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Top Republicans believe Paul Ryan will be nominee
Washington Post ^ | 4/4/16 | Mike Allen

Posted on 04/04/2016 6:14:42 AM PDT by Mechanicos

On the eve of the Wisconsin primaries, top Republicans are becoming increasingly vocal about their long-held belief that Speaker Paul Ryan will wind up as the nominee, perhaps on the fourth ballot at a chaotic Cleveland convention.

One of the nation’s best-wired Republicans, with an enviable prediction record for this cycle, sees a 60 percent chance of a convention deadlock and a 90 percent chance that delegates turn to Ryan — ergo, a 54 percent chance that Ryan, who’ll start the third week of July as chairman of the Republican National Convention, will end it as the nominee.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.eu ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia; US: New York; US: Texas; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016rncconvention; delegatemath; districtofcolumbia; election2016; gopconvention; gopdelegates; johnkasich; mikeallen; newyork; nomination; ohio; paulryan; paulryan2016; rinodelusions; rinosinheat; rnc; ryan; ryan2016; scottwalker; speakerryan; stealgopnomination; teamromney; teamsoros; tedcruz; texas; trump; uniparty; votefraud; washingtoncompost; washingtonpost; wisconsin
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To: Dave W

If Trump is so beloved, why is he not getting 50%.

*************
How many candidates were in the field? Its hard to get a majority when votes are dispersed as they were, until fairly recently.


341 posted on 04/05/2016 9:57:19 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: Starboard

He still can’t get to 50% with a field of three. His percent of the vote has minimally increased despite the limited field. Try again.


342 posted on 04/05/2016 10:12:36 AM PDT by Dave W
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To: Mechanicos

If that happens and it was intended all along, then Ryan and the RNC are more Machiavellian than the Underwoods. Truth is stranger than fiction


343 posted on 04/05/2016 10:17:26 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: JediJones

As I told you before... I hope you are right. I don’t really see it working out that way, even if Cruz manages to install some of his supporters as Trump delegates. It is the GOPs convention, and they will do what they want.

But if they do install someone like Ryan they will lose in the general to the worst candidate ever. So on the other hand they might realize that they would be signing the party’s death warrant, so that might keep them with Cruz. They may feel like they can control Cruz especially since his wife is a globalist who works for Goldman Sacks. That is how Cruz wins not with the delegate “stealing” scam they are currently going with.


344 posted on 04/05/2016 10:19:57 AM PDT by fireman15 (The USA will be toast if the Democrats are able to take the Presidency in 2016)
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To: fireman15

Why would they feel they could control Cruz. He’s already proven that they can’t.

Now, Trump is a different story. He loves ‘the deal’ and he doesn’t always win. His lack of political smarts that his trumpers adore would not serve him well when dealing with Congress.


345 posted on 04/05/2016 10:30:20 AM PDT by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: unixfox

That green horse is called clourous in latin. Green symbolizing islam.


346 posted on 04/05/2016 10:33:40 AM PDT by jbb247
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To: fireman15

Heidi is a smart woman who did not make her living by posing for Playboy. She worked at various jobs. Goldman Sachs is a byword for trumpers but they cannot prove that the company is evil or that all its employees are evil. That is stupid.

Trump’s probably dealt more with GS than either Cruz. And Heidi speaks English quite well.

While Heidi was Phi Beta Kappa at Claremont, under Dr. P. Edward Haley, we only have Donald’s word that, “I went to the Wharton School of Business.

I’m, like, a really smart person.” He also claims that he was a top student there. But as theNew York Times disclosed in 1984, Trump merely took classes at Wharton, but did not achieve an MBA.

Furthermore, Trump was not on the Dean’s list, which he would have been, if he’d exhibited any academic excellence, and there were no mentions of his name in the graduation program of attaining any honors, in any category – curricular or otherwise.

It seems to me that Heidi stands up pretty well against either Trump or Melania.


347 posted on 04/05/2016 10:35:41 AM PDT by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: Mechanicos

Democrats will stick together and vote for free stuff. We’ll just stay home if the other guys doesn’t win and pay for the free stuff. We are dumber than them. I hope all of you have plenty of survival stuff and have a deep urge to use it.


348 posted on 04/05/2016 10:38:08 AM PDT by jbb247
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To: GOPe Means Bend Over Spell Run
I must admit, you reached second base on your last post:

1. No facts to support the multiple ad hominems you tossed at Senator Cruz.

2. Your tagline makes no sense. To "go Galt" is to withdraw your productive self from society. One does not do that by voting for Trump. That in itself is an affirmative act.

I'm not sure where Trump would fit as a character in Atlas Shrugged, with his combination of bellicosity, deal making skills, and greasing the palms of politicians in both parties with the deftness of one that can toss a couple of quarters in a toll booth at 50 MPH.

349 posted on 04/05/2016 10:51:33 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi! My vote is going to Cruz.)
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To: altura

As you are well aware Heidi has been involved in other globalist initiatives in addition to her employment at Goldman Sachs.


350 posted on 04/05/2016 11:28:45 AM PDT by fireman15 (The USA will be toast if the Democrats are able to take the Presidency in 2016)
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To: altura
Why would they feel they could control Cruz. He’s already proven that they can’t.

Now, Trump is a different story. He loves ‘the deal’ and he doesn’t always win. His lack of political smarts that his trumpers adore would not serve him well when dealing with Congress.

ALTURA, WAKE UP! If what you believed were true Carl Rove, Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney, Reince Priebus, Lindsay Graham, Mitch McConnell, the Bushes and the rest of the establishment goons would be lining up behind Trump, not Cruz. They are behind Cruz because he can be controlled; they have enough dirt on him to toss him aside any time that he steps out of line. Cruz is their tool; Cruz is their puppet. He will not change anything if he gets the presidency. If he somehow gets it will still vote for him because the Republicans are still much better than the alternative. But we might as well have Carl Rove or Jeb Bush in charge, the result would be the same.

351 posted on 04/05/2016 12:07:10 PM PDT by fireman15 (The USA will be toast if the Democrats are able to take the Presidency in 2016)
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To: Dave W

His percent of the vote has minimally increased despite the limited field. Try again.

****************
It appears you are thinking about this in simplistic terms. I think you would agree that there are a lot of moving parts in this election cycle. But one thing is clear at this juncture: its highly likely that Trump will have a plurality of votes come convention time.

According to the tracking poll in the story below, a majority — 57 percent — of registered Republicans and Republican-leaners say that Trump should win the Republican nomination for president if he wins a plurality.

However, according to the same poll, if you support someone else then a small majority says he should not be the nominee. The point is, there is some complex political calculous underlying this nomination process. Its not as simple as just looking for a 50% number.

You’ll see other complications if you read the article. But however you look at it its remarkable that, in spite of a very large field of formidable contenders, that Trump has such a large lead. But as the Yogi Berra said, it ain’t over until its over.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-trump-nearly-50-percent-support-among-republicans-nationally-n546951


352 posted on 04/05/2016 2:14:32 PM PDT by Starboard
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To: sickoflibs

Maybe he can run for the Governor of Massachusetts, he actually got a majority there!


353 posted on 04/05/2016 2:29:07 PM PDT by Theophilus (Always vote. Always vote your conscience. God wins every election.)
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To: A CA Guy
He will not even get VP AT THIS POINT.

I wouldn't vote for Cruz as VP, only as President.

354 posted on 04/05/2016 2:32:19 PM PDT by Theophilus (Always vote. Always vote your conscience. God wins every election.)
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To: Theophilus

HELLO Hillary.


355 posted on 04/05/2016 3:54:13 PM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: LostPassword
I’m pretty dissatisfied with the way the GOPe applies the rules and how little concern they have for voters’ wishes.

They haven't cared about voters' wishes for a LONG time. Look how they treated the tea party. They would win in landslides if they paid attention to the voters, but they are determined to thwart our wishes--so they lose.

356 posted on 04/05/2016 4:20:19 PM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: A CA Guy
HELLO Hillary.

You say that like it's not your problem.

357 posted on 04/05/2016 4:55:57 PM PDT by Theophilus (Always vote. Always vote your conscience. God wins every election.)
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To: KeyLargo

I’m surprised to see even Karl Rove is asleep. I thought at least HE would be excited


358 posted on 04/05/2016 5:41:01 PM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: Theophilus

It is the future without Trump. Write it down, bank on it for some family savings.


359 posted on 04/05/2016 5:46:22 PM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

I also love the “a vote for Cruz is a vote for the establishment.”


Cruz was my first choice, now he’s my second (a very very close second at that). At some point very very soon (if not already) Cruz is indeed helping the establishment GOPe by denying Trump the 1237.

Don’t get me wrong. Cruz has as much right as anybody to continue on, but politically he is unintentionally helping the GOPE.

I’m sure before it’s too late Cruz will drop out and endorse Donald Trump. Cruz is a principled man.

There’s only one thing worse than a Trump nominee and that’s Cruz giving us Paul Ryan or Jeb Bush just like Rick Santorum gave us Mitt Romney.


360 posted on 04/05/2016 5:50:47 PM PDT by tsowellfan
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