Posted on 10/19/2016 11:19:00 AM PDT by OneVike
TRUMP 41% -- Hillary 41% DEAD HEAT
Rasmussen's poll released today has Trump tied with Hillary ahead of the last debate tonight. 41% to 41%. There are a couple eye openers that should be a huge worry for the Hillary campaign;
The older the voter is, the more likely he or she is to vote and to vote for Trump.
The older the voter, the more they remember the "90"s and who the Clintons are. Plus younger voters are turned off by Hillary and thus less apt to even vote this year. Democrat candidates loses every time the young voters do not vote
Trump is ahead among whites and other minority voters but remains far behind among blacks.
This is HUGE, because if Trump leads among all white voters, then it shows a flaw their poll. There are not enough voting age black Americans to make up for Trumps lead among white voters. Which means they over sampled black Americans.
Trump leads Hillary 58 percent to 31 with white Americans without a 4 year college degree.
NOT just just Americans who never went to college, but Americans who went to college for a year or two but never graduating. Hillary only leads among those Americans who graduated with a 4 year degree. Big difference than no college education at all. There are millions and millions of Americans who went to college but never ever graduated, or even just received a 2 year degree.
I cannot emphasize the last point too much, because according to this article by the Washington Post, not since Ronald Reagan in 1980, has a candidate held such a large support among white registered voters who did not have a four-year college degree. Trump is leading Hillary by 27 points in this category. That is huge, because it is similar to what Reagan received.
Finally, Trump still leads among white women by 3%.
Why is this important you ask? Well when you consider the population of black women in America, there is not enough of them to give Hillary the lead they claim she has among all women in America. You do the math, it ain't there! Which again points to their over sampling of black Americans in a year that the black vote will not be as big as it was when Obama ran.
Just goes to show you what one of those college edumications can get you - Hillary Clinton. Parents should be proud that their college grads are so “intellectual” and don’t have an ounce of common sense.
I don’t trust polls, even when they’re good news. I just can’t believe Hillary could possibly break 20%. Who could possibly want her to be president except criminals?
Colorado is especially vulnerable this year to the old “Democrats vote on Wednesday”. LOL.
Seriesly, though, getting millenials to vote when pot was on the ballot worked. Now, they have it.
I keep hearing from news sources (understand that they are biased) that suburban married women will be voting for HC (and that was a key demo for repubs in the past).
I just don’t understand what people really want
What happens?
Hillary's followers don't look so 'educated' anymore. If they're all included - and not cherry picked - the story changes.
Trump's backers are the overall the better educated - the middle class...
Hillary has the extremes.
Very good news.
Go Trump!
But FOX just told me Trump is trailing Hillary worse than ever and has no viable path to 270.
/I hate the effing enemedia
Red State fired the fat faced fraud about a year ago.
It’s a lie, because trump leads among all white women,
That is a huge factor.
Do not underestimate the power of women who hate Hillary
I especially despise FOX, because they have sucked in so many conservatives just to pill the football away when we are ready to kick.
They act fair and balanced we report you decide,
WTF don’t you just report the truth and the hell with the spin that is the lie?
How can this be a tie, if the white non-degreed give him a 27 pt lead? Since 75% of the nation is white about 37% is male and about 70% do not have college degrees. That right there is approximately 26% of the total population. He only gets 15% of the rest of the categories? Don’t believe it for a minute
rednecks? Are you including Bill Gates?
Nah, he’s a geekneck. Besides, he got just enough to make him brilliantly stupid.
“If you had been on a University campus in the last decade you would know, there essentially ARE NO white male graduates.”
Whites receive about 2/3 of all college degrees and about 2/5 of them are male. So, roughly 4/15 or just under 27% of all degrees are received by white males.
https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=72
I still find it funny that Democrats call this group the "working class" when they vote for Democrats but "ignorant, rednecks, uneducated idiots" when they vote for Republicans.
Reagan was also polling 6 points behind Carter in Oct. of 1980. I was around 17 at the time and it was just unbelievable, I think Reagan got 450 electoral votes and Carter got 50. I doubt it will be a landslide, if Trump even wins, but man-oh-man, I would LOVE to see a repeat of that. What a message that would make. THE PEOPLE WILL NOT STAND FOR CORRUPTION!
My point. The internals show that Trump is up bigger than they report. It actually points to the disparity of the voters contacted. Skewed in a big way to Hillary, people, which even means the numbers I give that favor trump is even bigger
I am seeing similar internal numbers in all the polls.
Not just Rep vs Dem vs Ind weighing that they call, but the internal numbers no one ever pays attention to
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