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NHC/NOAA: Potential Rainfall Map for Florence
NHC NOAA ^ | 11-Sept-2018

Posted on 09/11/2018 6:00:10 AM PDT by topher



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: flooding
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To: chris37

I was surprised at the strength of Irma as it passed through Atlanta. I thought the governor had overreacted when he shut the whole state of GA down. But he was right.


21 posted on 09/11/2018 6:49:30 AM PDT by Atlantan
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To: topher

The greatest danger: all those old coal mining spoil tips in West Virginia could be in danger of collapse from the potentially very heavy rains. That could cause major flooding danger and pollution issues downstream.


22 posted on 09/11/2018 6:56:53 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: Cooter

We have rooms for 6 nights in 4 different VA cities.

I gotta take a little while to accept this reality, then get in action, see about alternative plans and find out what the airline will deal on.

I was so excited to make this trip.


23 posted on 09/11/2018 7:00:00 AM PDT by NEMDF
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To: Pollard
Portions of Alexandria, Virginia's already flooded from all the rains we've gotten. The last thing we need is more rain from Florence.

This is Old Town:


24 posted on 09/11/2018 7:00:36 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Marxism: Trendy theory, wrong species)
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To: topher
These observations suggest that an eyewall replacement cycle is likely underway. Subjective and objective Dvorak current intensity numbers have not changed

Anyone speak weatherese?

25 posted on 09/11/2018 7:10:18 AM PDT by Right Wing Assault (Kill-googl,TWITR,FACBK,NYT,WaPo,Hlywd,CNN,NFL,BLM,CAIR,Antifa,SPLC,ESPN,NPR,NBA)
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To: NEMDF

The last time a storm hit Richmond was Irene in 2011. Lot of people lost power due to felled trees destroying overhead utilities. Some people did not have power restored until a week after the storm.


26 posted on 09/11/2018 7:13:37 AM PDT by C19fan
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To: COBOL2Java

Sometime this morning, the Air Force will be flying it’s hurricane plane into it to take readings and then the NWS will have a better forecast and put out more info.


27 posted on 09/11/2018 7:16:27 AM PDT by Pollard (If you don't understand what I typed, you haven't read the classics.)
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To: COBOL2Java

The ground around here is saturated also. Not flooded but saturated.
Just heard on the radio that the electric companies are preparing for power outages up to 14 days.

The grocery stores are full of people stocking up on non-perishable items.


28 posted on 09/11/2018 7:16:34 AM PDT by oldvirginian (American by birth, Southern by the Grace of God and Virginian because Jesus loves me)
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To: NEMDF

Just heard the power companies are preparing for massive power outages. Two weeks or more in places.
Best to cancel and salvage what you can.


29 posted on 09/11/2018 7:18:26 AM PDT by oldvirginian (American by birth, Southern by the Grace of God and Virginian because Jesus loves me)
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To: topher

New Bern is a historic town, there’s a lot of old homes and buildings from the 1700s.


30 posted on 09/11/2018 7:21:59 AM PDT by Millicent_Hornswaggle (Retired US Marine wife)
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To: NEMDF

It depends on what part of Richmond. The James is going to flood badly, and tributary creeks will back up. It’s likely that power will be down in many places. Some roads and bridges are likely to be washout out/closed. Gas may be difficult to obtain. I would reschedule my trip, or at least wait till the storm passes to assess the situation.


31 posted on 09/11/2018 7:28:08 AM PDT by Romulus
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To: topher
Unnecessary business trip - postpone.

Are these "government" trips?

32 posted on 09/11/2018 7:30:12 AM PDT by Lou L (Health "insurance" is NOT the same as health "care")
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To: originalbuckeye
There is a large Marine Base near there.

Two, actually.

  1. Camp Lejeune
  2. MCAS Cherry Point

33 posted on 09/11/2018 7:31:45 AM PDT by rjsimmon (The Tree of Liberty Thirsts)
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To: NEMDF

VA will be borderline, depending on where you plan to be — but if the storm stalls as currently expected, all of the South and East of the Commonwealth will be dealing with heavy and possibly unrelenting rain. Even if you manage to avoid mudslides, washed out roads/bridges, and floodwaters, the fact remains that it won’t be pleasant to be out and about.

If I were in Roanoke or west, I might chance it, but Piedmont and the Tidewater will be a mess. Trees will be down and power out in many places, and if you have plans to visit specific attractions, there’s a strong chance they will be closed anyway.

I am sorry for your bad luck.


34 posted on 09/11/2018 7:38:46 AM PDT by Romulus
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To: Right Wing Assault

Translation: the storm continues to be very powerful and may be strengthning. Eyewall replacement cycles are normal in major hurricanes. The can mean temporary weakening, but so long as the water is warm and wind shear is light, storms normally recover full strength after an EWRC. Florence is just in a very favorable environment right now. The only good news is that the lower NC coast is relatively — relatively — less populated. I realize this is no comfort at all to the many thousands of tarheels who do live there. As a life-long resident of New Orleans, I know just how you feel.


35 posted on 09/11/2018 7:45:24 AM PDT by Romulus
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To: Lou L

I was replying to someone who asked - you need to reply to him, not me...


36 posted on 09/11/2018 7:45:45 AM PDT by topher (America, please Do The Right Thing!)
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To: Hatteras
In the 1990's, I worked for IBM in Austin.

I was sent on a trip to a phone company such that IBM was paying $50,000 per day in DAMAGES to this company, since IBM was fouling up the ability of the phone company to dispatch repair service.

I had a flight cancelled (because of a tornado warning), and I got 'chewed out' for not catching a flight in Dallas. The tornado warning did not bother me, but the airline held us in area waiting for the flight that was later cancelled.

I made one minor mistake: I did not list the SHORT HOP flight from Austin (TX) to Dallas (TX) as part of my flight to the phone company. That would have mattered...

Maybe there are MORONS running IBM...

37 posted on 09/11/2018 7:51:22 AM PDT by topher (America, please Do The Right Thing!)
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To: NEMDF
If someone had a trip planned to, say, Virginia... to arrive in Richmond Saturday afternoon and be in the state until Friday, 9/21.... What is the best advice? Wait to decide? Cancel now? Go and risk it?

I would say "wait to decide". By Friday morning you will know what the impact to Richmond will be. Call up and ask people at your destination what things are like then.

38 posted on 09/11/2018 7:58:19 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("It rubs the rainbow on it's skin or it gets the diversity again!")
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To: NEMDF

FYI

https://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/flights/todayinthesky/2018/09/10/hurricane-florence-full-list-fee-waivers-u-s-airlines/1257724002/


39 posted on 09/11/2018 8:12:41 AM PDT by EVO X
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To: topher

upper east Tennessee.

2’’ or 10”? We’ll see.


40 posted on 09/11/2018 8:14:16 AM PDT by bert ((KE. N.P. N.C. +12) Muller..... conspiracy to over throw the government)
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