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Nate keeps UPPING the chance of a Dem house. With a plausible scenario of Dems +40 to +50 House seats.

Also, he has McCaskill favored in Missouri, Donnelly a 2-1 favorite, Kyrsten Sinema a strong favorite, Menendez a bigger favorite than Kevin Cramer in North Dakota who has been up double digits.

1 posted on 10/29/2018 3:14:03 PM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative
Bet me real money pussy boy Nate My loser lib buddies still owe me cases of wine from 16 Then they bet trump would be impeached by now I’ll take more wine 🍷 especially the good shiite !
34 posted on 10/29/2018 4:03:24 PM PDT by Truthoverpower (The guvmint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

He’s a pundit pretending to use math to justify his emotion...

He learned nothing from 16, likely will learn nothing from 18 either


35 posted on 10/29/2018 4:03:28 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: All

I see Nate’s still in Disneyworld...........taking polls in Fantasyland.


37 posted on 10/29/2018 4:10:24 PM PDT by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: LS

This is fun.

Festive, even.


38 posted on 10/29/2018 4:11:27 PM PDT by Lazamataz (The News Misleadia will be held accountable for their lies.....on the eleventy-first of Nevervember.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

And dont forget Hillary has a 95% chance of winning too lil Natie.


41 posted on 10/29/2018 4:25:36 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberal is lies.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

I think he’s raising the percentage, then betting against himself.


44 posted on 10/29/2018 4:29:07 PM PDT by Garvin (The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

It was also said the same about this year’s Red Soxs until late last night.


47 posted on 10/29/2018 4:57:49 PM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

So this means the pubbies are pretty much a lock to win the House and Senate.


48 posted on 10/29/2018 5:00:03 PM PDT by JPJones (More tariffs, less income tax.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

This is the last gasp. They will be cheating with the voting more than ever. There is a chance they have enough people in place to pull it off. We must vote!!!


50 posted on 10/29/2018 5:31:10 PM PDT by bigtoona (Make America Great Again! America First!)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Nate’s in for another Red Awakening!


53 posted on 10/29/2018 6:14:41 PM PDT by JoeRed
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To: St. Louis Conservative

The Republicans lose the House, we are disappointed but we soldier on.

The Democrats don’t win the House, they are beyond redemption and bordering on suicide.


55 posted on 10/29/2018 7:25:09 PM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

The ONLY way LIEberal Demonrats win on November 6 is if Real Americans don’t vote!

JOBS NOT MOBS!

VOTE REPUBLICAN!


56 posted on 10/29/2018 7:38:21 PM PDT by Taxman (We will never be a truly free people so long as we have the income tax and the IRS.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative; LS; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; StoneWall Brigade; randita; ...

I put them at only 45% to steal the House. My most pessimistic forecast doesn’t see them talking more than a narrow majority, I can’t see them reaching 230 under any circumstances.

If he really thinks McCrapskul is the favorite (she’s trailed, narrowly but consistently from the jump) and Donnelly is 2-1 than he’s forking nuts.


57 posted on 10/30/2018 7:21:33 AM PDT by Impy (I have no virtue to signal)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Nate Silver is trash without access to internal polling from Obama.


59 posted on 10/30/2018 7:24:14 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Remember, it’s all about which base is excited to vote. Also, remember that Donald J. Trump has been great for ALL Americans. This includes hispanics, black, white, yellow, and all hues in between!


61 posted on 10/30/2018 10:28:58 AM PDT by winner3000
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Why aren’t they 50 seats ahead? Hillary wants to know.


63 posted on 10/30/2018 6:58:51 PM PDT by Grimmy (equivocation is but the first step along the road to capitulation)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Since the democrats vote on the seventh of November, it is possible, Nate.

5.56mm


81 posted on 10/31/2018 11:13:07 AM PDT by M Kehoe (DRAIN THE SWAMP!)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Didn’t he all but guarantee that Hillary would win?


86 posted on 11/01/2018 6:34:44 PM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

It should be noted that this is a lower chance than he was giving Hillary this time two years ago.


88 posted on 11/03/2018 12:59:21 PM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Uh, ok.


89 posted on 11/03/2018 1:00:19 PM PDT by InvisibleChurch (https://thepurginglutheran.wordpress.com)
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