He still can’t get to 50% with a field of three. His percent of the vote has minimally increased despite the limited field. Try again.
His percent of the vote has minimally increased despite the limited field. Try again.
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It appears you are thinking about this in simplistic terms. I think you would agree that there are a lot of moving parts in this election cycle. But one thing is clear at this juncture: its highly likely that Trump will have a plurality of votes come convention time.
According to the tracking poll in the story below, a majority — 57 percent — of registered Republicans and Republican-leaners say that Trump should win the Republican nomination for president if he wins a plurality.
However, according to the same poll, if you support someone else then a small majority says he should not be the nominee. The point is, there is some complex political calculous underlying this nomination process. Its not as simple as just looking for a 50% number.
You’ll see other complications if you read the article. But however you look at it its remarkable that, in spite of a very large field of formidable contenders, that Trump has such a large lead. But as the Yogi Berra said, it ain’t over until its over.