Posted on 09/20/2016 4:21:00 AM PDT by PapaBear3625
see link
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
I don’t want to fall for the usual FreeRepublic “the polls are lying!” Heck, many here were predicting Paul Ryan was gonna lose.
Too many independents, not enough republicans, in my estimation.
Thanks for sharing the chart with me.
People don’t come to a candidate’s campaign event unless they’re committed to vote for him.
People going to Trump’s rallies are enthusiastic and they will get out and vote.
In my youth, my Dad and I attended a Mondale event and the candidate never showed up. There where a few hundred people there and I knew that he was gonna lose.
People have that same feeling about Hillary. Now crowd size doesn’t necessarily predict a candidate’s popularity but it measures enthusiasm.
And when it comes to turnout on Election Day, it matters a great deal.
I generally dismiss NBC polls, but last week’s Monkey had it a two point race. Cannot grasp how she has gained so much ground. Doesn’t make sense.
Hillary couldn’t claw her way out of a paper bag much less than from that kind of deficit over a week.
Simply not credible.
I agree, it doesn’t add up.
I suppose we’ll be inundated with all kinds of absurd polls in the final weeks, trying to literally prop her up.
“NBCs Survey Monkey today shows her regaining momentum
Survey Monkey is a online poll and the only way you can vote is if you use the Survey Monkey platform and they select you randomly.
How many of you are signed up for the Survey Monkey platform? My guess is zero.
Up until the final week, they’ll play fast and loose with the truth.
Its psychological warfare. If you live in an early voting state, ignore the polls and vote!
Mr. Trump- as Secretary Clinton has been battling with the effects of pneumonia, do you mind if we do this seated, as opposed to standing"?. Trump gets painted into a corner.. If he says no, and she falls, he will be destroyed...
Damn, I really really REALLY despise the media
Yes, but he also said that he held lots of money in reserve, since his campaign had not spent much....YET. The ads will have more effect closer to the election day. The risk is if one waits too long, one may miss some postal voters.
And of course last Friday he got free ads for millions during his "important statement".
I feel the same, but this is an on-line poll... So absolute crap.
I agree with you.
The only culprit I can point to that would have affected the polls during the past week was that birther controversy.
Still, I cannot wrap my mind around how anyone in their right mind could even consider voting for that wicked witch!!
Finally, Obummer’s approval ratings/popularity is terrifying!
Early voting starts soon. Keep that in mind
The birther controversy didn’t move a single vote.
As demonstrated in today’s poll. Beating a dead horse hasn’t helped Hillary close the yawning gap between her and Trump.
Obama’s personal popularity isn’t transferable to Hillary. His campaigning for has had NO effect on the race.
Trump is sitting pretty good as September is about to run out.
BTW, here in Sweden (where voting actually works - one of the few things we excel in) we can vote early (postal vote), but then change our minds and vote at the polling station on the day of the election. The postal vote will then be cancelled. Does it work that way in the US (or some of the States) as well?
The crappy NBC phony online poll was discredited months ago.
The loon running that scam is a truly deranged Trump hater who trashes Trump on Twitter daily .
It’s a bad joke run by Comcast leftists who are Hillary bundlers.
“I generally dismiss NBC polls, but last weeks Monkey had it a two point race. Cannot grasp how she has gained so much ground. Doesnt make sense.”
A lot of poll movement is emotional. Therefore, the bounce DJT saw the last 2 weeks is likely to regress a bit after the dust settles. Further, she is advertising a whole lot more than he is. I feel that has been his biggest failing to date. We are less than 7 weeks until Election Day and he still is pulling this punch.
The nature of this poll is such that the days falling off the seven day average matter almost as much or more than the days being added. Currently the days falling off are among the best days in the history of the poll for Trump. So unless the days added are equally spectacular, the poll is going to tighten. And by spectacular, I mean the data specific for the day has to be MUCH better than the seven day average number that actually gets published, because that’s what it takes to significantly shift a seven day average of numbers.
And Cbolt, I know you were already aware of what I just posted. I just thought it might be a helpful reminder to the thread.
Maybe they liked what happened saturday night in NYC It gives the a sense of danger /s
This race is FAR from over.
But the country isn’t. Trump has to win.
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