Posted on 10/03/2018 12:37:14 PM PDT by LittleSpotBlog
Just over a month away from critical elections across the country, the wide Democratic enthusiasm advantage that has defined the 2018 campaign up to this point has disappeared, according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll.
In July, there was a 10-point gap between the number of Democrats and Republicans saying the November elections were "very important." Now, that's down to 2 points, a statistical tie.
(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...
Everybody call, email or message your friends to vote!
I’m with you!
Ill put this segment I saved in my notes up once again. I wish I had saved the actual article, but the numbers and facts are whats important :
That gap has hovered in the 6 to 10-point range in recent weeks.
But Democratic voters tend to live in more concentrated areas and the party would typically needs a more significant advantage in the generic ballot number than do Republicans, whose voters are spread through more exurban and rural districts.
>Democrats need a higher share of the midterm vote to win a majority of seats, in other words, than do Republicans.
In 2014, when Democrats led the generic ballot in both CNN and NBC/WSJ surveys by only slim margins, Republicans ended up winning 13 Democratic-held seats.
>The last time Democrats gained significantly, in 2006, the party held a 15-point advantage in both surveys.
By contrast, Republicans enjoyed a generic ballot advantage of between two and six points in late October 2010, according to CNN and NBC/Wall Street Journal polls, but that narrow edge still resulted in the 63-seat gain..
On election night, when it becomes clear that the GOP has retained the House and gained in the Senate, the Dims are going to start the blame game and No. 1 target is going to be Feinstein. The Dims will realize that the Kavanaugh witch hunt was what turned it around for the Republicans.
On average, Democrat presidents lose 35.2 seats in the House first midterm after an election.
>Republican presidents only lose 11.2 seats in the House in their first midterm on average.
Again, this is every president since WWII
https://etholytics.com/house-seat-loss-by-presidents-party-has-been-inflated-by-democrat-presidents/
As a Texan and American of Latino ancestry, I’m offended at having my ethnic group singled out-I don’t see those of German, Italian, British, French or any other Caucasian ethnic group being polled separately-now I’m triggered-I want ice cream and a safe space, damnit!...
Excellent news! And yes, we need to turn out in large numbers at the voting booths.
Feinstein is toast anyhow. From what I’m hearing that good looking Socialist Latino fellow is going to wipe the floor with her.
The closer we get to the midterms, the more honest a lot of these pollsters will become, or at least more accurate.
They don’t want to be wearing egg all over their faces again, so they’ll tighten them up without giving the indication that Republicans are ahead in many of them.
He noted that the Republican move to push Kavanaugh’s confirmation forward, despite his unpopularity and that more people believe accuser Christine Blasey Ford than Kavanaugh
Hard to.believe anything after this drivel
They will start the blame game only after several democrat cesspool cities are smoldering.
ChiSpyDiFi is toast anyway.
The Mexicans are going to elect a Mexican to represent them.
Im voting for whoever is running against Feinstein.
#WalkAway
Great news.
Or GOTV activity
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.