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OK - Lets do a little math … 7.7 BILLION people in the world

If:

40%-60% get the virus, that's, 3.08 - 4.62 Billion people infected.

at 1% death rate: 30.8 - 46.2 million deaths

at 2% death rate: 61.6 - 92.4 million deaths

at 10% death rate; 308 - 462 million deaths …

Likely to become the defining event of this generation ...

1 posted on 02/24/2020 1:10:49 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

I.E. Stay out of Walmart.


57 posted on 02/24/2020 1:37:05 PM PST by SkyDancer ( ~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
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To: 11th_VA
Let's say it's the low number of 40%.

Dallas Ft Worth has 7,690,420 people.

20% of the infected so far have been severe cases, requiring hospitalization and 5% have been critical, requiring ICU.

Let's cut the numbers in half.

Let's say only 20% of DFW gets it. 10% of those are severe and 2.5% are critical. That's 38,452 ICU beds that we need.

There are about 1,500 ICU beds in the region.
59 posted on 02/24/2020 1:37:47 PM PST by BusterDog
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To: 11th_VA

Putting aside the 2% there is supposedly about a 20% take rate or so of people that are in serious condition, e.g. ICU. Not sure if those same ICU stats will translate to the US as westerners seem to be less affected by it than asians.

But whatever it is — there is a large chunk of people that while they may not die will be in bad shape in bed and/or hospital for weeks if they get this thing.

As it is now you get sick you schedule an appointment and go your doctor’s office and then go to pharmacy and get meds. If this thing breaks out you can forget these routines. Our system is just not designed for pandemics. My guess you stay home and if its gets bad you go to ER where they will be overwhelmed.

Even putting aside fatalities this thing could disrupt our lives big time. However viruses and flu’s are seasonal. Best if this thing can be contained until summer and it will burn itself out.


60 posted on 02/24/2020 1:37:54 PM PST by plain talk
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To: 11th_VA

The planet will be uninhabitable in around a decade because of global warming, so either way we’re done. Funny how life works out.

</sarc>


71 posted on 02/24/2020 1:51:46 PM PST by CodeJockey (Dum Spiro, Pugno)
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To: 11th_VA

Abject fearmongering. This research scientist wants a perpetual funding gig, and he’s likely to get it. Let’s just see if between 3 and 5 *BILLION* people have the Covid-19 virus by the end of the year. Count me as a “denier” on this one.

In the meantime, we need some solid answers on whether this was an engineered virus or not. If it was, how was it released and by whom?


72 posted on 02/24/2020 1:51:46 PM PST by agatheringstorm
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To: 11th_VA

They cannot contain this, it has already escaped containment even with the over-the-top methods of the Chicoms.

Italy and other countries are not going to weld people into their apartments the way the ChiComs did.

It will get out.

It’s coming to your town and it is not going to be pretty.

The fatality rate is probably higher than 2%... there are numerous factors. If you’re elderly, it is 15%. If you are a smoker... if you have any other underlying disease or are in poor health...

We don’t know who the survivors are... do they live by the sea? Are they urban dwellers? Non smokers? Does it affect the lungs of Han Chinese worse than others as some researchers have indicated?

I guess we’re going to find out.

Be safe.


73 posted on 02/24/2020 1:52:02 PM PST by Bon mots
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To: 11th_VA

If anyone has noticed, that Iran 1 in 5 dies. That’s a 20% mortality rate.

They had better up their infected rate.


85 posted on 02/24/2020 1:58:01 PM PST by ImJustAnotherOkie (All I know is The I read in the papers.)
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To: 11th_VA

The normal death rate of the global population is what, more than 50 million per year?

Aren’t many of those deaths really old people who get the common cold and die from it?


87 posted on 02/24/2020 1:58:54 PM PST by reasonisfaith (What are the implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: 11th_VA

yes agenda 21 is all coming to fruition


92 posted on 02/24/2020 2:03:55 PM PST by al baby (Hi Mom Hi Dad)
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To: 11th_VA
I'm just getting over my second bout of pneumonia since mid-September. Never had it before this. I live on a farm isolated in the country with little to no social contacts, except our 2 year old granddaughter who we are raising full-time.

She brings home the "crud" from her daycare school and gives it to my wife and I. We're both in our 70s. Turned in to bronchitis first and then got infected and turned into pneumonia for me. I was hospitalized twice. My wife once.

Some people are going to die from this new bug. But there are more than enough other flus that will and are already making people sick and killing them outside of this new bug.

Screw the coronavirus. Most of this is alarmist hysteria.

96 posted on 02/24/2020 2:06:01 PM PST by HotHunt (Been there. Done that.)
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To: 11th_VA

So many different stories about where this originated. One thing has been a constant throughout history; nature has a way of protecting itself using plagues, famine, weather, and other things.

We are over populating this earth in some areas. Building higher apartment buildings to house more people isn’t the long-term answer. Nature may view us as an invading virus so it creates defenses to lessen the impact. If we are to continue to multiply at the rate we are then we must migrate off world to distant planets. This may be the wake up call needed to kick the space race into high gear.

Think of the opportunities! Leftists could all go to some barren planet while producers like conservatives go to a lush green planet. Muslims could have their very own desert planet too with lots of caves, sand, and rocks so they feel at home. Marxist/socialists/progressives/dems will need to find their own planet too. Preferably on the other side of the galaxy. Heck; even the LGBTQ contingent can find their own slice of the galactic pie.

Have I managed to piss off everyone? Who did I leave out?


98 posted on 02/24/2020 2:07:32 PM PST by Boomer ('Democrat' is now synonymous with 'corrupt')
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To: 11th_VA

BS believe it or notit infects primarily chinese


103 posted on 02/24/2020 2:09:17 PM PST by nikos1121
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To: 11th_VA

But it’s just the flu. //sarcasm.


107 posted on 02/24/2020 2:12:10 PM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: 11th_VA

As of today the death rate is around 3% and change.


112 posted on 02/24/2020 2:14:53 PM PST by ealgeone
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To: 11th_VA

The disease is serious, but lets keep fearmongering to a minimum. Fearmongering will affect the stock market, which threatens Trump’s main selling point. Expect liberal publications to cash in on fear.

First - the coronavirus does not survive in sunlight. When it is warmer out, people open windows, they spend less time indoors and schools are closed. There is more sunlight in the summer. Why are there no outbreaks in Africa, despite poor healthcare? Why are there no outbreaks in Australia, a popular vacation spot for Chinese? Its summer there. It’ll be warm in the northern hemisphere soon. The projections made by the very liberal Atlantic magazine assume that all thing will remain the same, which they won’t.

Second - all cases in the United States are controlled. It’ll be warm here before significant uncontrolled cases pop up. The Atlantic headline points out the YOU are going to get the virus. No, YOU won’t...people in Eurasia might. Another bad assumption that this article makes - that the virus is free to spread anywhere.


127 posted on 02/24/2020 2:36:17 PM PST by kidd
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To: 11th_VA

Even at 1% people WILL FREAK OUT and run through the streets screaming.

Governments will fall. Economies will stop. There will be wars and revolutions.

News travels at the speed of light. Worldwide.


129 posted on 02/24/2020 2:39:59 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: 11th_VA

.


134 posted on 02/24/2020 2:49:56 PM PST by sauropod (David Horowitz: “Inside every progressive is a totalitarian screaming to get out.”)
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To: 11th_VA
From FNC: Dr. Siegel on what's becoming 'more concerning' about the coronavirus outbreak
135 posted on 02/24/2020 2:58:52 PM PST by Boomer ('Democrat' is now synonymous with 'corrupt')
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To: 11th_VA

Yep, and add to that the fact that the elderly and the immunity diminished population will be the hardest hit.


142 posted on 02/24/2020 3:14:56 PM PST by BOBWADE (WWG1WGA)
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To: 11th_VA

Waiting for the news release.... the corona virus was caused by (gasp) CLIMATE CHANGE !!


146 posted on 02/24/2020 3:18:40 PM PST by beethovenfan (Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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