Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election Poll
http://cesrusc.org/ ^ | 8/22/2016 | LA Times

Posted on 08/22/2016 7:20:02 AM PDT by IVAXMAN

Trump 44.6 Hillary 43.5

Trump only slightly down from yesterday.

Interesting to note is African American support is at an all time high for Trump at 14.3%

http://cesrusc.org/election/


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; trumplandslidecoming; trumppoll
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-47 next last
To: IVAXMAN

THAT makes sense. Thanks.


21 posted on 08/22/2016 7:48:44 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Don Corleone

I agree, but if Trump wins more then 1.5% of the National vote he will win the electoral vote as history has always show.


22 posted on 08/22/2016 7:50:34 AM PDT by IVAXMAN
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: IVAXMAN

Do we know WHO pays for this polling activity?

I know who USC is (leftist university in California).
I know who the LA Times is (leftist media outlet).
Who is DORNsife?

Overall, none of these entities generate funds for polling activities. They depend on funding (assuming that the LAT is hemorrhaging cash...) for an outside source.

I smell a ‘RAT trying to overcome the PPP system (and, who pays for PPP?)


23 posted on 08/22/2016 7:56:14 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: IVAXMAN

“Interesting to note is African American support is at an all time high for Trump at 14.3%”

What % did Romney end upgetting?


24 posted on 08/22/2016 7:56:14 AM PDT by traderrob6
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: IVAXMAN

I am paying my first visit to America at this time - a stag do in Vegas - would it be rude of me to vanish for a few hours to watch this!?!


25 posted on 08/22/2016 7:57:51 AM PDT by UKrepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas; IVAXMAN

“Debate”? There will never be a “debate”. A Q&A session run by the Left in favor of Clinton with the focus on how great the Leftist moderators are, yes. Certainly no bona-fide, good-faith “debate”.

Why the Right and Trump allow this I’ll never know but Trump seems to come out of these Leftist traps fairly unscathed. The only use of this nonsense is watching Trump beat both the moderators and the other candidate(s) all of whom are his opponents.


26 posted on 08/22/2016 8:03:11 AM PDT by Jim W N
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: pgkdan; JPG

“Debate”? There will never be a “debate”. A Q&A session run by the Left in favor of Clinton with the focus on how great the Leftist moderators are, yes. Certainly no bona-fide, good-faith “debate”.

Why the Right and Trump allow this I’ll never know but Trump seems to come out of these Leftist traps fairly unscathed. The only use of this nonsense is watching Trump beat both the moderators and the other candidate(s) all of whom are his opponents.


27 posted on 08/22/2016 8:06:20 AM PDT by Jim W N
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: dp0622

Trump visit to MO? What is MO? Missouri?


28 posted on 08/22/2016 8:10:25 AM PDT by TexasCruzin (Trump is the man. #TrumpPence16)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: the_Watchman; Impy

Here in south Virginia, I see more and more Trump signs, but not yet a SINGLE Hillary sign. Not sure how it is elsewhere.


29 posted on 08/22/2016 8:12:36 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Toespi

I wonder how manny will vote for Trump despite having a LGBT sticker. Sometimes people go along to avoid making waves but in the privacy of the voting booth ....


30 posted on 08/22/2016 8:13:33 AM PDT by alternatives? (Why have an army if there are no borders?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: the_Watchman

One of my friends put a Trump bumber sticker on her car. It just so happened that she began to get sabotaged at work. Might be a coincidence, but I wonder.


31 posted on 08/22/2016 8:14:18 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: alternatives?
Sometimes people go along to avoid making waves but in the privacy of the voting booth

There's definitely a Bradly Effect occurring. Many people are afraid to admit supporting Trump, so they tell pollsters they either support the Wicked Witch or are undecided. Trump is likely ahead by 5-8%.

32 posted on 08/22/2016 8:20:48 AM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Repeal 16-17

Gary Johnson is also a parking lot for hiding Trump voters.


33 posted on 08/22/2016 8:22:42 AM PDT by TexasCruzin (Trump is the man. #TrumpPence16)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: traderrob6

“Interesting to note is African American support is at an all time high for Trump at 14.3%”

What % did Romney end up getting?


I think somewhere between 5-7%. in 2012.


34 posted on 08/22/2016 8:40:29 AM PDT by IVAXMAN
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: dp0622
You need to look at the day that falls off the seven day average to get a sense at what might drive the new posted number. In today's case, a terrible day for Hillary and a great day for Trump fell out of the seven day average. So it is somewhat predictable that there would be some tightening today. Tomorrow, a decent day for both Trump and Hillary falls off but unless it is replaced by some dramatic movement on either side in the polling day they accumulate today, the overall average numbers won't change much. Then, the next day, a terrible day for Hillary drops off, and a fantastic day for Trump drops off. So barring any major news in the next two days, I suspect Wednesday's poll will show significant tightening.

But don't get lost in the daily published numbers. Instead, just take a broader view at the graph of the numbers. That gives a better sense of how the race is trending. When you do that, you should see that like every election, the race is still currently to volatile to call. And despite the media narrative, the support for either candidate is nowhere near set in stone. That's good news for Trump because he doesn't have a 30 year career in politics that he has to overcome to convince people he's something new. He's statement to blacks regarding "what do you have to lose" is really a call to all voters. If they liked Hillary's record, her support would be stable. They don't. And she can't make it disappear. They know what they get with her and it's not good. Not sure with Trump. So why not give him a try.

35 posted on 08/22/2016 8:43:30 AM PDT by Rokke
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: TexasCruzin

There’s 20 dollars in the mail for you if you keep this a secret.

Funny thing is i’ve been saying MO for days on here and you’re the first to correct me.

My memory isn’t the greatest.

Thanks for saving me from further embarrassment!!!!


36 posted on 08/22/2016 8:48:59 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Rokke

Wow. That was great!

Thanks for all the info and insight.

Joined 2 years ago and my knowledge has increased 10 fold.

I thought Vietnam was a relatively new country before i joined the board :)


37 posted on 08/22/2016 8:51:52 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: IVAXMAN

I think this is good that Trump is still ahead. This poll will go up and down a little each time. So with the dip Trump is ahead. GO TRUMP GO


38 posted on 08/22/2016 9:50:17 AM PDT by Parley Baer (")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Rokke

If you notice the scaling on many of the graphs they show visual perspective that favors Hillary and makes her number spread appear bigger, like when comparing Male and Female voters notice the scaling is wider for Males, making it look like lots more females then males voting for Hillary.

I emailed the director of the USC Dornsife /LA Times and she told me I was correct, it is due to an automated program and she would have it fixed and we should notice the scaling changes in the next few days. She said it was not intentional and that they want to graphically represent the data without prejudice so they are making the graph changes......... She was very nice and seemed sincere.


39 posted on 08/22/2016 11:01:32 AM PDT by IVAXMAN
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: IVAXMAN

It’s basically a tie.

The final result will all depend on actual turnout.

I hope Trump voters are more energized and will make sure to actually VOTE.


40 posted on 08/22/2016 1:11:29 PM PDT by Innovative ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-47 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson