People don’t come to a candidate’s campaign event unless they’re committed to vote for him.
People going to Trump’s rallies are enthusiastic and they will get out and vote.
In my youth, my Dad and I attended a Mondale event and the candidate never showed up. There where a few hundred people there and I knew that he was gonna lose.
People have that same feeling about Hillary. Now crowd size doesn’t necessarily predict a candidate’s popularity but it measures enthusiasm.
And when it comes to turnout on Election Day, it matters a great deal.
Blacks aren’t going to show for rallies and kids didn’t show for obummer’s rally last time and he got their vote big.
I dont think rallies determine who’s winning very well at all.
I think Trump is ahead, but the size of rallies is not a scientific method in the least.