dint this NPC say last week the RATS had a 85% lock on taking the house?
Posted on 11/04/2018 8:06:57 AM PST by mandaladon
FiveThirtyEight's election forecaster Nate Silver said Sunday that the House could end up in Democrat or Republican hands in Tuesday's election, though polling predicts that Democrats will flip the chamber.
"So in the House we have Democrats with about a 4 in 5 chance of winning," Silver told ABC's "This Week."
However, he noted that "polls aren't always right."
"The range of outcomes in the House is really wide," he explained. "Our range which covers 80 percent of outcomes goes from, on the low end, about 15 Democratic pickups, all the way to low to mid 50s, 52 or 53."
"Most of those are under 23, which is how many seats they would need to win to take the House," he said."
"But no one should be surprised if they only win 19 seats and no one should be surprised if they win 51 seats," Silver added. "Those are both extremely possible, based on how accurate polls are in the real world."
However, most also predicted that President Trump would lose in the 2016 elections to Hillary Clinton. The morning of election day two years ago, FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 71 percent chance of becoming president.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Magic 8 ball says reply hazy, try again.
More and more backpedaling. Just like 2010, just like 2014.
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That Nate... he’s NEVER wrong.
ya , maybe and maybe not
Party out of power usually does well in mid-terms I guess. ITs literally the only thing Dems have going for them.
He is usually right when Democrats do well, since he always predicts democrats will do well.
lol
President Trump will be the real winner Tue if the GOP holds.
Due to the large number of Never Trumpers resigning, and his relentless campaigning for the GOP candidates, the next GOP Congress will be a much for friendly place for President Trump
So he shifts from 80% likely to take the house to 80% likely to win some seats. Nice!
dint this NPC say last week the RATS had a 85% lock on taking the house?
Nate is a Democratic mouthpiece. He is not a pollster he just packages the Mob’s storyline. He is a fraud. And not very good.
So does that mean 50-50 LOL!
If Nate is this equivocal about the House, then his models should show “50/50.”
Obviously, he’s an idiot.
“However, he noted that “polls aren’t always right.””
No $hit Nate! And where did you have Hillary two years ago? Huh? Wonder what he will say tomorrow? Your Magic 8 Ball is in for service?
He keeps downgrading the dems chances from 7 in 8 to 6 in 7 to 5 in 6 to now 4 in 5.
“Most of those are under 23”? Is he just saying that despite his calling the House for the Dems, his model shows the opposite to be more likely?
Nice big range little Natey has going.
THE MAN IS A JOKE
Big spread there, Nate boy. Got your butt covered, do you? Why don't you get a real job, so we don't have to listen to your BS.
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