I think Trump can win with a +3 or +4 D turnout, even with the level of fraud in place. If its +6 or more as in 2012 he probably can't win. The key is the "silent, turned-off majority" - will they come back to the polls in large numbers for Trump (regardless of previous party affiliation) as a protest vote against the Establishment?
The Clinton campaign has no idea, either - and it has to be terrifying to them.
I think Trump can win with a +3 or +4 D turnout, even with the level of fraud in place. If its +6 or more as in 2012 he probably can't win. Another thread showed the early voting turnout for NC versus 2012. Dem -10%, Rep -6%, but Unaffiliated was +28%. In my mind, that tells me Hillary is going to get her ass kicked. How many unaffiliateds are really going to cast a vote her that criminal. Not many.