Posted on 10/19/2016 11:19:00 AM PDT by OneVike
TRUMP 41% -- Hillary 41% DEAD HEAT
Rasmussen's poll released today has Trump tied with Hillary ahead of the last debate tonight. 41% to 41%. There are a couple eye openers that should be a huge worry for the Hillary campaign;
The older the voter is, the more likely he or she is to vote and to vote for Trump.
The older the voter, the more they remember the "90"s and who the Clintons are. Plus younger voters are turned off by Hillary and thus less apt to even vote this year. Democrat candidates loses every time the young voters do not vote
Trump is ahead among whites and other minority voters but remains far behind among blacks.
This is HUGE, because if Trump leads among all white voters, then it shows a flaw their poll. There are not enough voting age black Americans to make up for Trumps lead among white voters. Which means they over sampled black Americans.
Trump leads Hillary 58 percent to 31 with white Americans without a 4 year college degree.
NOT just just Americans who never went to college, but Americans who went to college for a year or two but never graduating. Hillary only leads among those Americans who graduated with a 4 year degree. Big difference than no college education at all. There are millions and millions of Americans who went to college but never ever graduated, or even just received a 2 year degree.
I cannot emphasize the last point too much, because according to this article by the Washington Post, not since Ronald Reagan in 1980, has a candidate held such a large support among white registered voters who did not have a four-year college degree. Trump is leading Hillary by 27 points in this category. That is huge, because it is similar to what Reagan received.
Finally, Trump still leads among white women by 3%.
Why is this important you ask? Well when you consider the population of black women in America, there is not enough of them to give Hillary the lead they claim she has among all women in America. You do the math, it ain't there! Which again points to their over sampling of black Americans in a year that the black vote will not be as big as it was when Obama ran.
Pollsters admitted any newly registered voters up to a year ago are not counted. Guess who inspired a flood of new voter registrations?
Dumbass, you misunderstood. That lead is among ALL whites not just men. Hence, the numbers should be
.75x.58 =44.1 Trump
.75x.31 = 23.3 Hillary
so in order for the polls to be correct with 42-42 Trump would have to be beaten badly in all the other catagories. Like he loses 2 pts while she gains 19? Not a chance.
For several years I used to go up to the big State U to talk to the Pre Meds once or twice a year. You had to look hard to find a white male on campus.
There are huge categories of people who should not be allowed to vote.
I would have thought Reagan’s showing with non-college whites would have been even better in 1984, when he won an even bigger landslide, and one of the biggest in history.
So basically, what I gather, is she needs massive loser obama’s sons to turn out because they’re lazy and shiftless and never learn nor care about changing their lives or communities.
Makes me sick.
Or morals
Yep. That’s a given if they are leftists.
Do you know where the debate thread is on FR?
Pat, can I have an R for 300, please.
If you don't believe me just tune in to Black radio and listen to the ads being run almost every 10 mins. Most are by Obama saying don't let the evil Trump take away all they have worked for and to give him a great send off by voting for Hillary.
I work in an office with mostly blacks and they have the radio on all day and it's sickening. SAD
There are, at most, thirty colleges in the U.S. that won’t turn your child into a Marxist. They are all Catholic or Protestant, and owned by lay people.
That’s a bizarre result - no poll has found Trump leading Hispanic or Asian voters and that defies common sense.
I love posts like this gets my hopes up, only to be let down on election day.
There are, at most, thirty colleges in the U.S
That’s good news but Hillary hates Catholics and evangelicals so we will have to see how they survive if the “anti Christ” gets elected.
“For several years I used to go up to the big State U to talk to the Pre Meds once or twice a year. You had to look hard to find a white male on campus.”
It depends a lot on where on campus you look. In most business schools, for example, the students are mostly white males. In pharmacy or vet medicine, you won’t find very many males of any race/ethnicity.
Watch, I bet that when its all said and done that less than 50 % of the black voters vote
Even if it’s 60% it is not enough
They will need 99% of blacks to vote, plus about 40% more young people to vote for Hillary to pull this out
That is using the liberal polls which I already think are giving her way too much of the vote now
Less college = less indoctrination.
Less college = more skepticism.
One of the Biggest of Big Lies is that a college degree makes one more intellectually independent and culturally sophisticated.
The average college graduate (especially now) is a useful idiot who accepts any declaration from the mainstream media as established fact, and asserts every leftist meme from the secular academia as unassailable truth. (Just having technical skills in a specifically-demarcated industry does not equate with being truly educated and generally knowledgeable.)
They are more - not less - likely to be the mindless, vegetative cogitators in a jostling, collectivist herd.
Clive Staples [C. S.] Lewis well understood this, and vividly delineated it in his extraordinary science fiction novel, That Hideous Strength.
It really is indoctrination-hope Trump can be illuminated on this...
How can this be? ABDNCFOXBS says she is so far ahead the election is over.
Pray America wakes
Reagan knew this in 1980 and concentrated on white working class Americans. He all but ignored the black vote and won in a landslide.
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