New poll finds Trump gaining on Clinton in New Mexico

nmpolitics.net ^ | 27 Oct 2016 | By Heath Haussamen, NMPolitics.net

[11th_VA]

Young people and independents are helping Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump remain competitive with Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in New Mexico, a new poll finds.

Clinton led Trump five 5 percentage points, 45-40, heading into the final stretch of the campaign, according to the survey, which was conducted Monday. Support for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, New Mexico’s former governor, dropped in the new poll to 9 percent.

The statewide survey of 1,899 likely voters was conducted by ZiaPoll. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.25 percent.

[Alberta's Child]

This might also explain Trump’s campaign appearance in Arizona tomorrow.

[Genoa]

Yep, they shot their wad.

Enough of your locker room talk.

[Alberta's Child]

I think it will be a long time before New Jersey votes for a Republican presidential candidate.

This state has lost something like $80 billion in personal net wealth over the last 15 years. These are wealthy, successful people who are retiring to Florida or moving their businesses to places like Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina or Texas.

They are being replaced by two groups that are among the "bluest" voters in America: (1) recent immigrants, and (2) relocated New Yorkers.

[italianquaker]

He might actually get more in this state. The buffoon was the governor.
I have been saying in previous post that Trump will win nm because of this

[ought-six]

If Trump can flip NM and CO there is no way Clinton can win the election.

[DesertRhino]

He was a damn good governor was the problem. He outsmarted the dem dominated senate time and again. That 4 lane from Roswell to I-40 and from Albuquerque up to 4 corners is his greatest monument.
Completed on time and under budget. And done in an unusual way for New Mexico because the Democrat graft and sweetheart contracts were avoided by his end run. They despised him for that.

As governor he was very good. But as a candidate I part ways with him over his support for TPP, he openly supports open borders, he supports bake the cake, and last month he even came out for Black Lives Matter. So no way...

[DesertRhino]

And he has also come out now for gun control. Like I said, in the 90s he was the only thing that saved the state from a third world version of the democrat party. This was in the Ray Sanchez and Manny Aragon era.
But Johnson has gone fully off the rails since then.

[Thickman]

I have many Hispanic male friends who are voting Trump. But, we have a lot of relocated CA, IL and east coast liberals here who don’t remember why they left there to be in the Land of Enchantment. Before the influx, even dumbocrats were actually quite conservative in their values.

[arl295]

Those immigrants tend to be more from India and they support Trump because they came here to escape corrupt politicians like Clinton. The only people who can do anything in India are the ones well connected to the right families of politicians. They see that with Clinton

They see Trump as a businessman, and most of these immigrants are small businessmen who want what Trump accomplished for themselves. Big plus in Trump’s column

New Yorkers who move to Jersey, tend to be more conservative, and are leaving NY because it is expensive. The liberal radicals who have $300 month subsidized apartments for life in Manhattan are not leaving New York, but will be very vocal when the land lords want to raise the rent $10 a month....

New Jersey is in play, it is a secret and will surprise us on election day.

[bgill]

There’s an ashtray with Kaine’s name on it.

[Alberta's Child]

I hope you're right, but I've lived here long enough to remain pessimistic.

This idea of "conservative New Yorkers" (New York City, that is) is really a myth. A conservative in New York City would be considered a Marxist in most parts of the country.

[LaRueLaDue]

If Trump wins New Mexico, take heed: the apocalypse is upon us!

[DIRTYSECRET]

Johnson could have been a NM Senator. Beneath him. That involves work. Leap frogging to the WH can work but only if you’re Ronald Reagan.

[zaxtres]

Here is what I am wondering:

First we hear that Clinton is ahead in the polls.

Second, we then hear that the enthusiasm for those most likely to go to the polls are the ones who think their candidate has a shot at winning the election. Hitlary’s numbers start to go down after an upward swing.

Third, could the fact DT is gaining in the polls be contrived to bring momentum to Hitlary’s supporters to vote?

It has been all over the news and talk radio programs about how that if the election is over before the election actually happens, then people are less likely to vote. In this case, Hitlary’s camp declared the election over but you hear none of that hardly anymore from that side of the political spectrum. If the poll numbers can be contrived to show Hitlary winning could they not also be contrived to show that Hitlary is leading by a very small percentage to create momentum for voters to go to the polls?

[zaxtres]

Something else if the polls show DT ahead, voters that support her turn out, then she can claim she won from behind. Thus hoisting herself up higher on the petard than what she already thinks she is.

[Nero Germanicus]

There are 22 states plus Washington DC that can give Clinton 273 Electoral votes: HI, WA, OR, CA, NM, CO, IL, MN, MI, WI, PA, NJ, NY, VT, NH, ME, MA, CT, RI, DE, MD, VA, & DC.
If Trump takes any of them her path becomes much more complicated.

[ScottinVA]

Wasn’t Tim Kaine as the VP candidate supposed to nail down Virginia?

Li'l Timmy Eyebrow was nothing more than a stooge for Obama.

[Dr. Sivana]

Well, I personally have avoided NJ for the last 20+ years, going out of my way to avoid it and nyc when driving to ct. They DID reelect Christie big, and nj and ct will have a lot of nonvoters coming out for Trump.

[Alberta's Child]

Right. New Jersey still elects Republican governors on occasion. One reason for it is that we have off-year elections (actually off-off-year) for governor, where turnout is much lower than usual. Christie was elected in 2009 and re-elected in 2013, and yet he probably never would have won this state if he ran for president even at the height of his popularity.

[CedarDave]

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