Posted on 10/02/2019 1:07:17 PM PDT by Red Badger
An updating calculation of support for and opposition to impeachment, accounting for each poll's quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean, since Aug. 1, 2018
Updated Oct. 2, 2019, at 12:00 PM
Now that House Democrats are holding an official inquiry into allegations that President Trump pressured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden, FiveThirtyEight is following how public opinion responds with this preliminary impeachment polling tracker.
In addition to tracking the polling averages for and against impeachment among all Americans, which you can see in the chart above, we are also keeping tabs on how opinion breaks down along party lines. As you can see below, Democrats are strongly in favor of impeachment, Republicans are strongly opposed and independents hover somewhere in between.
To be clear, this is something we plan to build on in the coming weeks because there’s a lot we still don’t know. For example, will pollsters start phrasing questions about support for impeachment differently? And will that affect our averages? We’re not sure yet, but we’ll adjust as we go. For now we’re calculating these averages similarly to how we handle presidential approval ratings, which means we’re accounting for the quality of the pollster and each pollster’s house effects (whether they seem to yield unusually good or bad numbers for impeachment compared with the polling consensus). However, measuring public opinion on impeachment comes with some added curveballs. For one thing, pollsters often phrase questions about impeachment differently, which can affect responses. For another, the impeachment process itself is complicated — opening an impeachment inquiry was the beginning of a process that could eventually lead to Trump’s removal from office, but only after a bunch of intermediary steps — and many Americans don’t fully understand it. We haven’t taken these challenges lightly; indeed, we carefully weighed how to handle them methodologically, and in the name of transparency, we’re sharing our decisions with you.
First, we had to make a call on which polls to include. We are collecting all the polls we can find that ask respondents some version of whether they support impeaching Trump — yes or no.1 This means we’re excluding questions that provide multiple options like, “Do you think that, for his actions, President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, censured by Congress, or no action should be taken?” And we’re excluding questions that provide respondents with reasons that they might support impeachment like, “Do you think the Congress should or should not impeach and remove President Trump from office over allegations of obstruction of justice?”
But we are still including polls that use a number of different wordings: those that ask respondents whether Congress2 should begin an impeachment “inquiry” or “hearing”; those that ask more broadly about whether the “process” or “proceedings” of impeachment should begin; and those that ask whether Congress should “seriously consider” impeachment. In addition, we’re including questions that ask whether Congress should simply “impeach Trump” or whether the president should be “impeached and removed” from office.
Finally, we’re including all polls conducted since Aug. 1, 2018 — rather than at the beginning of Trump’s presidency — as that’s when polls on impeachment really started to proliferate. This could be because of the double dose of bad news Trump received on Aug. 21 (his former campaign manager Paul Manafort was convicted of financial fraud, and his former lawyer Michael Cohen said that during the 2016 campaign, at Trump’s direction, Cohen paid off two women to stay silent about their affairs with Trump), although the approach of the midterm elections might have had something to do with it as well. The number of impeachment polls spiked again this April, after former special counsel Robert Mueller’s report on Russian interference into the 2016 election was released, and they’ve come in a steady stream since then.
Our plan is to update these charts hourly with the latest polls for as long as the impeachment inquiry hangs in the air — so for the time being, bookmark this page to see public opinion evolve in real time.
See all the polls we’ve collected.
Fivethirtyeight had Hillary winning until the votes started coming in.
It is times like these where I really wish that Todd Beamer and his fellow passengers on Flight 93 would have just stayed in their seats.
Many want the Democrats to impeach because it will backfire on them.
The question should have been.. Do they want President Trump to be removed from office. It would have been a resounding No.
This Nate fellow is a fraud and scumbag. The figures he spins are fiction. It’s not what’s “wrong with America”, it’s what’s wrong with journalism and its number spinners.
I’ve posted before and I’ll post again, most of the media had their hands out for a bailout in 2009. They were suffering a historical onslaught of internet and social media news competition. Like Uber was to taxicabs, internet news was to corporate news studios. Obsolescence was setting in.
For example, the Washington Post was days away from bankruptcy when Bezos (who grew up under a CIA father) was awarded in his company’s name billions of dollars in CIA cloud services with instructions to buy the Washington Post for $125 million making the Washington Post a mouthpiece for CIA propaganda which it is today.
Other outside foreign interests entered the markets to buy American news outlets seeing an opportunity to control the message broadcast over America.
We see the result today, reporting bald faced lies, ignoring factual evidence of wrongdoing, taking sides against Republicans and conservatives, suppressing news and video about Antifa violence, and so on.
We have had a takeover of our legacy media and we have an ongoing coup as part of an asynchronous unconventional war.
“As you might have heard, President Trump called the President of Ukraine and asked him to dig up dirt on Democratic Party Front-runner Joe Biden’s family. Joe Biden has repeatedly been shown to beating Trump in numerous polls conducted on the 2020 elections. Some people say the vile Trump needs dirt to tar Joe Biden through his family, and Joe Biden’s son “Skippy” Hunter, shown here with a cute toddler's outfit of shorts and a sailor shirt holding a puppy (see picture) who lost his mother at a tender age."
Do you support impeachment hearings against this ogre Trump?
Their partisan polls are BS.
Rosie O’Donnell Kills Her ‘Trump Impeachment’ Poll on Twitter After It Backfires
www.lifezette.com | By Wayne Dupree October 2, 2019
Posted on 10/02/2019 1:14:20 PM PDT by Red Badger
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3783148/posts
538 is another one of these Soros financed sites run by Obamabots.
RE: Many want the Democrats to impeach because it will backfire on them
I’m not even sure if most Americans realize that impeachment does not equate to removal.
How many even know that it requires 67 Senators to vote to remove AFTER impeachment?
To many, impeachment means removal. They equate the two.
Probably quite a few people out there don’t even know Slick Willie was Impeached.
Don’t be concerned. 538 needs to make it look like more people hate Trump than don’t because they are part of the Trump lynch mob.
538 was among those predicting a clean sweep for Hillary in 2016 so they just tweak their own formulas until they get what they want.
Most Americans have no f-ing idea what is going on and react via emotion with attention span of a bug.
Bump
RE: Rosie O’Donnell Kills Her ‘Trump Impeachment’ Poll on Twitter After It Backfires
Are people allowed to vote more than once in a Twitter poll?
The RAW poll results INCLUDE people like me, who want the ARROGANTLY FOOLISH, hate-FILLED, ignorant & insanely prejudiced DIMocRATS to impeach the POTUS, so that they will destroy their party for a generation.
Here in San Antonio, a LARGE percentage of voters want the same result, as we are sick to death of the GARBAGE that is the DIM’s party..
Yours, TMN78247
That's the same 47% who pay no taxes and suck off the government tit. Democrat voters, all.
They've been mesmerized and whipped into a lynch mob type of frenzy by the lying MSM.
I don't know. I'd guess not. Are there any actual outside auditors of any polling organization?
Remember in 2016, almost all the polls had HC at 98%?
>> End of Story!!!
But, of course.
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