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Mortality Rate From New Coronavirus Between 0.1 and 1 Percent: US Official
The Epoch Times ^ | March 6, 2020 Updated: March 6, 2020 | ZACHARY STIEBER

Posted on 03/06/2020 9:29:50 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum

The mortality rate from the new coronavirus is 1 percent or lower, a U.S. official said.

Speaking to reporters on Wednesday, Adm. Brett Giroir, assistant secretary for health at the Department of Health and Human Services, said the typical mortality rate for the seasonal flu is around 0.15 percent.

“The best estimates now of the overall mortality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere between 0.1 percent and 1 percent. That’s lower than you’ve heard probably in many reports,” Giroir said in Washington.

The estimate is lower than other experts have said because of the assumption that “many people don’t get sick and don’t get tested,” Giroir said, adding: “Probably for every case, there are at least two or three cases that are not in that denominator.”

The mortality rate is likely higher than for the flu, Giroir emphasized. “It’s not likely in the range of 2 to 3 percent,” he added, citing modeling data.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told lawmakers last month that the overall mortality rate, counting just the people who “come to the attention” of the medical community, was 2.4 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at theepochtimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: coronavirus
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1 posted on 03/06/2020 9:29:50 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I do believe many people have been exposed to the virus, without necessarily ever showing any symptoms.

With all of the traffic going through our airports, I just don’t see how that wouldn’t be the case.


2 posted on 03/06/2020 9:32:13 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dfwgator

perhaps people interpreted that they had a cold. It progressed and went away. Or perhaps a mild flue like symptoms. So never tested.


3 posted on 03/06/2020 9:34:25 AM PST by DariusBane (Liberty and Risk. Flip sides of the same coin. So how much risk will YOU accept? Vive Deo et Vives)
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To: dfwgator
I do believe many people have been exposed to the virus, without necessarily ever showing any symptoms.

Maybe we had it all along and gave it to the Chinese.

4 posted on 03/06/2020 9:34:39 AM PST by jetson
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To: DariusBane

And some may have died of it before, but it was assumed it was normal influenza.


5 posted on 03/06/2020 9:35:04 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It’s cold & flu season.
Lots of people are sick.
Some of them have coronavirus.

The rest is hype.


6 posted on 03/06/2020 9:35:11 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

As determined by a sample size of 12?


7 posted on 03/06/2020 9:35:18 AM PST by griffin
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

No one has a clue how many died in China so any estimate on a fatality rate is pure guess work. I do know the death rate is damn near 100% at the Life Care Center in Kirkland, Washington.


8 posted on 03/06/2020 9:35:20 AM PST by JonPreston
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To: JonPreston
I do know the death rate is damn near 100% at the Life Care Center in Kirkland, Washington.

Old folks' homes are filled with... wait for it... old people, not to mention the fact that they are closed-system Petri dishes.

9 posted on 03/06/2020 9:37:25 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (If you don't recognize that as sarcasm you are dumber than a bag of hammers.)
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To: jetson

We have a winner. A lot of Wuhan/US travel happens. Wonder where Walmart gets its products from.


10 posted on 03/06/2020 9:38:13 AM PST by epluribus_2 (He, had the best mom - ever. my)
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To: JonPreston
I do know the death rate is damn near 100% at the Life Care Center in Kirkland, Washington.

Which would have been the case with most any flu strain.

11 posted on 03/06/2020 9:38:23 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: griffin

You’re going to be so disappointed again.


12 posted on 03/06/2020 9:43:37 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (If you don't recognize that as sarcasm you are dumber than a bag of hammers.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The estimate is lower than other experts have said because of the assumption that “many people don’t get sick and don’t get tested,” Giroir said, adding: “Probably for every case, there are at least two or three cases that are not in that denominator.”

That is wrong. A case fatality rate (CFR), by definition, counts only cases that are diagnosed. In this fashion, the total mortality rate from the 1917-1919 was probably lower than 2%, because of people with mild illness who were never diagnosed or even never showed symptoms.

The CFR is almost always going to be lower than the overall fatality rate. The only way to determine an absolute fatality rate would be to test every member of a population for seroconversion, an indicator of immunity to the disease. That is not feasible.

The case fatality rate from Covid-19 is shaping up to be in the 3% range. This is not a true CFR, since almost half of the cases are still active, and a final CFR cannot be calculated until all cases have resolved or died. It is highly worrisome.

13 posted on 03/06/2020 9:43:39 AM PST by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Yep. 18,000 have already died from the regular flu.


14 posted on 03/06/2020 9:46:18 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: dfwgator
Which would have been the case with most any flu strain

right, because that rate of flu mortality at one location, within 3 days has been seen for decades and decades. Oofa...the stupid runs thick.

15 posted on 03/06/2020 9:46:45 AM PST by JonPreston
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To: griffin

“As determined by a sample size of 12?”

Determined by the fact that thousands of people haven’t died in the weeks since this has been in the news. That’s just simple logic.

Like what the hell is testing them going to do? The individual “confirmed” cases arent because those few people happened to be the only ones with it.


16 posted on 03/06/2020 9:48:56 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I still say it’s the Y2k virus. Just a cold weaponized to accomplish globalist, DNC, and Chinese political purposes.


17 posted on 03/06/2020 9:49:21 AM PST by DesertRhino (Dog is man's best friend, and moslems hate dogs. Add that up. ....)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
14 dead and 8 recovered?

Sure looks like between 0.1 and 1% to a bureaucrat.

All governments lie, people.

The sooner you learn that, the safer you'll be!

18 posted on 03/06/2020 10:09:24 AM PST by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Lots of experts and self-proclaimed experts spouting out information on the fly. Anyone can find whatever figure they want to support their hypothesis.


19 posted on 03/06/2020 10:12:12 AM PST by iontheball
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To: null and void

Don’t give up. Keep hoping for more and more deaths! So fun! I know possibilities of low severity bother you, with your dark hearted desire for many deaths.


20 posted on 03/06/2020 10:20:16 AM PST by Codeflier (FearRepublic.com - keeping the media panic narrative going 24/7 to finally bring down Trump.)
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