Posted on 05/30/2016 10:14:10 AM PDT by Helicondelta
A Friday piece in Politico Magazine warns that a Hillary Clinton “fumble on trade” could give Donald Trump wins in Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan in a general election contest.
In a piece entitled, “How Hillary Loses,” David S. Bernstein writes that the new polls showing Trump ahead of Clinton represent a “terrifying moment for Democrats.”
While Bernstein says one should not read too much into the early polls, he argues that the polling numbers reveal that “there is now a clear path for her to lose” the election.
In particular, Bernstein explains that trade could win Trump Ohio, Wisconsin, and maybe Michigan. Bernstein’s warning in Politico echoes earlier concerns published by the liberal, anti-Trump Huffington Post, which similarly outlined how Trump’s position on trade could deliver him to victory against Clinton.
...
Indeed, in recent weeks Trump has hammered Bill Clinton for signing NAFTA and negotiating China’s entrance into the World Trade Organization (WTO). The United States lost one-third of its manufacturing jobs in the NAFTA-WTO era– i.e., the years following NAFTA’s enactment and China’s subsequent entrance in the World Trade Organization in 2001. Hillary Clinton was an early proponent of NAFTA.
Hillary Clinton also aggressively promoted the U.S. trade pact with South Korea, which was fraudulently billed to the American people as a deal which would dramatically boost American exports to South Korea. However, in the three years following the deal’s enactment, our trade deficit with South Korea had nearly doubled as U.S. exports to South Korea barely budged, while imports had exploded. According to the Economic Policy Institute, in the three years following the deal’s enactment, the growing goods trade deficits with Korea eliminated more than 75,000 jobs.
Clinton also supported the Colombian free trade agreement. In his book Clinton Cash, Peter Schweizer follows the trail of money
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
80% of Michigan is already Trump country.
If Trump wins Michigan then it is over.
Makes sense. The Amish are self sufficient and very successful at running their own businesses. Don't much care for folks who don't leave them alone to enjoy their lifestyle. Can't imagine them sending their girls and women into public rest rooms for "whatever". etc
Under the worst of circumstances, Trump starts OH by needing just 85,000 votes to flip the state from 2012. In FL, he needs only 33,000 votes. In VA, just 85,000 votes.
That leaves only CO and NV from the 2012 electoral map, and we’re only talking movement of 200,000 or so voters.
Thanks as usual for you excellent insight re polls, past and future voting as well.
In the meantime, Trump will continue to expose Crooked Hilliarily on a daily basis, and her email treason will be exposed each day.
The map doesn’t show Oregon is a Focus State. New poll shows Trump +2 in the state.
I live in Nevada, we have both state houses and Governor in Republican control, many of the congressmen are republicans, Reid is retiring and if it changes hands that would be 2 GOP Senators. Why isn’t Nevada on the list? I know more dems are registered but two weeks ago there was a riot at the Dem Convention here and they booed Boxer.
I hope Trump makes that 17 states. The 2 I mentioned would be easier wins than CA.
Keep in mind also, not only flipping those votes (IF the turnout is the same), but imagine all the new voters energized this election.
Millions will vote that didn’t turn out for McLame or Romney.
I sense a blowout.
John Chambers former CEO and still Chairman of the Board of Cisco, said Trump will win because all the momentum is his.
Chambers is a Republican, but he has a point. We know that the Dem primary turnout is down a lot, could be just that she is not Obama, but it could be that people are tired of Obama policies and Hillary backs them.
But the GOP turnout is up 60 percent. Lots of energy there. Trump has won 40 percent of a much larger pool of voters than Romney who got 34 percent of GOP primary votes, and that was 60 percent lower in aggregate. So vote wise Romney proportion is millions less votes than Trump.
Good question: “I live in Nevada, we have both state houses and Governor in Republican control, many of the congressmen are republicans, Reid is retiring and if it changes hands that would be 2 GOP Senators. Why isn’t Nevada on the list? I know more dems are registered but two weeks ago there was a riot at the Dem Convention here and they booed Boxer.”
The left wing media controls many of the polls, and they don’t want to add to their misery by publishing what you noted.
Hopefully, Nevada will be ours after Nov as well as California.
Keep us posted, re what you see happening!
80% of Michigan my be Trump country but the large population centers in Detroit, Lansing and Grand Rapids makes the state blue. Hopefully Trump can sway enough voters in these areas to make Michigan red.
Trump won Evangelical voters even beating Cruz out by a fair margin.
If Evangelicals who wouldn’t vote for Mormon Romney flex their muscles this is tied to start with.
If Trump takes 5% more AA vote than Romney several states are easier to win. If its 15% black vote for Trump and fewer blacks voting Dem because they did worse under Obama than Bush, then its a + for Trump.
In Nevada American Hispanics voted 46% for Trump, so its possible that they could split pretty evenly for Trump on his economic message being better than Hillary.
Indies love Trump.
Only the Womens vote is worth watching, if Trump pulls close with women Clinton is toast.
Voters (I won’t say Republicans because Independents and Reagan Democrats are involved) are absolutely energized this election cycle which matches, or exceeds, the enthusiasm on the left in ‘08 and ‘12.
That said, Trump needs to deliver on his promises or he’s out in 4 years.
Here are my hot buttons:
1) Take care of vets
2) Halt the muzzie invasion until they can be properly vetted.
3) Build the wall.
Everything else, in my opinion, can be negotiated.
YMMV
For those who say Trump doesn’t have an underlying ideology or set of principles - they may be largely right - EXCEPT when it comes to this.
On this one issue Trump believes to his core that the US has been taken to the cleaners in the area of global trade. That all the agreements we’ve signed have helped the China, Russia, Mexico at the expense of the US.
This is not some position that he’s taken in the last few days or in response to some polling data. This is what he absolutely believes and voters probably can sense it.
If trade does turn out to be a pivotal issue in WI, Trump could do us a great service by taking out Ryan.
The Amish voted for George W Bush.
hhhmmmmm......wonder if OH has the potential to be HUGE for Trump.
Well this is one Ohioan that is hoping it will be so.
Detroit Lansing and Flint. Maybe Kalamazoo.
Grand Rapids is not liberal.
Traverse City is getting that way though.
Yoopers can be counted on to support Trump
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