Posted on 10/28/2016 4:38:07 AM PDT by usafa92
Presidential preferences have narrowed in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll -- but not expectations of the outcome.
Fifty-nine percent of likely voters polled say they expect Hillary Clinton to win the election, essentially the same was it was in early September. That includes nearly all of her own supporters and a fifth of Donald Trumps.
There are vast divisions, as well, on the question of vote fraud: More than nine in 10 Clinton supporters think votes nationally will be counted accurately; just 50 percent of Trumps agree. And 70 percent of Trump backers think voter fraud is common. A mere 11 percent of Clintons say the same.
Vote preferences, for their part, show the narrowest division in the tracking poll to date, with 48 of likely voters polled for Clinton, 44 percent for Trump. Trumps gained 6 points since the start of tracking, while Clintons -2 (not a significant change). This reflects slight shifts in intended turnout and recent consolidation for Trump in his party.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
This is what I call living in the fantasy world on the Unicorn Farm.
This is nothing more than the polls trying to move back to the real numbers. They knew the 12 point Clinton lead was crap. And they probably know the 4 is crap. But its ok to be off a little bit. And nobody will know if the polls were wrong on any day other than election day. So they can lie right up to the end.
that would be freefall if this was any other candidate.
The bitch never had a lead.
What’s making this year difficult for pollsters, even the honest ones, is that this election is totally unlike any other recent election.
It’s anyone’s guess which pollster with be at the top this time.
What kind of stupid data is that on who people
expect to win? It has nothing
to do with how they want to vote
Yes it could!
That is far different from "who are you going to vote for " Did they even ask that question ? They may just expect her to win because that is what they have been constantly told by the MSM.
All I’m saying is that if you torture the data long and hard enough it will say anything you want. :0)
I personally don’t believe the enthusiasm for her is there and certainly not in the way it was for Democrats in 2008 and for Obama in 2012. Hillary generates about as much excitement as a wake.
The spike in third party voting was for Perot and created a higher overall turnout [approx 105M]. The Not Voting graph spiked down that year implying that Perot brought new voters into the process rather than taking from Clinton and Bush. Trump brings much of the traditional R vote plus many non-voters = monster vote???
I look forward to ABC’s post-election article citing all the people who expected Clinton to win as evidence of vote fraud.
lead?
Right...uh huh.
The only lead is Trump is up by 8 or 10.
What stands out on this graph to me is the reminder that there are some 90 million eligible voters that have not been inspired to vote for President.
We keep hearing about the so called monster vote out there under the radar. If 10% of that demo show up and go 70/30 Trump, it’s a landslide.
not only that but its funny hw the first three paragraphs never mention the actually poll numbers closing to four- just concentrates on the other BS..
Is interesting isn’t it. Looks like somewhere in the neighborhood of 10 million votes that came out of the woodwork for Perot. If Trump pulls in a similar number from the sideline, it’s game over.
Yeah, what happened to the word “surge?”
When the candidates are essentially equal, the winner will be whichever one can get the most supporters to actually show up and vote.
Imagine that. After the most dishonest Presidential poll in my memory, these sycophants decide to narrow the race.
And no wonder “most” polled think her Heinous will seize power. The anti-American MEDIA has been beating her drums for MONTHS.
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