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2018: Democrats lead GOP by 12 million registered voters, 40% D, 29% R, 28% I
Washington Examiner ^ | July 13, 2018 | Paul Bedard

Posted on 07/13/2018 2:22:05 PM PDT by yesthatjallen

Democrats hold a massive voter lead in states that require party registration, a gap of 12 million that could be key to whether the party takes control of the House and Senate in the fall midterm congressional elections, according to a new analysis.

Overall, 40 percent of voters in 31 party registration states are Democrats, 29 percent are Republicans, and 28 percent are independents, according to a new report of July numbers from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. The states include several with key battles over House seats such as California, New York, Florida, and Pennsylvania.

The lead is significant, said Rhodes Cook’s analysis in Center Director Larry Sabato’s “Crystal Ball” newsletter, because in the past presidential election the majority party in 24 of the 31 states won, especially among Republican states.

In 2016, Trump won 11 of 12 majority Republican states, and took six of 19 Democratic states, said the analysis.

Of note, some of the states with registered Democrat advantages, like Louisiana, Kentucky, and West Virginia, have been functionally Republican at the presidential level for at least 15 years, said Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of the Crystal Ball.

That could be good news for the Republicans in the upcoming election, a sign that just being majority Democrat does not mean voters are in lock step, said the report which highlighted the growth of independent voters.

But it also noted that as the nation becomes more partisan, declaring party membership is an affirmative political stand.

“With the growth in independents, many voters seem to be saying to the two major parties: ‘a pox on both your houses,’” wrote Cook.

ETC...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California; US: Florida; US: Kentucky; US: Louisiana; US: New York; US: Pennsylvania; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020election; california; chart; democrats; election2018; election2020; florida; graphic; kentucky; louisiana; newyork; pennsylvania; republicans; westvirginia
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To: yesthatjallen

Will our voters be complacent and not get out and vote this year? That is the question as it always is. That is why the party in power usually loses seats in the mid-terms. They lose seats because they figure, “we won, let’s rest.”

Having said that, given the democrats absolute nuttiness, their lack of anything that resembles an agenda, and honesty about their totalitarian plans for this country, I can see the GOP voters getting to the polls.


21 posted on 07/13/2018 2:31:55 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: yesthatjallen

Are you aware there are a lot of states missing, and most are republican states before you posted this crap?


22 posted on 07/13/2018 2:32:02 PM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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To: yesthatjallen

9+ million are in areas that are already lost causes.

CA, NY, DC, MD, MA, OR.....

If you added up the other lost causes that’s 10 million or so right there.


23 posted on 07/13/2018 2:32:13 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: yesthatjallen

If the “WalkAway” movement is for real, the 12 million gap may be BS.


24 posted on 07/13/2018 2:32:33 PM PDT by twoputt
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To: yesthatjallen

So in 18 states you don’t have to register.

Including Texas.

But you do in CA, MA, NJ, NY, and usually blue PA.

It distorts the truth.


25 posted on 07/13/2018 2:33:06 PM PDT by skinndogNN
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To: joshua c

Indeed. Posting this with mostly republican states not on there is meaningless, and even if they were on there how many are dead people, illegal etc?


26 posted on 07/13/2018 2:33:34 PM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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To: yesthatjallen

That’s what should be investigated. Democrats register the dead and brain dead and then manufacture enough votes to fit those numbers. That’s easy to do with out-of- control absentee voting and early voting making fraudulent voting easy.


27 posted on 07/13/2018 2:33:51 PM PDT by txrefugee
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To: yesthatjallen

And we all know just how accurate polls are /s


28 posted on 07/13/2018 2:34:19 PM PDT by CIB-173RDABN (I am not an expert in anything, and my opinion is just that, an opinion. I may be wrong.)
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To: yesthatjallen

Big whoop. 7 million of them roughly are in 2 states... and the other 5 million are mostly in solid blue states as well... that doesn’t bode well for them at all. They are geographically boxed in.

Deep support in a skinny silo doesn’t equate to winning in Us Politics


29 posted on 07/13/2018 2:35:17 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: manc

Good question. There are only 32 states listed there.

As Obama would say, that leaves out 25 more states.


30 posted on 07/13/2018 2:35:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Take a look out there folks. Can you see evidence of a Left Wing Hate Group, perhaps fascist too?)
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To: txrefugee

Another republican state not not on there is TX too. What a load of @@@@ this thread article is.


31 posted on 07/13/2018 2:35:31 PM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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To: yesthatjallen

I am registered as an independent and I will never vote for any demo_rat. Conclude from that what you will.

JoMa


32 posted on 07/13/2018 2:37:35 PM PDT by joma89
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To: DoughtyOne

TX, AL, MS, SC among others who are mostly republican are not on there. I take it they just have left republican states off this list by accident.

massive sarc


33 posted on 07/13/2018 2:37:49 PM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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To: beergarden
You do realize we previously had an idiot pretending to be president who STATED we had 57 states.

Ummmm, I do remember that, hence my mentioning the number.

34 posted on 07/13/2018 2:38:19 PM PDT by katana
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We still have done NOTHING significant to stop voter fraud. The idiocy from TOP down is amazing.


35 posted on 07/13/2018 2:38:29 PM PDT by Captainpaintball
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To: yesthatjallen

If the Communists Democrats win the House or Senate of both a civil war will happen and there will be no Democratic Party.


36 posted on 07/13/2018 2:38:52 PM PDT by Logical me
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To: yesthatjallen

And how would this differ from 2016...when the GOP won a comfortable majority in the House?


37 posted on 07/13/2018 2:40:16 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (You Say "White Privilege"...I Say "Protestant Work Ethic")
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To: Red Badger
"In The South it is common for people to register opposite of their actual political beliefs so that they can vote in the opposite primary for a losing candidate............."

WHERE did you come up with that idea?? I'm from about as "deep South" as it is possible to get, and I have NEVER heard even a single voter talk about doing this kind of thing.

38 posted on 07/13/2018 2:41:04 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog (The Hog of Steel and NRA Life Member)
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To: yesthatjallen

It’s a bit deceiving, as most of the large deep Blue States have party registration (particularly CA, NY, MA, NJ, MD - which accounts for 9.5M of the 12M difference), while most of the Red States do not (particularly Texas). Other red states, particularly in the South, have lots of people who used to vote Democrat, but now vote Republican...but never bothered to change their registration.

So I wouldn’t put much stock in these numbers - more like just another attempt to demoralize Republicans.


39 posted on 07/13/2018 2:41:12 PM PDT by BobL (I drive a pick up truck because it makes me feel like a man)
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To: Captainpaintball

Maybe Sessions will wake up, and actually do something about voter fraud, and investigating Mueller , Clinton, Comey.

Yea right.


40 posted on 07/13/2018 2:42:24 PM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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