Posted on 10/23/2016 7:40:36 AM PDT by mandaladon
With 16 days to go until November 8, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points — 43% to 41% — in a four-way race, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll.
Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson saw his support held steady at 7%, while the Green Party's Jill Stein dipped to 3%.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
The trend is good news, but IF HRC is so confident she is acting as though the race is won, to me that means the Democrats have one ‘H’ of a system of fraud in place she knows she will win.
Of Course it’s already Won. She’s a Democrat, a Clinton Democrat. That’s her way of thinking. LOL.
Don’t believe the other polls that show Trump losing. This is a typical democRAT tactic to try and suppress the vote.
I’m sure the Clinton media and pollers will REALLY crank up the “Trump losing mantra” on Nov 8th so that the Western states don’t bother voting since Trump supporters will think all is lost...
Trump needs to warn everyone about that!
If Hillary owned NASCAR only one driver would win, with a blown engine, four flat tires, a driver who cannot see and is barely capable of driving for more than 15 minutes.
The IBD poll WAY oversample dems, D+8.
Obama won in 2012 with a D+6 turnout.
No way Hitlery gets more dems to turn out than Obama did four years ago.
Trump would be ahead a great deal more in this poll if their turnout projections this year were more realistic.
It’s all about perception and emotional manipulation.
The Clinton campaign has no idea, either - and it has to be terrifying to them.
I would think in the next couple days Trump’s numbers will go up after his wonderful Gettysburg speech.
If she is campaigning as though race is won, why is she in OH, PA, and FL.?
It should but the only thing I heard about the speech from the MSM is that Trump is going to sue women.
She’s bluffing, it’s all she has left!
Another thread showed the early voting turnout for NC versus 2012. Dem -10%, Rep -6%, but Unaffiliated was +28%. In my mind, that tells me Hillary is going to get her ass kicked. How many unaffiliateds are really going to cast a vote her that criminal. Not many.
The trend is even better than it seems on the surface...the breakdown is D-36\R-29\I-33 based on 783 likely voters, where they polled 282-D’s, 226-R’s & 259-I’s...so, their rolling average is based on a D+7 turnout...so Trump is up by 2 points with this turnout model...
Who knows where the actual turnout will land, but based on all the numbers from the primary season, it’s hard to imagine a turnout that beats Obama’s 12 turnout on the D side and an R turnout that doesn’t beat Romney’s 12 turnout on the R side...
This also doesn’t take into account the Silent\Monster vote that can’t be calculated into any of this. I believe this will happen at some percentage across our nation just like it did in the primaries. Hopefully Sundance is correct with his calculations on the turnout of the Monster vote.
Drudge has this as the lead this morning and the breakdown is there...
TG
TTTT!
Honestly, the west coast won’t matter. AZ, NV, CO and UT will. Yeah, OR, if a landslide!
Impossible. ABC says he’s down double digits. /s
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