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U.K. election: Polls put Boris Johnson on track for a pro-Brexit victory
AXIOS ^
| 12/09/2019
| Dave Lawler
Posted on 12/09/2019 7:05:58 PM PST by SeekAndFind
U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson appears to be steaming toward the parliamentary majority he desperately desires to pass his Brexit deal and end the gridlock in Westminster.
Why it matters: Thursdays vote is the culmination of three years of intense efforts to deliver Brexit, and to block it. The rocky road Johnson has plodded along since replacing Theresa May in July would become much smoother with a resounding electoral mandate.
Driving the news: This has been a brutal campaign fought by two leaders who are disliked and distrusted by broad swaths of the public.
- Johnson has been accused of repeatedly misleading voters, while opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn has been charged with allowing anti-Semitism to fester within his Labour Party.
- Opponents of Brexit now believe the only thing that can stop a Johnson majority is tactical voting, with voters selecting Labour or the fiercely anti-Brexit Liberal Democrats depending on which party is more likely to defeat the local Conservative candidate.
The latest polls:
- Conservatives: 43% (+5 since election called in late October)
- Labour: 33% (+7)
- Lib Dems: 13% (-3)
- Brexit: 3% (-7)
- Greens: 3% (=)
Breaking it down: James Johnson, who ran Downing Streets polling under Theresa May, gives the Conservatives a 75% chance of a parliamentary majority.
- If they fall short, one scenario would see Labour form a coalition with the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party.
- That could put Corbyn into Downing Street and lead to second referendums on Brexit and Scottish independence, which voters rejected in 2014.
Numbers to watch: Johnson's bar for success is the 326 seats needed for a majority, though he might keep the top job if he falls just short.
(Excerpt) Read more at axios.com ...
TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: borisjohnson; brexit; polls; uk
To: SeekAndFind
2
posted on
12/09/2019 7:11:59 PM PST
by
rockinqsranch
("Democratic" party sold out to the ICP. It is now the Communist Party USA.)
To: SeekAndFind
If it’s anything like Canada - and with multiple parties, the comparison seems apt - then 43% is enough for a big majority
BoJo has gotta win ... there’s just no comparison between his optimistic attitude and Corbyn’s dour brooding ... even us outsiders can see that
To: SeekAndFind
Sure hope Mr. Johnson wins. He is the man for the job.
To: SeekAndFind
Corbyn’s motto appears to be “Back to the 70’s”, when Labour’s sclerotic left-wing economic policies left Britain with high unemployment and out-of-control labor unions that struck repeatedly and whimsically.
5
posted on
12/09/2019 7:17:26 PM PST
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: SeekAndFind
6
posted on
12/09/2019 7:21:56 PM PST
by
digger48
To: SeekAndFind
Ukrainian meddling . No, really.
7
posted on
12/09/2019 7:45:39 PM PST
by
rktman
( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
To: SeekAndFind
To: SeekAndFind
Will Britain stop holding elections for a while after this?
It seems no matter what happens, there is always a new election coming up six weeks later. It has to be maddening for the Leavers. No more Mulligans!!
To: canuck_conservative
The most important thing is the margin between Conservatives and Labour.
If it’s +10, he’ll get a majority. If it’s 6 or less it’s a worry.
Tomorrow afternoon the big final seat projection from the people that were on the money in 2017 will be released.
10
posted on
12/09/2019 9:04:40 PM PST
by
Impy
(I have no virtue to signal.)
To: lee martell
It depends on the margin of victory and how many MORE seats the conservatives take.
IF the margin of victory is small, welcome back GRIDLOCK.
11
posted on
12/10/2019 6:57:28 AM PST
by
SeekAndFind
(look at Michigan, it will)
To: lee martell
If Bojo wins a majority, it’s going to be 5 years of weeping and despair for lefties and remainers. If he doesn’t, more deadlock and another election within a couple of years to try and get a majority.
To: SeekAndFind
13
posted on
12/12/2019 9:47:26 AM PST
by
dead
(Trump puts crazy glue on their grenades and they never know it until after they pull the pin.)
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