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Poll: Amid Kavanaugh Confirmation Battle, Democratic Enthusiasm Edge Evaporates
NPR ^ | 10/3/18 | Domenico Montanaro

Posted on 10/03/2018 12:37:14 PM PDT by LittleSpotBlog

Just over a month away from critical elections across the country, the wide Democratic enthusiasm advantage that has defined the 2018 campaign up to this point has disappeared, according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll.

In July, there was a 10-point gap between the number of Democrats and Republicans saying the November elections were "very important." Now, that's down to 2 points, a statistical tie.

(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; bluewave; democrat; democratic; democrats; elections; enthusiasm; kavanaugh; voterenthusiasm
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To: LittleSpotBlog

Everybody call, email or message your friends to vote!


21 posted on 10/03/2018 1:01:34 PM PDT by \/\/ayne (I regret that I have but one subscription cancellation notice to give to my local newspaper.)
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To: Kozak

I’m with you!


22 posted on 10/03/2018 1:02:37 PM PDT by ManHunter (You can run, but you'll only die tired... Army snipers: Reach out and touch someone)
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To: LittleSpotBlog
You ain't seen nothing yet. If you're depressed about Kavanaugh, wait until you start the war you don't think you're going to start.
23 posted on 10/03/2018 1:02:48 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (kjhgf=-067as';[]\)
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To: LittleSpotBlog

I’ll put this segment I saved in my notes up once again. I wish I had saved the actual article, but the numbers and facts are what’s important :

“That gap has hovered in the 6 to 10-point range in recent weeks.
But Democratic voters tend to live in more concentrated areas and the party would typically needs a more significant advantage in the generic ballot number than do Republicans, whose voters are spread through more exurban and rural districts.

>Democrats need a higher share of the midterm vote to win a majority of seats, in other words, than do Republicans.

In 2014, when Democrats led the generic ballot in both CNN and NBC/WSJ surveys by only slim margins, Republicans ended up winning 13 Democratic-held seats.

>The last time Democrats gained significantly, in 2006, the party held a 15-point advantage in both surveys.

By contrast, Republicans enjoyed a generic ballot advantage of between two and six points in late October 2010, according to CNN and NBC/Wall Street Journal polls, but that narrow edge still resulted in the 63-seat gain..


24 posted on 10/03/2018 1:08:47 PM PDT by ALX
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To: LittleSpotBlog

On election night, when it becomes clear that the GOP has retained the House and gained in the Senate, the Dims are going to start the blame game and No. 1 target is going to be Feinstein. The Dims will realize that the Kavanaugh witch hunt was what turned it around for the Republicans.


25 posted on 10/03/2018 1:08:50 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Buckeye McFrog
:-D
26 posted on 10/03/2018 1:09:49 PM PDT by lonevoice (diagonally parked in a parallel universe)
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To: ALX

On average, Democrat presidents lose 35.2 seats in the House first midterm after an election.

>Republican presidents only lose 11.2 seats in the House in their first midterm on average.

Again, this is every president since WWII”

https://etholytics.com/house-seat-loss-by-presidents-party-has-been-inflated-by-democrat-presidents/


27 posted on 10/03/2018 1:10:18 PM PDT by ALX
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To: LRoggy

As a Texan and American of Latino ancestry, I’m offended at having my ethnic group singled out-I don’t see those of German, Italian, British, French or any other Caucasian ethnic group being polled separately-now I’m triggered-I want ice cream and a safe space, damnit!...


28 posted on 10/03/2018 1:11:59 PM PDT by Texan5 ("You've got to saddle up your boys, you've got to draw a hard line"...)
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To: lonevoice

Excellent news! And yes, we need to turn out in large numbers at the voting booths.


29 posted on 10/03/2018 1:12:42 PM PDT by Pride in the USA
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To: Signalman

Feinstein is toast anyhow. From what I’m hearing that good looking Socialist Latino fellow is going to wipe the floor with her.


30 posted on 10/03/2018 1:13:30 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: LittleSpotBlog

31 posted on 10/03/2018 1:15:23 PM PDT by bigbob (Trust Sessions. Trust the Plan.)
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To: LittleSpotBlog

The closer we get to the midterms, the more honest a lot of these pollsters will become, or at least more accurate.

They don’t want to be wearing egg all over their faces again, so they’ll tighten them up without giving the indication that Republicans are ahead in many of them.


32 posted on 10/03/2018 1:33:07 PM PDT by Southnsoul
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To: LittleSpotBlog

He noted that the Republican move to push Kavanaugh’s confirmation forward, despite his unpopularity and that more people believe accuser Christine Blasey Ford than Kavanaugh

Hard to.believe anything after this drivel


33 posted on 10/03/2018 1:34:54 PM PDT by italianquaker
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To: Signalman

They will start the blame game only after several democrat cesspool cities are smoldering.


34 posted on 10/03/2018 1:50:09 PM PDT by Arkansas Tider (Army EOD (Ret))
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To: Signalman

ChiSpyDiFi is toast anyway.
The Mexicans are going to elect a Mexican to represent them.


35 posted on 10/03/2018 1:53:30 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here of Citizen Parents__Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Im voting for whoever is running against Feinstein.


36 posted on 10/03/2018 2:15:27 PM PDT by webheart (Grammar police on the scene.)
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To: LittleSpotBlog

#WalkAway


37 posted on 10/03/2018 2:22:22 PM PDT by MIchaelTArchangel
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To: LittleSpotBlog; LS; fieldmarshaldj; BillyBoy; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief; GOPsterinMA; NFHale; ...

38 posted on 10/03/2018 2:32:41 PM PDT by Impy (I have no virtue to signal)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

Great news.


39 posted on 10/03/2018 2:33:10 PM PDT by Impy (I have no virtue to signal)
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To: rfp1234; Impy

Or GOTV activity


40 posted on 10/03/2018 2:46:26 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Committee to Re-Elect the President ( CREEP ))
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