The Monte Carlo chart said there would be 11,090 229 deaths by today so it appears to be slowing.
Yeah, well gas has dropped six cents.
Hubei province where Wuhan is.
Russian railroad...
01/30 22:43 RZD orders notifying companies of stopping cargo shipments with China, but revokes document later (Part 2)
So they WON’T be stopping freight from China.
Government Propaganda alert!
Hurry to your local government center and get your injections of poison now kids!
Or else this big scary disease is going to come and get you!
If 9171 is correct, then it has passed SARS which had 8422 confirmed cases.
wiki data as of 1/29/20
Mainland China, Chart: Cases Statistics
Suspected: 12,167
Confirmed: 7,711
Severe: 1,370
Deaths:170
Recovered:124
Quarantined: 81,947
Released on 1/29: 2,364 Cumulative release: approx. 6.5K
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_201920_Wuhan_coronavirus_outbreak
Thanks for the new thread and updates
Assuming China is releasing accurate numbers, which I doubt.
There are currently 9,171 confirmed cases worldwide, including 213 fatalities.
Last update: 30 January 2020 at 5:36 p.m. ET
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/01/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
==
Mainland China
9,042 cases, 213 fatalities, 1,370 serious, 124 recovered, 12,167 suspected
Regions: Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau
28 cases, 0 serious
International:
101 cases, 2 serious
No deaths outside Mainland China — so far.
But these charts may shed light on the potential progression and path of the disease. These charts cover the number of SARS cases in Hong Kong...
...and the case fatality rate (CFR) over time across three countries.
What is clear, is that the CFR in HK started out very high - very Ebola-like - then comes down and hits a long-run average as the volume of cases rise.
The same "mean-reversion" happened in Canada.
Taiwan's experience is interesting: things were well until an undiagnosed hospital worker (who boarded at the hospital!) spread SARS throughout the hospital wards.
If this current situation is like HK or Canada, then things will get better. If the situation is like Taiwan, they'll get worse.... then even out.
Thanks for posting. Health/life BUMP!
Condolences to family and friends of Dr. Liang Wudong
R.I.P. sir. Thanks. love
Italy just confirmed 2.
not sure if this is from the current events..but it’s a cool little parade in Japan and they arent worrying about the virus
https://twitter.com/JoshuaPotash/status/1222985180648034306
Millions of #locusts 🦗 have been invading eastern Africa for several days.
They devour crops & threaten food security.
Tens of thousands of hectares have been destroyed in Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia, AFP reports #Africa food emergency !!pic.twitter.com/HF5i5OhSYK— ISCResearch (@ISCResearch) January 30, 2020
A host of earthquakes, a virus outbreak, forest fires, and now locusts. Probably not time to queue up REM's It's the End of the World"
Thanks for the thread.
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.
And for some light reading
First read “The Last Centurion” in about 2010. Remember thinking “Hmm, historically that is about right for an outbreak”.
Ringo put a lot of thought into this book Highly recommended.
1/29
“New Coronavirus May Not Have Originated In Wuhan: Lancet Report”
https://www.newsclick.in/New-Coronavirus-May-Not-Have-Originated-Wuhan-Lancet-Report