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Only morons and DemocRats (but I repeat myself) take Silver seriously...
1 posted on 11/04/2018 8:06:57 AM PST by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon

Magic 8 ball says reply hazy, try again.


2 posted on 11/04/2018 8:08:14 AM PST by proust ("The rule is, jam tomorrow and jam yesterday, but never jam today.")
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To: mandaladon

More and more backpedaling. Just like 2010, just like 2014.


3 posted on 11/04/2018 8:11:24 AM PST by Shadow44
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To: mandaladon; bitt; hoosiermama; ransomnote; Albion Wilde; Howie66; rodguy911

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4 posted on 11/04/2018 8:11:52 AM PST by ExTexasRedhead
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To: mandaladon

That Nate... he’s NEVER wrong.


5 posted on 11/04/2018 8:14:32 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Democracy dies when Democrats refuse to accept the result of a democratic election they didn't win.)
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To: mandaladon

ya , maybe and maybe not


6 posted on 11/04/2018 8:14:35 AM PST by butlerweave
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To: All

Party out of power usually does well in mid-terms I guess. ITs literally the only thing Dems have going for them.


7 posted on 11/04/2018 8:15:28 AM PST by escapefromboston (manny ortez: mvp)
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To: mandaladon
Our range which covers 80 percent of outcomes goes from...

So he shifts from 80% likely to take the house to 80% likely to win some seats. Nice!

10 posted on 11/04/2018 8:17:04 AM PST by palmer (...if we do not have strong families and strong values, then we will be weak and we will not survive)
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To: mandaladon
dint this NPC say last week the RATS had a 85% lock on taking the house?
11 posted on 11/04/2018 8:18:56 AM PST by Chode ( WeÂ’re America, Bitch!)
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To: mandaladon

So does that mean 50-50 LOL!


13 posted on 11/04/2018 8:26:23 AM PST by Democrats hate too much
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To: mandaladon

If Nate is this equivocal about the House, then his models should show “50/50.”

Obviously, he’s an idiot.


14 posted on 11/04/2018 8:28:32 AM PST by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: mandaladon

“However, he noted that “polls aren’t always right.””

No $hit Nate! And where did you have Hillary two years ago? Huh? Wonder what he will say tomorrow? Your Magic 8 Ball is in for service?


15 posted on 11/04/2018 8:43:58 AM PST by vette6387
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To: mandaladon

He keeps downgrading the dems chances from 7 in 8 to 6 in 7 to 5 in 6 to now 4 in 5.


16 posted on 11/04/2018 8:46:05 AM PST by GLDNGUN
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To: mandaladon

“Most of those are under 23”? Is he just saying that despite his calling the House for the Dems, his model shows the opposite to be more likely?


17 posted on 11/04/2018 8:46:42 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: mandaladon
Solid prediction ......... or not

19 posted on 11/04/2018 8:52:50 AM PST by budj (combat vet, 2nd of 3 generations)
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To: mandaladon
"But no one should be surprised if they only win 19 seats and no one should be surprised if they win 51 seats," Silver added.

Big spread there, Nate boy. Got your butt covered, do you? Why don't you get a real job, so we don't have to listen to your BS.

20 posted on 11/04/2018 8:57:51 AM PST by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: mandaladon

The backpeddling is at full force. On Fox Frank Luntz who is usually out in la la land, just admitted that every poll is wrong and is not true. WOW. Sonething is red is happening. Keep voting. The one fact they can not change is that if we all vote like we did in 2018 trump wins again.


23 posted on 11/04/2018 9:16:53 AM PST by Fla.Deporable
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To: mandaladon

When you flip a coin, it may land on heads and it may land on tails. And you should not be surprised with either scenario.

#Analysis


24 posted on 11/04/2018 9:17:29 AM PST by Florida1181
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To: mandaladon

Either the Dems will take the House or they won’t. That does just about cover it. Thank God for modern data analytics!


26 posted on 11/04/2018 9:19:33 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: mandaladon

Nate Silver is a douche and should be reminded of this every day after Nov. 6th.


28 posted on 11/04/2018 9:24:28 AM PST by IllumiNaughtyByNature (Elections have consequences. get over it, we won! ~ Barack Obama)
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To: mandaladon

“both are EXTREMELY possible” ... “85% chance”

Cognitive dissonance much of late ... Nate?


29 posted on 11/04/2018 9:28:25 AM PST by Simon Foxx
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