Posted on 08/05/2016 7:49:56 PM PDT by dontreadthis
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By Max Von Solow PG Farnsworth “We have just completed our own poll since we cannot get factual information from the mainstream media!! we called 1000 homes in each of the 50 states and asked basic questions on the economy, terrorism, immigration and presidential pick.
Economy was the number one factor that Americans are concerned about and terrorism was number two.
Presidential pic was Trump by a large percentage
Trump 33478 votes 67% Clinton 9788 Votes 19% Undecided or other 6739 votes 13% My friends and I are all Graduate students from all walks of life we meet to discuss stuff 13 people who like and have served the military. It took us most of two weeks to be sure our calls were to all people and not just one party or an other we called Americans.. our poll is by taking registered voter lists and we accumulated 33% repub, 33% dems and 34% ind.. our poll consisted of 1000 calls per state. all 50 states. 50,000 people are in this poll not the 100 like other polls.”
(Excerpt) Read more at tomohalloran.com ...
In my post above, what I meant by “add up the red states” is add up electoral votes of those states where Trump came out the winner.
This would fit with the huge crowds Trump gets everywhere versus the sparse on for Hitlery - that she has to bring people in for
Just think of all the gasoline burned by those people getting to the Trump rally, and the global warming that is causing.
More proof that Trump is destroying the planet. /s
1980 - Reagan election
The polls/media all reporting Reagan losing 2 to 1
They did telephone call-in poll 50 cents per call - millions called in HOWEVER- it WAS 2 to one but FOR Reagan -
(Not very ‘scientific”??? )
The dems screamed that it was wrong because republicans could afford to call more times. (I dialed my fingers off (still dial phones then) for over 2 hours to get a call in just once)
and that’s the way the election went...2 to 1 FOR Reagan.
This is clickbait. You can’t actually find the poll and there are no state-by-state numbers, the only thing that would add any credibility to it. As was mentioned upthread, state-by-state numbers can be changed into electoral vote projections but, without that, it’s just hearsay.
I have a barber shop near the Cape Cod Canal in Massachusetts. Im not sure if the type of men who go to barber shops vs salons prejudices this statistic but the overwhelming sentiment favors Trump...at least 85-90% in favor. Older gentlemen who probably still read papers and watch network news , while they loathe clinton, are distrustful of Trump on sone level. They are tormented. Some say they won’t vote but after I get through with them they generally come around a little.
The thing that leaps out at me re this poll is that some 35 40 percent of the people who voted WILL vote Dem no matter what. If Trump wins by 6 I’d consider that pretty big.
“Sorry to spoil the soup but calling 1000 people from California and 1000 from Wyoming and Rhode Island and ... is not good polling practice.”
This is my understanding as well. If a small state is 90% Trump and a huge state is 60% Clinton, and you have polled 1000 from both, what is that supposed to prove? The big state might have 40 more electoral votes than the small state.
It also seems to me that a true poll of 1000 people from all 50 states might be useful if that info was broken down by state on the website.
Freegards
That’s it exactly, it would be cool to see a state by state breakdown.
Freegards.
The media got the country in the mess it is in, by pushing Obama and his Agenda starting 8 years ago.
True more proof that democrats always have more voters then people Obama won in Ohio by 108% of the votes.
The media took control of the country after it found it could destroy a Senator (McCarthy). They went into high gear after they pulled a media coup and deposed Nixon.
If you’re subjecting your customers to your politics while cutting their hair, it’s very likely that you’ve accumulated a passel of like-minded customers over the years. The libs are going elsewhere.
Until that breakdown you suggest actually is provided, I’d call BS on the poll itself.
If you’re going to go to that amount of work, and calling 50,000 people (actually a lot more to get 50k responses) is a hell of a lot of work. Thirteen people making calls...about 4,000 successful calls each...five minutes to reach a responding voter...twelve responses per hour...that’s over 300 hours per person...or seven weeks of full-time work...per person. Seven weeks. Double the calls per hour and it’s still almost a month of full-time work for all 13 people.
Anyone doing that much work would provide more information than the raw totals, especially with such stunning results. I call hoax.
Dear Son
GROW UP.
I’ve been at FR much longer than you have..time for you to dry behind your ears and get a life..
You’re right — votes/state does not translate into Electoral College votes. However, it’s not at all unusual to start with the same sample size/state — in order to get to the same confidence interval. Results can then be weighted by whatever factors one chooses.
There are all sorts of other considerations: breakdown by sex/race/ethnicity/sexual orientation/income class/etc. Those considerations can affect sample size. If you want (e.g.) to compare male to female voters, you will have a larger margin of error for each subgroup — unless you increase the sample size. When you adjust the sample size for any subgroup, you have to use weighting factors in analysis, to avoid distorting your results.
It’s really impossible to say whether or not the survey in question was done right; without seeing their complete methodology. Just from the article, I can think of a several possible threats to the validity of the results (you’ve mentioned some of them)— but we just don’t have enough information to be sure.
Unless there are more clarification details coming, I tend to agree with your assessment. This guy says 13 people got it all done in two weeks.
Freegards
If you’re subjecting your customers to your politics while cutting their hair, it’s very likely that you’ve accumulated a passel of like-minded customers over the years. The libs are going elsewhere.
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