Posted on 03/25/2020 4:09:57 AM PDT by Kaslin
How a handful of Democratic activists created alarming, but bogus data sets to scare local and state officials into making rash, economy-killing mandates.
As U.S. state and local officials halt the economy and quarantine their communities over the Wuhan virus crisis, one would hope our leaders were making such major decisions based on well-sourced data and statistical analysis. That is not the case.
A scan of statements made by media, state governors, local leaders, county judges, and more show many relying on the same source, an online mapping tool called COVID Act Now. The website says it is “built to enable political leaders to quickly make decisions in their Coronavirus response informed by best available data and modeling.”
An interactive map provides users a catastrophic forecast for each state, should they wait to implement COVID Act Now’s suggested strict measures to “flatten the curve.” But a closer look at how many of COVID Act Now’s predictions have already fallen short, and how they became a ubiquitous resource across the country overnight, suggests something more sinister.
When Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins announced a shelter-in-place order on Dallas County Sunday, he displayed COVID Act Now graphs with predictive outcomes after three months if certain drastic measures are taken. The NBC Dallas affiliate also embedded the COVID Act Now models in their story on the mandate.
The headline of an NBC Oregon affiliate featured COVID Act Now data, and a headline blaring, “Coronavirus model sees Oregon hospitals overwhelmed by mid-April.” Both The Oregonian and The East Oregonian also published stories featuring the widely shared data predicting a “point of no return.”
(Excerpt) Read more at thefederalist.com ...
Not a pearl clutcher, FRiend. I'm a realist trying to look at facts in all this noise.
My knee-jerk reaction to all this was to ignore it and go about my business (and yeah, I'm old and "vulnerable"). Not giving up my freedom for fear.
But I'm monitoring the situation. I hope you are correct! But we don't know enough yet. IMHO, President Trump is correct in waiting to make his calls (I hope we don't drop 2 trillion dollars on the problem).
There were people on Long Island who refused to “black out” even while there were U boats just lying offshore...
—
Wow. Poor analogy.
I’m paying particular attention to the daily deaths graph here:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
That’s not looking good so far. When that turns the other way, I’ll start feeling better.
are you factoring in suicides, deaths as a result of a crash in standard of living and the years and years it will take to recover...if ever?
just asking
It’s exactly the same. The very thing flubros are doing. I would expect JimRob to start kicking them out.
—
Kicked out? Sounds like the same sort of response from those pushing global warming. No disagreement allowed!
Actually, yes. If every urban center descends into chaos the #new deaths due to virus will be horrific but trivial at the same time. That WOULD be quite an interesting world.
We can see some great variation and good data from other locations. How about targeting isolation for the most vulnerable, finish 14-40 day quarantine (or whatever the current best guess risk range is), and get everyone else back to work?
Watch what happens in the next day or two. Worldometers has almost 1,200 people ini ICU now. 1/3 in NYC, roughly. Today I would imagine every one of them will get the drugs. If it is a 100% cure the number in ICU beds should go to almost zero in 2 days. That would mean it is, essentially, over. I have nothing I’m selling. I pray the drugs work, next Monday we can start returning people to their lives in stages if they do at that time.
What is a “flubro”
Thr hysteria over this NON DEADLY VIRUS is manufactured 100%.
The BS is already beginning to unravel in Italy where we learned that the deaths attributed to the China Virus are monstrously overstated.
Already 25,000 here in America have died from the common flu and yet we never heard a word and mostly still don’t from the lib media.
Thousands if not millions of Americans may have contracted this China Virus and recovered without ever knowing they had it. This silly lock down is far, far to premature and I am more than confident that when the ongoing tests begin to show the how effective they will be this thing will end quickly. The country will come back to life a section at a time with certain areas such as NYC and other high density population centers having to wait a bit longer. But these places such as NYC will also be getting the initial bulk of medications which prove to be effective.
Thirty days, that’;s it and this thing is history, much to the chagrin of the pearl clutchers and America hating Left who simply used this as yet another attempt to bring down the President.
The desperation on the Left is amazing to me. Initially they just set out to destroy ONE MAN, the President DJT but when they continually failed in their attempts they went all in and decided if it took destroying the entire worlds economy to get rid of this man they would do it.
They will not only fail, they will be exposed.
In order to wear a mask, you have to have a mask. Actually, a supply of them, since reusability via kitchen sterilization isn’t proven to work.
The US is woefully short of masks at the moment.
But, I agree with you that would be the way to go once the masks are produced.
Yeah, that’s the real test of the hydrocychloroquine + azithromycin. I’m not sure how accurate the icu stats on that website are, but we should still know.
Baloney. Due to our government’s incompetence, we don’t have enough testing kits to accurately know what the real mortality rate is. We are currently only testing those who are gravely ill, first responders and apparently celebrities. I have two colleagues who came down with a fever last week, who can’t get tested for Covid-19, because they are not sick enough or famous enough to qualify for testing. There may be 10-20 X the number of cases reported, which would put the mortality rate closer to common flu strains, which can kill up to 80,000 per flu season.
The phenomena is asymptotic extrapolation
Aggregating isolated numbers and creating a general condition creates a false picture
In order to wear a mask, you have to have a mask. Actually, a supply of them, since reusability via kitchen sterilization isn’t proven to work.
The photos I see from Singapore and Hong Kong indicate that some are using hillbilly masks. Nothing, even an N95 mask, is foolproof. But even a homemade mask home-sewn from old T-shirts is better than no mask. I've read that a cotton T-shirt is 69% as effective as an N95 in filtering out particulate material. The amusing thing is that cotton blend is better than 100% cotton. As to sterilization, this bug is presumably like any other virus - 165F for 15 seconds, and it's deactivated.
Minimum Temperatures and Holding Times
165 °F (15 seconds)
- Poultry--chicken, turkey, duck, goose--whole, parts or ground
- Soups, stews, stuffing, casseroles, mixed dishes
- Stuffed meat, poultry, fish and pasta
- Leftovers (to reheat)
- Food, covered, cooked in microwave oven (hold covered 2 minutes after removal)
155 °F (15 seconds)
- Hamburger, meatloaf and other ground meats; ground fish *
- Fresh shell eggs--cooked and held for service (such as, scrambled) *
145 °F (15 seconds)
- Beef, corned beef, pork, ham--roasts (hold 4 minutes) *
- Beef, lamb, veal, pork--steaks or chops
- Fish, shellfish
- Fresh shell eggs--broken, cooked and served immediately
140 °F (15 seconds)
- Ham, other roasts--processed, fully cooked (to reheat)
- Fruits and vegetables that are cooked
*For alternative times and temperatures, see the FDA Food Code 2001 http://vm.cfsan.fda.gov/~dms/foodcode.html
Hold all hot food at 135 °F or above after cooking
USDA Meat and Poultry Hotline 1-888-MPHotline
FDA Food Information Line 1-888-SAFE FOOD
(USDA symbol) Food Safety and Inspection Service
U.S. Department of AgricultureUSDA is an equal opportunity employer and provider.
Trump addressed this in his town hall yesterday.
When the “experts” first came to him on this they were pitching mortality rates of 4 to 5 percent. Faced with those staggering numbers of course he went to DEFCON 1.
The actual number will probably settle somewhere close to South Korea’s 0.7%.
I wonder how long the virus persists on a mask. If they could be left unused for a period of time then reused, that could help, especially for the layman.
I was going to do a few minutes at low pressure in the Instant Pot, with a low temp oven dry after.
The active materials are polypropylene for the filter and polyester fiber for the cloth parts.
The real issue is having the discipline to steam, roast, or toast the mask after every outside human contact, however brief.
Nice chart!
[I wonder how long the virus persists on a mask. If they could be left unused for a period of time then reused, that could help, especially for the layman.]
This site previously had Georgia at the “too late to act” position as of March 24th. Once the 24th got here they changed it to April 9th
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.