Poll: Trump up 2 on Clinton in NH

thehill.com ^ | 31 Oct 2016 | Mark Hensch

[11th_VA]

Donald Trump owns a slim 2-point lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire with eight days to go until Election Day, according to a new poll.

Trump tops Clinton 45 percent to 43 percent with the Granite State’s likely voters in the New Hampshire Journal/Inside Sources survey out Monday.

Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson grabs 4 percent, followed by Green Party presidential nominee Jill Stein’s 2 percent. Independent presidential candidate Evan McMullin registers at 1 percent, while 2 percent prefer another candidate and 4 percent are undecided.

Trump’s lead shrinks to 1 point, however, in a head-to-head matchup with Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee.

The Republican presidential nominee nets 47 percent to Clinton’s 46 percent in that scenario, while another 7 percent remain undecided.

[CommerceComet]

I’d say 4 Johnson, 2 Stein is pretty much down to the true believers.

I would agree. Although I understand why the question is asked, I don't believe there will be flock of third-party supporters moving in the next few days.

Of course, care should be taken in interpreting any of these numbers as all are under the margin of error. Statistically, these results say the race is tied. Personally, for a number of reasons, I think that Trump probably has a 5 point lead or so in New Hampshire.

[pburgh01]

Note: the slim two-point lead held by Mr Trump is not to be confused with the majestic, insurmountable two-point leads enjoyed by Secretary Clinton

MSM Meme(s) election night

• Trump won a narrow victory but most experts agree that his win is not a mandate.
• In a tight, scandal filled campaign on both sides, Trump wins in a contested election
• Trump won a majority of his angry white man vote, while Clinton's base a more cross-section of Americans stayed home due to constant drumbeat of scandal.
• Trump won but he really did niot win, as 1/2 of Americans did not find his angry, xenophobic message palatable. Most experts agree Trump in 4 years may live to regret winning.
• Clinton's more positive message was drowned out by Trump's constant negative attacks and her being plagued by yet to be proven malfeasance.

[bgill]

In related news - Mz. Machado, now at a Clinton rally in Florida. She gave up on speaking broken English and is speaking Spanish. Gotta get those newly arrived Cubans’ votes.

[xzins]

The MOE is important, and skewed demographics, and like you say, all of those things have to be weighed against personal experience and other signs of Trump enthusiasm versus Clinton demoralization.

I agree with your 5 point assessment.

I’d make it across the board nationally.

[sourcery]

I’m 60. I’ve seen it all before.

[catnipman]

"he allowed that fat turd Karl Rove to tell us all that Hillary is still going to win"

that's actually great news: when was the last time Karl Rove was actually right about anything?

https://writinginthepublicsphere.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/ham1.jpg

[pepsi_junkie]

Trump’s lead shrinks to 1 point, however, in a head-to-head matchup with Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee.

The paper went on to say "It shrinks even further in head-to-head matchups against Abraham Lincoln, George Washington or several other fantasy scenarios that aren't going to happen."

[pepsi_junkie]

MSM Meme(s) election night

You forgot "John Smith filling in for Alice Jones who will be accusing Donald Trump of fondling her in the green room right now. We'll have a statement from Alice and what this major new revelation will mean and how it will cripple the Trump administration after the break."

[pburgh01]

I was at kid’s hockey game and was listening to the tv in the background outside the rink. Some horrible, Inside Edition crap. They had on 10 beauty pageant airheads, commenting on the election. The black reportette asks one of the bubbleheads...”Did you notice any inappropriate behavior by Donald Trump?”. The girl says “Well not me, but I have a friend of a friend who was a contestant and she said she had.....”. I am not exaggerating.

[Deo volente]

“NH + NV eliminates needing CO or some other state (PA, VA, MI, WI) to get to 270.”

__________________________________________________________

Not so fast. There’s this scenario, a tie:

http://www.270towin.com/maps/wogkD

[pepsi_junkie]

The girl says “Well not me, but I have a friend of a friend who was a contestant and she said she had.....”. I am not exaggerating.

Interesting. You know, that reminds me that I had a friend who knew a guy that told him his cousin had seen Hillary accepting a briefcase full of cash from ISIS and agreeing to provide them with new prison cages and head chopping scimitars once she won the election. True story. When will CNN come interview me?

[pgkdan]

How can sell-out Bernie Sanders possibly still justify supporting the witch?

A $600,000 lake front home can do wonders.

[IVAXMAN]

“NH + NV eliminates needing CO or some other state (PA, VA, MI, WI) to get to 270.”

__________________________________________________________

Not so fast. There’s this scenario, a tie:

http://www.270towin.com/maps/wogkD

---

Not likely as Trump will get 1 vote from Maine for the win.

[CatOwner]

Not likely as Trump will get 1 vote from Maine for the win.

That's what I was thinking. I should have mentioned it in my post. Thanks.

[Deo volente]

That would be something if he gets exactly 270!

I don’t believe that’s ever happened before.

[fortheDeclaration]

I don’t get it either!

[fortheDeclaration]

I hate FOX more then the other’s since they are traitors to the GOP.

[fortheDeclaration]

True.

[Wyrd bið ful aræd]

I suppose the thinking is that many people, when they are standing in the booth with a ballot in front of them, will acquiesce to the reality that only Clinton or Trump can win, and will break accordingly. That said, a certain number of people will always vote 3rd party, perhaps more this time around than was common in the past.

[ridesthemiles]

IF If if was a skiff—we could all row across the lake instead of swimming.