Posted on 08/15/2017 1:08:53 PM PDT by Olog-hai
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) have their nose ahead of the other minor parties in Germany, putting them on course to become the third largest party in the Bundestag after September’s election, a new poll has found.
The poll published by INSA and Bild on Tuesday found that the far-right AfD are on course to win 10 percent of the vote at the September 24th vote. That would put them in third place behind the Social Democrats (SPD) on 25 percent and Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU) on 37 percent.
The far-right party, who were set up in 2013 and have recently built popularity on their staunch criticism of Merkel’s refugee policies, are only just ahead of the competition, though. The pro-business Free Democrats (FDP) are set to win 9 percent of the vote, as are Die Linke (The Left Party), INSA predicts. The Green party, meanwhile, lags behind on 7 percent.
If the AfD were to become the third largest party in the Bundestag, it would act as a lightning bolt striking German politics, where conservative votes have been hoovered up by the CDU and their Bavarian sister party the CSU throughout the postwar period. …
(Excerpt) Read more at thelocal.de ...
This is an example of why the Left needs constant, pre-arranged Charlottesville-style political optics and media-propoganda campaigns - to steal the narrative and corrupt language.
Note that the AfD, who really have no firm political or economic agenda except the slowing of massive Soros-arranged immigration, are now branded as “far right.” No doubt “neo-nazis” coming next, although in Germany, using that word is a neutron bomb
Figuring 4 percent of the vote will go to parties that do not make the 5 percent threshold for representation in the Bundestag, Merkel’s bifurcated party + the Free Democrats, at 48 percent, may have a majority of the seats. Considering that the Alternative Party is at 10 percent, this brings the right-of-center parties combined to 58 percent. This is a Ronald Reagan-like landslide.
On the other hand, things look touch-and-go in Norway and New Zealand, whose elections are also coming up.
Most likely outcome?
A continuation of the Grand Coalition. Neither the CDU/CSU or the SPD will partner with the AfD and their preferred choice of potential coalition partners is likely to fall short of the 5% threshold for entering the Bundestag.
We’ll see if that’s case in the German federal election to be held in September.
A good putsch would be nice!
The survey indicates that a CDU/CSU plus FDP coalition has a 50-50 chance of having a majority.
Were these parties to fall a little short, it is possible Chancellor Merkel will ask to be re-elected with a minority government. The vote is by secret ballot and some from AfD may vote for her as that outcome would be better than a continuation of a grand coalition. Indeed, some SDP may vote for Merkel.
The secret vote is essentially for free. The only real cost is the embarrassment of having a second secret ballot.
Accordingly, I think the odds are more like 3-to-1 for the preferred coalition. 2-to-4 for the preferred coalition having a majority, and another 1-to-4 that the preferred coalition rules as a minority government.
BTW It took several ballots, and then another election followed by yet more ballots, but Mariano Rajoy in Spain was finally elected as Prime Minister with a minority government. They’re now spinning their wheels over in the Netherlands, trying to herd enough cats to form a majority government. In Denmark, Norway and Sweden, they have minority governments.
It’s hard to get a majority with many small parties, some of which have non-negotiable demands, and others of which wish to craw a cordon sanitaire around certain parties.
latest polls have AfD at less than 9% in fifth place
https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bundestagswahl_2017
The so-called “far right German Party” is nothing more than “Germany for Germans”.
Now what the heck is wrong with that?!!?
Make no mistake, they are not “rightists” at all in any U.S. sense. They may be any number of things, politically, but socialists they are as much as anything else. You may call them extreme nationalists and in some cases racist and antisemitic, but Conservative in any classical or modern U.S. sense they are not.
Don’t forget, “right” and Left only means Marxists of one stripe or another and everyone else, to the media and all their friends behind them in academia.
ALL of the, so called, “Far Right” political parties in Europe, need to get together, often, and brainstorm about successful ways of, finally, becoming major political parties, or else all of Europe is done for!
The Free Democrats are polling above the threshold and look like they are returning to parliament. So are the Greens and Die Communists (as they did last time).
Merkel + Free Democrats is very possible at this point.
I’d give it about even odds with Merkel/Grand Coalition.
SPD looks to be too far behind to come in first and reverse the order of the coalition.
Let me guess. The so called "far right" party in Germany is actually some wacko neo-NAZI group that denies the holocaust and promotes socialism and big government freebies ("free" education for all, "free" health care for all, etc.) But they are anti-Muslim and want to deport illegal aliens, so they are "far right" in the eyes of the liberal media.
Actually no, they appear to be a legit conservative party ala UKIP, very much unlike the French Front National.
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