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Nate keeps UPPING the chance of a Dem house. With a plausible scenario of Dems +40 to +50 House seats.

Also, he has McCaskill favored in Missouri, Donnelly a 2-1 favorite, Kyrsten Sinema a strong favorite, Menendez a bigger favorite than Kevin Cramer in North Dakota who has been up double digits.

1 posted on 10/29/2018 3:14:03 PM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative
p38
2 posted on 10/29/2018 3:17:57 PM PDT by Snickering Hound
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To: St. Louis Conservative

3 posted on 10/29/2018 3:18:01 PM PDT by Boogieman
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Yo Nate...2016 ya had Hilda at 71.4%


4 posted on 10/29/2018 3:18:14 PM PDT by Doogle (( USAF.68-73....8th TFW Ubon Thailand....never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Why not one hundred percent, Nat?


5 posted on 10/29/2018 3:18:57 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democracy dies when Democrats refuse to accept the result of a democratic election they didn't win.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

[he has.....Kyrsten Sinema a strong favorite]

Oh my......

Guess he keeps trying to make things go his way. Or the way of his masters.


6 posted on 10/29/2018 3:20:05 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Dream on Nate!!


7 posted on 10/29/2018 3:21:50 PM PDT by ohiobushman (Donald J. Trump for POTUS 2020)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

does not equal 100% he has stated. Too many see a number and read 100%


8 posted on 10/29/2018 3:22:07 PM PDT by SMGFan ( .)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Is Nate Silver doing polling for The Onion now? Just sayin.


10 posted on 10/29/2018 3:23:49 PM PDT by fatman6502002 ((The Team The Team The Team - Bo Schembechler circa 1969))
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To: St. Louis Conservative
It seems to me that John Hanoi Kerry was favored to win and the media made up some numbers that they said he was ahead which caused about 35,000 GOP voters to stay home. The demonicRATS are desperate.
11 posted on 10/29/2018 3:24:25 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

and if they do they’ll tear it down


13 posted on 10/29/2018 3:25:05 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Remember Election night 2016.

Remember how “Trump will NEVER be President...”

Oh, wait...


14 posted on 10/29/2018 3:30:42 PM PDT by TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed (Yahuah Yahusha)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Is Nate Silver taking bets?


16 posted on 10/29/2018 3:32:15 PM PDT by MeganC (There is nothing feminine about feminism.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Yet....almost every contested US Senate seat is moving toward the GOP?


18 posted on 10/29/2018 3:35:33 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Nate’s methodology requires accurate polls.


19 posted on 10/29/2018 3:35:36 PM PDT by Mr. Blond
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To: St. Louis Conservative

I honestly do not understand how this will happen when turnout already has been reported higher on the R side.


21 posted on 10/29/2018 3:41:20 PM PDT by cld51860 (Volo pro veritas)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

He’s deliberately trying to create the same cognitive dissonance reaction that resulted in the #Resitance anti-Trumper tantrum following the 2016 election results.


22 posted on 10/29/2018 3:45:15 PM PDT by sourcery (Non Aquiesco: "I do not consent" (Latin))
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To: St. Louis Conservative

I don’t think so.


23 posted on 10/29/2018 3:46:00 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: St. Louis Conservative
Interestingly enough, the nonprofit political futures markets at PredictIt display quite different ideas about the chances of a Democratic takeover of the U.S. House of Representatives. The bettors as a whole seem to think the odds are more like 64/36 although it's hard to say to what extent partisan bias plays a role in shaping this outlook.

https://predictit.org/markets/detail/2890/How-many-House-seats-will-the-GOP-hold-after-2018-midterms/

28 posted on 10/29/2018 3:49:38 PM PDT by Sarcasm Factory
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To: St. Louis Conservative

bet against him at predictit and make some $$$ if you think he’s wrong.


29 posted on 10/29/2018 3:50:22 PM PDT by Poison Pill
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Glutton for pain Nate?


30 posted on 10/29/2018 3:52:20 PM PDT by FranklinsTower
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