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Poll: Trump up 2 on Clinton in NH
thehill.com ^ | 31 Oct 2016 | Mark Hensch

Posted on 11/01/2016 11:57:02 AM PDT by 11th_VA

Donald Trump owns a slim 2-point lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire with eight days to go until Election Day, according to a new poll.

Trump tops Clinton 45 percent to 43 percent with the Granite State’s likely voters in the New Hampshire Journal/Inside Sources survey out Monday.

Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson grabs 4 percent, followed by Green Party presidential nominee Jill Stein’s 2 percent. Independent presidential candidate Evan McMullin registers at 1 percent, while 2 percent prefer another candidate and 4 percent are undecided.

Trump’s lead shrinks to 1 point, however, in a head-to-head matchup with Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee.

The Republican presidential nominee nets 47 percent to Clinton’s 46 percent in that scenario, while another 7 percent remain undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: elections; hillary; newhampshire; polls; trump
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To: xzins
I’d say 4 Johnson, 2 Stein is pretty much down to the true believers.

I would agree. Although I understand why the question is asked, I don't believe there will be flock of third-party supporters moving in the next few days.

Of course, care should be taken in interpreting any of these numbers as all are under the margin of error. Statistically, these results say the race is tied. Personally, for a number of reasons, I think that Trump probably has a 5 point lead or so in New Hampshire.

41 posted on 11/01/2016 12:42:51 PM PDT by CommerceComet (Hillary: A unique blend of incompetence and corruption.)
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To: sourcery
Note: the slim two-point lead held by Mr Trump is not to be confused with the majestic, insurmountable two-point leads enjoyed by Secretary Clinton

MSM Meme(s) election night


42 posted on 11/01/2016 12:44:07 PM PDT by pburgh01 (Negan all the MSM)
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To: 11th_VA

In related news - Mz. Machado, now at a Clinton rally in Florida. She gave up on speaking broken English and is speaking Spanish. Gotta get those newly arrived Cubans’ votes.


43 posted on 11/01/2016 12:44:18 PM PDT by bgill (From the CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: CommerceComet

The MOE is important, and skewed demographics, and like you say, all of those things have to be weighed against personal experience and other signs of Trump enthusiasm versus Clinton demoralization.

I agree with your 5 point assessment.

I’d make it across the board nationally.


44 posted on 11/01/2016 12:45:14 PM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: pburgh01

I’m 60. I’ve seen it all before.


45 posted on 11/01/2016 12:47:04 PM PDT by sourcery (Non Acquiescit: "I do not consent" (Latin))
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To: vette6387
"he allowed that fat turd Karl Rove to tell us all that Hillary is still going to win"

that's actually great news: when was the last time Karl Rove was actually right about anything?

https://writinginthepublicsphere.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/ham1.jpg

46 posted on 11/01/2016 12:47:24 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: 11th_VA
Trump’s lead shrinks to 1 point, however, in a head-to-head matchup with Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee.

The paper went on to say "It shrinks even further in head-to-head matchups against Abraham Lincoln, George Washington or several other fantasy scenarios that aren't going to happen."

47 posted on 11/01/2016 12:51:15 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie (ui)
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To: pburgh01
MSM Meme(s) election night

You forgot "John Smith filling in for Alice Jones who will be accusing Donald Trump of fondling her in the green room right now. We'll have a statement from Alice and what this major new revelation will mean and how it will cripple the Trump administration after the break."

48 posted on 11/01/2016 12:56:57 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie (ui)
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To: pepsi_junkie

I was at kid’s hockey game and was listening to the tv in the background outside the rink. Some horrible, Inside Edition crap. They had on 10 beauty pageant airheads, commenting on the election. The black reportette asks one of the bubbleheads...”Did you notice any inappropriate behavior by Donald Trump?”. The girl says “Well not me, but I have a friend of a friend who was a contestant and she said she had.....”. I am not exaggerating.


49 posted on 11/01/2016 1:06:23 PM PDT by pburgh01 (Negan all the MSM)
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To: CatOwner

“NH + NV eliminates needing CO or some other state (PA, VA, MI, WI) to get to 270.”

__________________________________________________________

Not so fast. There’s this scenario, a tie:

http://www.270towin.com/maps/wogkD


50 posted on 11/01/2016 1:07:29 PM PDT by Deo volente (Our Independence Day is at hand, and it arrives on November 8th.)
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To: pburgh01
The girl says “Well not me, but I have a friend of a friend who was a contestant and she said she had.....”. I am not exaggerating.

Interesting. You know, that reminds me that I had a friend who knew a guy that told him his cousin had seen Hillary accepting a briefcase full of cash from ISIS and agreeing to provide them with new prison cages and head chopping scimitars once she won the election. True story. When will CNN come interview me?

51 posted on 11/01/2016 1:10:23 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie (ui)
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To: grania
How can sell-out Bernie Sanders possibly still justify supporting the witch?

A $600,000 lake front home can do wonders.

52 posted on 11/01/2016 1:12:52 PM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent Majority Stands With TRUMP!)
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To: Deo volente

“NH + NV eliminates needing CO or some other state (PA, VA, MI, WI) to get to 270.”

__________________________________________________________

Not so fast. There’s this scenario, a tie:

http://www.270towin.com/maps/wogkD


Not likely as Trump will get 1 vote from Maine for the win.


53 posted on 11/01/2016 1:13:07 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: IVAXMAN; Deo volente
Not likely as Trump will get 1 vote from Maine for the win.

That's what I was thinking. I should have mentioned it in my post. Thanks.

54 posted on 11/01/2016 1:14:07 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: IVAXMAN

That would be something if he gets exactly 270!

I don’t believe that’s ever happened before.


55 posted on 11/01/2016 1:30:22 PM PDT by Deo volente (Our Independence Day is at hand, and it arrives on November 8th.)
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To: xzins

I don’t get it either!


56 posted on 11/01/2016 1:36:32 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: bray

I hate FOX more then the other’s since they are traitors to the GOP.


57 posted on 11/01/2016 1:37:47 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: pburgh01

True.


58 posted on 11/01/2016 1:39:36 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: xzins
I suppose the thinking is that many people, when they are standing in the booth with a ballot in front of them, will acquiesce to the reality that only Clinton or Trump can win, and will break accordingly. That said, a certain number of people will always vote 3rd party, perhaps more this time around than was common in the past.
59 posted on 11/01/2016 1:48:45 PM PDT by Wyrd bið ful aræd (Flag burners can go screw -- I'm mighty PROUD of that ragged old flag)
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To: xzins

IF If if was a skiff—we could all row across the lake instead of swimming.


60 posted on 11/01/2016 2:30:50 PM PDT by ridesthemiles
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