       4,562       7,050      135,975
03/30      3,170       5,507       8,677      155,943
03/31      4,055       7,251      11,306      178,318
04/01      5,112       8,878      13,990      202,731       5,005
04/02      6,095      10,403      16,498      229,061       5,421
04/03      7,403      12,283      19,686      258,772       5,787
04/04      8,454      14,825      23,279      288,958       5,870
04/05      9,620      17,977      27,597      310,041       8,702
Take note that I added in two additional types of informaiton here on
the right. Active cases and Serious/Critical Cases are now provided.

I do want to take a moment to mention that the fatalities are not
presenting daily figures here. They are accumulative. Yesterday
there were 1,166 fatalities, not 9,620. I apologize if I've been
misleading some of you.


Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie Continues to Grow

Once again, lets take a moment to address the U. S. portion of the
global declared cases.

The U. S. has roughly 4.252% of the global populace. There are two
figures I'm tracking with regard to this, the Declared Cases and the
Active Cases.

Here is what the movement for those two categories looks like.

       DECLARED     DAY'S     ACTIVE     DAY'S
DATE      CASES      CHGE      CASES      CHGE
- 
03/20    7.125%    1.297%    10.934%    1.552%
03/21    8.704%    1.579%    13.000%    2.066%
03/22   10.377%    1.673%    15.343%    2.343%
03/23   12.170%    1.793%    17.411%    2.068%
03/24   13.053%    0.883%    18.369%    0.958%
03/25   14.657%    1.604%    20.190%    1.821%
03/26   16.140%    1.483%    21.454%    1.264%
03/27   17.530%    1.390%    22.920%    1.466%.  
03/28   18.742%    1.212%    24.126%    1.206%
03/29   19.762%    1.020%    25.289%    1.163%
03/30   20.936%    1.174%    26.777%    1.488%
03/31   22.045%    1.109%    27.885%    1.108%
04/01   23.110%    1.065%    29.120%    1.235%
04/02   24.160%    1.050%    30.482%    1.362%
04/03   24.886%    0.726%    31.057%    0.575%
04/04   25.935%    1.049%    32.400%    1.343%
04/05   26.464%    0.529%    32.8665    0.466%
Again, I want to caution on the issue of those increases
seeming to have dropped in daily growth percentages. I think
this may also be a reporting/documenting issue yesterday.


The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China


Global Cases Increased to Record Level Today, Outside M/L China

Back to still more numbers...

               EOD      DAY'S   INCR'SD
DATE         CASES     GROWTH    GROWTH - compared to day before
-
03/20      194,148     30,824     5,185
03/21      225,932     31,784       963
03/22      257,820     31,888       104
03/23      297,172     39,352     7,464
03/24      341,530     41,462     2,110
03/25      390,378     48,848     7,386
03/26      451,006     60,628    11,780
03/27      516,124     65,118     4,490
03/28      583,107     66,983     1,865
03/29      641,588     58,481    -8,502
03/30      704,051     62,463     3,982
03/31      777,887     73,836    11,373
04/01      855,389     77,502     3,666
04/02      933,937     78,548     1,046
04/03    1,036,395    102,458    23,910
04/04    1,121,349     84,954   -17,054
04/05    1,193.215     71,866    13,088
Numbers look a lot smaller here too, as it relates to growth
yesterday. Lets see how things look tomorrow. I'd be very
happy if this was real. We'll see tomorow.


Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical Cases
Globally, Excluding M/L China

                                               ACTIVE     SERIOUS
DATE       FATAL       RECOV      RESOLV        CASES    CRITICAL
-
03/20      8,110      16,393      24,503      169,645
03/21      9,740      19,995      29,735      196,197
03/22     11,305      25,485      36,790      221,030
03/23     13,060      28,470      41,530      258,538
03/24     15,347      35,256      50,603      290,927
03/25     17,643      40,467      58,210      332,168
03/26     20,785      48,084      68,869      382,137
03/27     24,466      56,801      81,267      434,857
03/28     27,522      64,777      92,299      490,808
03/29     30,714      76,342     107,056      534,532
03/30     34,515      89,989     124,504      579,547
03/31     39,052     102,121     141,163      636,724
04/01     43,949     118,092     162,041      693,348
04/02     49,838     135,204     185,042      748,895
04/03     55,611     150,014     205,625      839,770
04/04     61,466     170,309     231,775      889,574      41,993
04/05     66,183     185,921     252,104      941,111      45,633
Take note that I added in two additional types of informaiton here on
the right. Active cases and Serious/Critical Cases are now provided.


Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, and Spain
Case growth.

Lets Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:

DATE       FRANCE      GERMANY        ITALY       SPAIN
-
02/20          12           16            3           2
02/25          14           18          322           9
03/01         100          117        1,128          76
03/06  --     653  --      670  --    4,636  --     401
03/11       2,284        1,966       12,462       2,277
03/16       6,650        7,272       27,980       9,942
03/21      14,485       22,364       53,578      25,496
03/26  --  29,566  --   43,938  --   80,589  --  57,786
03/31      52,819       68,180      105,792      94,417
04/05      93,780      100,123      128,948     131,646
I started the review on 02/20, because some of these nations had
been at that same level for a few days. Then the next day things took
off.

Spain's overtaking of Italy from behind was rather striking.


The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*

Mainland China numbers make up 00.24% of today's cases globally


Nations With Lots of Cases

At the end of the day on 04/04/2020, there are:

 1 nation(s) with 300,000 plus (take a bow...)
 3 nation(s) with 100,000 to 199,999
 3 nation(s) with  50,000 to  99,999
 3 natiom(s) with  20,000 to  49,999
 7 nation(s) with  10,000 to  19,999
 5 nation(s) with   5,000 to   9,999
37 nation(s) with   1,000 to   4,999

There are currently 59 nations with a 1,000 count or above...


A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China

End of day figures follow:

           DECLAR     DAY'S  RESOLVED    DAY'S   PCT DEC    ACTIVE
DATE        CASES    GROWTH     CASES   GROWTH  CS RESOL     CASES
-
03/20 -   275,434 -  30,911 -  99,655 -  3,590 - 36.181% - 175,779
03/21     307,280    31,846   105,425    5,770   34.309%   201,855
03/22     339,259    31,979   113,540    8,115   33.467%   225,719
03/23 -   381,621 -  42,362 - 118,369 -  4,829 - 31.017% - 263,252
03/24     423,121    41,500   127,538    9,169   30.142%   295,583
03/25     472,109    48,998   136,178    8,640   28.845%   335,931
03/26 -   532,788 -  60.679 - 146,749 - 10,571 - 27.544% - 386,039
03/27     598,070    65,282   159,533   12,784   26.675%   438,537
03/28     665,164    67,094   171,077   11,544   25.720%   494,087
03/29 -   723,740 -  58,576 - 186,060 - 14,983 - 25.708% - 537,680
03/30     786,291    62,551   203,926   17,848   25.933%   582,383
03/31     860,181    73,890   220,713   16,085   25.659%   639,468
04/01 -   937,783 -  77,602 - 241,591 - 20,878 - 25.762% - 696,192
04/02   1,016,401    78,618   264,935   23,344   26.066%   751,466
04/03   1,118,921   102,520   285,706   20,771   25.534%   833,215
04/04 - 1,203,923 -  85,002 - 312,068 - 26,362 - 25.931% - 891,855
04/05   1,275,856    71,933   332,513   20,445   26.062%   943,343
Here the increase per day fell off like the numbers did in other
places and categories yesterday. Again, I'd like to think this
is a clear change of direction, but I don't expect to see this
large a retreat from growth numbers right now. If it is real, I'll
be a happy camper.

Wow, the percentage of resolved cases has closed above 26% for only
the second time in nine days. Tomorrow we'll see if that holds up
also.


Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical Cases
Globally, Including M/L China

                                               ACTIVE     SERIOUS
DATE       FATAL       RECOV      RESOLV        CASES    CRITICAL
-
03/20     11,399      88,256      99,655      175,779
03/21     13,049      92,376     105,425      201,855
03/22     14,706      98,834     113,540      225,719
03/23     16,563     101,806     118,369      263,252
03/24     18,919     108,619     127,358      295,583
03/25     21,308     114,870     136,178      335,931
03/26     24,077     122,672     146,749      386,039
03/27     27,761     131,772     159,533      438,537
03/28     30,852     140,225     171,077      494,087
03/29     34,018     152,042     186,060      537,680
03/30     37,820     166,088     203,908      582,383
03/31     42,354     178,359     220,713      639,468      
04/01     47,261     194,330     241,591      696,192
04/02     53,160     211,775     264,935      751,466
04/03     58,937     226,769     285,706      833,215
04/04     64,795     247,273     312,068      891,855      42,288  ch 295
04/05     69,514     262,999     332,513      943,343      45,898  ch 265
Take note that I added in two additional types of informaiton here on
the right. Active cases and Serious/Critical Cases are now provided.


Population Saturation

Here are figures revealing how many people in each population
base represent one case. I'm also showing what percent of each
population base is infected at this time.

ENTITY              PER 1 CASE   DAY BEFOR     DAY CHGE
-
Globally      :          8,237       8,712        -475
Outside China :          8,256       8,735        -439
The U. S. A.  :          1,066       1,143         -77
-
ENTITY         INFECTION LEVEL   DAY BEFOR    DAY CHGE
-
Globally      :       00.0114%    00.0107%    00.0007%
Outside China :       00.0147%    00.0139%    00.0008%
The U. S. A.  :       00.0938%    00.0875%    00.0063%
Compared to the other entities, the U. S. figures still don't
look good. Each day they get worse, but the pace has slowed.


This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...


Data for this Report Sourced From:

LINK   Johns Hopkins University
               The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)

LINK   WorldoMeters

LINK   You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)

               There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.


Other Features:

LINK   US States DC51, Territories5+, and Counties200 (alphabetical / cases)


Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own discression.

LINK   Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info

LINK   CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around

LINK   COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
               New England Journal of Medicine article

LINK   Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712

LINK   earlyAlert

LINK   Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
               Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians

LINK   IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation

LINK   National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)

LINK   New York City - interesting breakdown, burough, age, sex

LINK   World Health Organization

LINK   Baidu (China source: figures outside seem okay, but inside no > IMO)


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: coronavanity; coronavirus; covid19
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1 posted on 04/06/2020 2:12:01 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
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To: Jim Robinson; AllAmericanGirl44; amorphous; Badboo; beef; Big Red Badger; bitt; buckalfa; ...

2 posted on 04/06/2020 2:13:33 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

Google Zinc deficiency and loss of taste and smell. Loss of taste and smell are symptoms of Covid -19. Interestingly Covid-19 is best treated with HydroxyChloroquine combined with Zinc which allows Zinc to do its job. Could it be that your body is using all its Zinc to fight Covid?

25 posted on 4/6/2020, 12:58:22 AM by GulfMan


3 posted on 04/06/2020 2:19:05 AM PDT by Norski
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To: DoughtyOne

I once thought it was a terrible thing when you read about a country where the journalists were taken out back and shot.


4 posted on 04/06/2020 2:20:25 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Norski

Could be, because that is a symptom.


5 posted on 04/06/2020 2:20:43 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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To: wastoute

Well, it used to be a terrible thing.


6 posted on 04/06/2020 2:21:32 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne; GulfMan

“Could be, because that is a symptom.”

Ping to Gulfman.


7 posted on 04/06/2020 2:27:00 AM PDT by Norski
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To: DoughtyOne

Dang, you get up almost as early as I do. . .(full moon is wrecking havoc with my sleep as usual)


8 posted on 04/06/2020 2:28:39 AM PDT by Badboo (Why it is important)
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To: DoughtyOne

Yeoman’s job D1. BZ!

What’s the difference between resolved and recovered?


9 posted on 04/06/2020 2:32:19 AM PDT by glock rocks (orange man bad-ass)
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To: DoughtyOne

Thank you.

You are faithful with this information and I appreciate it.

One thing I have not heard is how the homeless population is faring in CA?

How are they being managed? LA and SF particularly.


10 posted on 04/06/2020 2:39:50 AM PDT by Chickensoup (Voter ID for 2020!! Leftists totalitarian fascists appear to be planning to eradicate conservatives)
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To: Norski

I lost my sense of smell in 1982 from an accident.

This new “symptom” is more nerve wracking than the others.

I’d never know.


11 posted on 04/06/2020 2:46:37 AM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: DoughtyOne

On average,there are approximately 7,600 deaths in the U.S. each day from various causes. If this virus starts taking close to that each day then we really have a problem. We’ll see. We have to pray that this tide will turn soon.


12 posted on 04/06/2020 2:50:22 AM PDT by HighSierra5
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To: DoughtyOne

>>Spain’s overtaking of Italy from behind was rather striking.

Didn’t they have a huge series of women’s marches / feminist activist events all over the country at a really bad time for people to be gathering in large groups?

For example, from US Snooze, March 8:

Thousands March in Spain on Women’s Day Despite Coronavirus Fears
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2020-03-08/thousands-march-in-spain-on-womens-day-despite-coronavirus-fears


13 posted on 04/06/2020 3:06:42 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: Norski

I think zinc and quercetin supplements could be protective against covid-19.

I read that HydroxyChloroquine works by being a zinc ionospore, which allows zinc to be absorbed by cells. The zinc is then the active agent in stopping viral replication.

Qyercetin is also a zinc ionospore. The difference of course is that HCQ is prescription, Quercetin is a natural supplement available OTC or online.

Being a zinc ionsospore may not be the only way HydroxyChloroquine is effective, as I’ve seen studies indicate that it’s has shown some effectiveness when given without zinc.

I’m also seeing articles that Vitamin D deficiency seems to be implicated in severe cases of Covid-19. Dr. Vladimir Zelenko who successfully treated 699 coronavirus patients used both HCQ and zinc and azithromycin.

Take at your own risk. DannyTN’s liability is limited to a refund of the amount you paid him for his speculations.


14 posted on 04/06/2020 3:07:11 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: Salamander

It is good to supplement with zinc. Also magnesium.

Here is a heavy metal video by a band called Wind Rose

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34CZjsEI1yU&list=RDMM34CZjsEI1yU&start_radio=1


15 posted on 04/06/2020 3:08:58 AM PDT by Norski
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To: glock rocks

Wouldn’t resolved include those who died as well as those recovered?


16 posted on 04/06/2020 3:16:33 AM PDT by Jemian
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To: DannyTN; RummyChick

“I think zinc and quercetin supplements could be protective against covid-19.”
- - - - - - - - - - - - -

There are others whom believe in a similar fashion. Possibly I am one. Myself, I use large doses of Vitamin C, buffered, on a regular basis.


17 posted on 04/06/2020 3:23:27 AM PDT by Norski
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To: Norski

Most. Epic. Segue. Ever.

/more stuff for my iPods! Yay!

Thank you!

:)


18 posted on 04/06/2020 3:28:37 AM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: Jemian

Aha. The numbers support that. Thanks.


19 posted on 04/06/2020 3:33:26 AM PDT by glock rocks (orange man bad-ass)
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To: DannyTN

He is now up to 900 treated patients. There is little doubt that this protocol works and works well. Zelenko states that withholding this treatment is a “crime against humanity.” This is a good man and a good doctor.

https://techstartups.com/2020/04/05/new-updates-dr-vladimir-zelenko-cocktail-hydroxychloroquine-zinc-sulfate-azithromycin-showing-phenomenon-results-900-coronavirus-patients-treated-must-watch-video/


20 posted on 04/06/2020 3:43:03 AM PDT by Blennos
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